Xelajú vs Malacateco• Liga Nacional, Guatemala

2.2:1.42-1FT15/10 · Estadio Mario Camposeco, Quetzaltenango1.0:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.48DAFX4.50B36526.68PINMargin at best4.8%Books9Markets51Rating65 · 36Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 15 Oct 12:29 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.48	4.00	6.40	8.2%
BetVictor	1.45	4.00	6.50	9.4%
Pinnacle	1.44	4.01	6.68	9.4%
Betano	1.47	3.80	6.60	9.5%
Bet365	1.30	4.50	8.50	10.9%
1xBet	1.44	3.94	6.21	10.9%
Betfair	1.40	4.00	6.50	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.43	3.94	5.90	12.3%
William Hill	1.36	3.70	6.50	15.9%
Best of all books	1.48	4.50	6.68	4.8%
Average	1.42	3.99	6.64	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

XelajúMalacateco

Last 107Form pts · last 572.2Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 51.069Attack rating3142Defence rating5850Form rating5071H2H rating2985Goals model1565Overall rating36

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 15 Oct 14:20 UTC

Xelajú

4W 3D 3L · goals 21:11 · per match 2.1 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	A	Aurora	1-2	L
4 Oct	H	Deportivo San Pedro	2-0	W
27 Sep	H	Comunicaciones	2-3	L
24 Sep	H	Antigua GFC	4-0	W
20 Sep	A	Suchitepéquez	2-2	D
13 Sep	A	Guastatoya	1-2	L
11 Sep	H	Cobán Imperial	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	Marquense	4-0	W
31 Aug	H	Mixco	4-1	W
27 Aug	H	Firpo	1-1	D

Malacateco

4W 1D 5L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against

11 Oct	H	Guastatoya	2-0	W
3 Oct	A	Cobán Imperial	0-2	L
27 Sep	A	Marquense	0-1	L
21 Sep	H	Mixco	1-0	W
14 Sep	A	Municipal	2-2	D
11 Sep	H	Antigua GFC	0-2	L
6 Sep	H	Suchitepéquez	2-0	W
30 Aug	A	Aurora	0-1	L
24 Aug	H	Deportivo San Pedro	2-0	W
16 Aug	A	Comunicaciones	2-4	L

Head to head

24Xelajú wins

20draws

20Malacateco wins

64 meetings · goals 64:60 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Xelajú

8 Aug 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Malacateco2-2Xelajú
6 Apr 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Xelajú1-0Malacateco
19 Feb 2026Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Malacateco1-0Xelajú
29 Sep 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Xelajú3-0Malacateco
20 Jul 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Malacateco0-1Xelajú
16 Mar 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Xelajú2-1Malacateco
30 Jan 2025Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Malacateco2-1Xelajú
2 Nov 2024Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Malacateco1-0Xelajú
18 Aug 2024Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Xelajú0-0Malacateco
18 Feb 2024Liga Nacional	Liga Nacional	Xelajú2-1Malacateco

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg165%1.40X22%4.13213%6.88

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.40 → 1.42 +1.4%X4.11 → 3.99 -2.9%26.71 → 6.64 -1.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.88	1.91	5.5%
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Betano	1.90	1.80	8.2%
1xBet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
BetVictor	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.90	1.91	5.0%
Average	1.86	1.85	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.00	1.80	5.6%
BetVictor	1.95	1.75	8.4%
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.95	1.74	8.8%
Betano	2.00	1.70	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.95	1.71	9.8%
Best of all books	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Average	1.97	1.74	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Xelajú 45%Draw 45%Malacateco 10%

The statistical model rated Xelajú at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Malacateco at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.40 | 4.13 | 6.88, which imply roughly 71.4% for a Xelajú win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Xelajú averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Malacateco averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Xelajú.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.42	3.99	6.64

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.09	2.45	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.17	4.43

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.97	1.74

1st half

1	X	2
1.96	2.24	6.55

2nd half

1	X	2
1.82	2.57	5.66

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.25	17.5	58.0
HT X	4.12	5.65	12.4
HT 2	21.3	17.4	10.5

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.44	9.50	3.21

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.38
1.5	1.27	3.36
2.5	1.86	1.85
3.5	3.14	1.30
4.5	6.23	1.09
5.5	13.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	7.90
1.25	1.15	4.30
1.75	1.32	2.97
2	1.41	2.61
2.25	1.63	2.11
2.75	2.06	1.65
3	2.46	1.46
3.25	2.77	1.36
3.75	3.70	1.20
4	4.95	1.11

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.59	1.47
-1.5	2.28	1.57
-1.25	2.03	1.70
-1	1.81	1.91
-0.75	1.56	2.22
-0.5	1.44	2.60

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.50	1.01
-3	7.90	1.02
-2.5	4.33	1.14
-2.25	4.12	1.16
-2	3.04	1.42
-0.25	1.28	3.16
0	1.15	4.41
+0.25	1.10	5.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.67	2.10
9	1.92	1.88

Next Liga Nacional matches

18 Oct	Mixco – Cobán Imperial
19 Oct	Municipal – Guastatoya
19 Oct	Marquense – Suchitepéquez

All Liga Nacional fixtures and the table

Latest Liga Nacional results

18 Oct	Aurora 3-1 Deportivo San Pedro
16 Oct	Suchitepéquez 1-1 Deportivo San Pedro
15 Oct	Cobán Imperial 2-1 Municipal
15 Oct	Marquense 1-1 Mixco
15 Oct	Guastatoya 1-1 Antigua GFC
14 Oct	Comunicaciones 1-2 Aurora