Sutjeska vs Jezero• First League, Montenegro

#41.8:0.213:00Today · Stadion Gradski1.2:2.0#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.53PINX4.20BFR26.151XBMargin at best5.4%Books8Markets50Rating69 · 31Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Oct 00:29 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.52	4.10	5.60	8.0%
Betano	1.50	4.10	5.60	8.9%
Pinnacle	1.52	4.20	5.04	9.4%
Bet365	1.48	4.00	5.50	10.7%
1xBet	1.44	3.96	6.15	11.0%
William Hill	1.50	3.70	5.50	11.9%
Betfair	1.40	4.20	6.00	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.43	3.96	5.85	12.3%
Best of all books	1.52	4.20	6.15	5.9%
Average	1.47	4.03	5.66	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SutjeskaJezero

Last 10#4Table position#91.58Points per game0.929Form pts · last 551.8Goals for · last 51.20.2Goals against · last 52.060Attack rating4091Defence rating979Form rating2150H2H rating5082Goals model1869Overall rating31

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 06:01 UTC

Sutjeska

5W 5D 0L · goals 15:2 · per match 1.5 for, 0.2 against

24 Oct	A	Otrant-Olympic	1-1	D
19 Oct	H	Bokelj	4-0	W
14 Oct	H	Dečić	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	Buducnost Podgorica	0-0	D
19 Sep	A	Arsenal Tivat	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Dečić	2-0	W
8 Sep	H	Mornar	1-0	W
4 Sep	A	Petrovac	0-0	D
28 Aug	H	Mladost DG	5-1	W
22 Aug	A	Jezero	0-0	D

Jezero

2W 4D 4L · goals 17:18 · per match 1.7 for, 1.8 against

23 Oct	H	Petrovac	1-2	L
18 Oct	A	Mladost DG	0-0	D
13 Oct	A	Lovćen	5-1	W
8 Oct	A	Mornar	3-3	D
20 Sep	A	Otrant-Olympic	1-4	L
15 Sep	H	Bokelj	1-1	D
10 Sep	A	Buducnost Podgorica	0-3	L
5 Sep	H	Arsenal Tivat	5-2	W
30 Aug	A	Dečić	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Sutjeska	0-0	D

Head to head

15Sutjeska wins

7draws

5Jezero wins

27 meetings · goals 34:16 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Sutjeska

22 Aug 2026First League	First League	Jezero0-0Sutjeska
26 Apr 2026First League	First League	Sutjeska1-1Jezero
1 Mar 2026First League	First League	Jezero1-1Sutjeska
10 Feb 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Sutjeska0-1Jezero
26 Oct 2025First League	First League	Sutjeska1-0Jezero
24 Aug 2025First League	First League	Jezero2-1Sutjeska
18 May 2025First League	First League	Jezero2-0Sutjeska
29 Mar 2025First League	First League	Sutjeska2-1Jezero
25 Nov 2024First League	First League	Jezero0-1Sutjeska
22 Sep 2024First League	First League	Sutjeska2-1Jezero

First League tablePrva Ligaupdated 28 Oct 20:10 UTC

In the First League table, Sutjeska sit 4th with 19 points from 12 games, while Jezero are 9th with 11 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Buducnost Podgorica	13	6	4	3	18:12	+6	22
2	Otrant-Olympic	12	6	3	3	21:15	+6	21
3	Mornar	13	5	5	3	20:15	+5	20
4	Sutjeska	12	5	4	3	16:8	+8	19
5	Bokelj	12	5	4	3	10:9	+1	19
6	Dečić	11	4	3	4	10:10	0	15
7	Mladost DG	12	3	3	6	11:21	-10	12
8	Petrovac	11	2	5	4	11:13	-2	11
9	Jezero	12	2	5	5	13:20	-7	11
10	Arsenal Tivat	12	1	6	5	9:16	-7	9

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg161%1.48X23%4.01216%5.65

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.44 → 1.48 +2.8%X4.01 → 4.01 0.0%26.25 → 5.65 -9.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.71	2.05	7.3%
Betano	1.75	1.98	7.6%
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.71	1.98	9.0%
Best of all books	1.85	2.05	2.8%
Average	1.74	1.99	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Betano	1.87	1.80	9.0%
William Hill	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.82	9.9%
Best of all books	1.87	1.91	5.8%
Average	1.82	1.85	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sutjeska 45%Draw 45%Jezero 10%

The statistical model rates Sutjeska at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Jezero at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.48 | 4.01 | 5.65, which imply roughly 67.6% for a Sutjeska win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Sutjeska are 4th (19 pts, 16-8 goals), Jezero 9th (11 pts, 13-20).

Over their last five matches, Sutjeska averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Jezero averaged 1.2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Sutjeska or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.47	4.03	5.66

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.09	2.45	1.18

Draw no bet

1	2
1.18	4.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.82	1.85

1st half

1	X	2
1.98	2.30	5.80

2nd half

1	X	2
1.78	2.67	5.31

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.17	17.0	51.8
HT X	4.20	6.20	12.6
HT 2	20.8	17.8	10.4

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.41	11.3	3.12

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	9.67
1.5	1.21	3.73
2.5	1.74	1.99
3.5	2.76	1.37
4.5	5.13	1.12
5.5	9.40	1.03

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.70
1.25	1.16	4.50
1.75	1.26	3.29
2	1.32	2.97
2.25	1.51	2.33
2.75	1.88	1.80
3	2.18	1.58
3.25	2.46	1.45
3.75	3.20	1.26
4	4.20	1.15
4.25	4.80	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.67	1.39
-1.5	2.16	1.63
-1.25	2.04	1.66
-1	1.78	1.93
-0.75	1.59	2.18
-0.5	1.51	2.42

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.80	1.02
-3	7.20	1.03
-2.5	4.10	1.16
-2.25	3.74	1.19
-2	3.34	1.24
-0.25	1.31	3.01
0	1.13	4.50
+0.25	1.11	5.70

Next First League matches

29 Oct

Dečić – Otrant-Olympic

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

28 Oct	Petrovac 1-0 Mladost DG
28 Oct	Arsenal Tivat 0-0 Bokelj
27 Oct	Buducnost Podgorica 3-2 Mornar
24 Oct	Otrant-Olympic 1-1 Sutjeska
23 Oct	Jezero 1-2 Petrovac
23 Oct	Bokelj 2-0 Dečić