Chelsea vs Manchester United• Premier League, England

#51.8:1.612:30Today · Stamford Bridge, London0.6:1.4#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.071XBX3.95DAF24.10DAFMargin4.9%Books10Markets100Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 05:24 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.07	3.82	3.68	1.7%
Betano	2.02	3.95	3.65	2.2%
Marathonbet	2.04	3.76	3.62	3.2%
Pinnacle	2.02	3.80	3.61	3.5%
Dafabet	1.84	3.95	4.10	4.1%
Bet365	2.00	3.70	3.60	4.8%
Betfair	2.00	3.70	3.60	4.8%
William Hill	2.00	3.60	3.40	7.2%
BetVictor	1.95	3.75	3.40	7.4%
SBO	1.82	3.46	3.45	12.8%
Best of all books	2.07	3.95	4.10	-2.0%
Average	1.98	3.75	3.61	5.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ChelseaManchester United

Last 10#5Table position#161.63Points per game0.887Form pts · last 521.8Goals for · last 50.61.6Goals against · last 51.475Attack rating2547Defence rating5370Form rating3050H2H rating5063Goals model3759Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 23:30 UTC

Chelsea

5W 2D 3L · goals 23:17 · per match 2.3 for, 1.7 against

28 Oct	A	Liverpool	1-1	D
24 Oct	H	Tottenham	0-2	L
17 Oct	A	Everton	2-0	W
10 Oct	H	Bournemouth	5-1	W
18 Sep	A	Brentford	0-3	L
12 Sep	H	Hull City	2-2	D
9 Sep	H	Leeds	6-3	W
6 Sep	A	Arsenal	1-2	L
30 Aug	H	Brighton	4-3	W
27 Aug	H	Luton	2-0	W

Manchester United

1W 4D 5L · goals 12:18 · per match 1.2 for, 1.8 against

25 Oct	H	Bournemouth	0-3	L
21 Oct	A	Como	1-4	L
18 Oct	A	Leeds	1-1	D
13 Oct	A	Atletico Madrid	0-2	L
10 Oct	H	Tottenham	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Fulham	1-1	D
16 Sep	H	Brighton	2-3	L
13 Sep	H	Manchester City	0-1	L
10 Sep	H	Sabah FA	4-0	W
6 Sep	A	Everton	2-2	D

Head to head

13Chelsea wins

14draws

13Manchester United wins

40 meetings · goals 51:55 · last 10: 2W 4D 4L for Chelsea

18 Apr 2026Premier League	Premier League	Chelsea0-1Manchester United
20 Sep 2025Premier League	Premier League	Manchester United2-1Chelsea
16 May 2025Premier League	Premier League	Chelsea1-0Manchester United
3 Nov 2024Premier League	Premier League	Manchester United1-1Chelsea
4 Apr 2024Premier League	Premier League	Chelsea4-3Manchester United
6 Dec 2023Premier League	Premier League	Manchester United2-1Chelsea
25 May 2023Premier League	Premier League	Manchester United4-1Chelsea
22 Oct 2022Premier League	Premier League	Chelsea1-1Manchester United
28 Apr 2022Premier League	Premier League	Manchester United1-1Chelsea
28 Nov 2021Premier League	Premier League	Chelsea1-1Manchester United

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 31 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Premier League table, Chelsea sit 5th with 13 points from 8 games, while Manchester United are 16th with 7 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	8	7	0	1	20:9	+11	21
2	Arsenal	8	7	0	1	13:5	+8	21
3	Brighton	8	5	1	2	23:7	+16	16
4	Liverpool	8	4	3	1	11:8	+3	15
5	Chelsea	8	4	1	3	17:15	+2	13
6	Brentford	8	2	5	1	14:9	+5	11
7	Leeds	8	2	5	1	9:6	+3	11
8	Newcastle	8	3	2	3	12:14	-2	11
9	Aston Villa	8	3	2	3	9:12	-3	11
10	Hull City	8	2	4	2	9:8	+1	10
11	Everton	8	2	4	2	8:9	-1	10
12	Ipswich	8	3	1	4	12:16	-4	10
13	Bournemouth	8	2	3	3	12:13	-1	9
14	Tottenham	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9
15	Fulham	8	2	2	4	8:10	-2	8
16	Manchester United	8	1	4	3	10:13	-3	7
17	Crystal Palace	8	2	1	5	9:19	-10	7
18	Nottingham Forest	8	1	3	4	6:10	-4	6
19	Coventry	8	2	0	6	6:15	-9	6
20	Sunderland	8	1	2	5	6:14	-8	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.97X25%3.74226%3.65

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.83 → 1.97 +7.7%X3.88 → 3.74 -3.6%23.96 → 3.65 -7.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.71	2.33	1.4%
Pinnacle	1.64	2.34	3.7%
Betano	1.62	2.35	4.3%
Bet365	1.62	2.30	5.2%
Betfair	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.20	7.6%
BetVictor	1.58	2.19	9.0%
Best of all books	1.71	2.35	1.0%
Average	1.62	2.29	5.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.50	2.60	5.1%
William Hill	1.55	2.40	6.2%
Betano	1.53	2.40	7.0%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
1xBet	1.53	2.37	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.34	8.1%
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Best of all books	1.55	2.60	3.0%
Average	1.52	2.41	7.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Chelsea 45%Draw 45%Manchester United 10%

The statistical model rates Chelsea at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Manchester United at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.97 | 3.74 | 3.65, which imply roughly 50.8% for a Chelsea win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Chelsea are 5th (13 pts, 17-15 goals), Manchester United 16th (7 pts, 10-13).

Over their last five matches, Chelsea averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Manchester United averaged 0.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Chelsea or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.98	3.75	3.61

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.83	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.45	2.55

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.52	2.41

1st half

1	X	2
2.48	2.35	3.85

2nd half

1	X	2
2.26	2.66	3.51

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.04	14.0	30.8
HT X	5.27	6.13	8.35
HT 2	21.8	14.3	5.86

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.68	15.4	2.29

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	12.7
1.5	1.18	4.68
2.5	1.62	2.29
3.5	2.52	1.52
4.5	4.53	1.19
5.5	8.68	1.05
6.5	13.1	1.02
7.5	19.0	1.01

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.4
1.25	1.07	6.21
1.75	1.20	4.04
2	1.28	3.65
2.25	1.44	2.68
2.75	1.76	2.06
3	2.00	1.82
3.25	2.26	1.65
3.75	2.95	1.39
4	3.85	1.26
4.25	4.25	1.20
4.75	5.74	1.10
5	8.15	1.05
5.25	8.23	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.78	1.43
-0.75	2.23	1.65
-0.5	1.95	1.88
-0.25	1.71	2.15
0	1.49	2.65
+0.25	1.37	3.04

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	11.8	1.02
-2.75	7.00	1.10
-2.5	7.21	1.07
-2.25	5.83	1.10
-2	6.14	1.10
-1.75	4.36	1.18
-1.5	3.37	1.30
-1.25	3.14	1.33
+0.5	1.31	3.52
+0.75	1.20	4.41
+1	1.10	6.63
+1.25	1.08	7.08
+1.5	1.05	7.50
+1.75	1.01	10.8
+2.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.05	8.50
2.5	1.16	4.80
3.5	1.36	3.01
4.5	1.69	2.10
5.5	2.24	1.61
6.5	3.30	1.30
7.5	4.80	1.16
8.5	6.90	1.08
9.5	9.25	1.04

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
4	1.41	2.82
5	2.02	1.81
6	3.28	1.31

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.01	14.0
4.5	1.02	14.4
5.5	1.03	9.38
6.5	1.08	6.14
7.5	1.17	4.12
8.5	1.35	2.86
9.5	1.61	2.19
10.5	2.04	1.73
11.5	2.63	1.42
12.5	3.45	1.24
13.5	4.76	1.13
14.5	6.53	1.06
15.5	9.50	1.03
16.5	11.0	1.02
17.5	12.5	1.01
18.5	14.0	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.08	4.80
8	1.18	3.42
8.75	1.35	2.74
9	1.43	2.60
9.25	1.49	2.34
9.75	1.66	2.06
10	1.83	1.95
10.25	1.89	1.85
10.75	2.13	1.62
11	2.25	1.57
11.25	2.42	1.47
11.75	2.79	1.35
12	2.75	1.29
12.25	3.28	1.25
13	3.65	1.16
14	4.75	1.08

Next Premier League matches

31 Oct	Coventry – Sunderland
31 Oct	Manchester City – Brighton
31 Oct	Bournemouth – Leeds
31 Oct	Brentford – Nottingham Forest
31 Oct	Hull City – Ipswich
31 Oct	Tottenham – Crystal Palace

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

25 Oct	Sunderland 0-0 Leeds
25 Oct	Hull City 1-1 Brentford
25 Oct	Liverpool 2-0 Brighton
25 Oct	Crystal Palace 0-2 Newcastle
25 Oct	Manchester United 0-3 Bournemouth
24 Oct	Chelsea 0-2 Tottenham