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Sunderland vs Leeds• Premier League, England

#200.8:2.40-0FT25/10 · Stadium of Light, Sunderland1.4:1.0#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.081XBX3.301XB22.64PINMargin at best0.6%Books9Markets88Rating30 · 70Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 13:09 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet3.013.242.671.5%
Pinnacle3.023.162.632.8%
Betfair3.003.102.604.1%
Marathonbet2.933.152.604.3%
Dafabet2.903.252.554.5%
Betano2.953.052.605.1%
Bet3652.903.102.605.2%
William Hill2.903.102.506.7%
BetVictor2.903.002.557.0%
Best of all books3.023.252.671.3%
Average2.953.132.594.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SunderlandLeeds
Last 10#20Table position#70.63Points per game1.388Form pts · last 560.8Goals for · last 51.42.4Goals against · last 51.036Attack rating6429Defence rating7114Form rating8638H2H rating6217Goals model8330Overall rating70

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 22:50 UTC

Sunderland

4W 2D 4L · goals 11:15 · per match 1.1 for, 1.5 against

28 OctHBrentford3-2W
25 OctHLeeds0-0D
22 OctALech Poznan1-1D
18 OctABournemouth0-2L
15 OctATorreense2-1W
10 OctHBrighton0-2L
20 SepAManchester City3-5L
16 SepHAZ Alkmaar1-0W
12 SepHArsenal0-2L
8 SepHHull City1-0W

Leeds

3W 5D 2L · goals 14:12 · per match 1.4 for, 1.2 against

25 OctASunderland0-0D
18 OctHManchester United1-1D
10 OctAArsenal1-2L
20 SepHCrystal Palace0-0D
14 SepHNewcastle4-1W
9 SepAChelsea3-6L
5 SepABrighton1-1D
30 AugHBrentford1-1D
25 AugANottingham Forest2-0W
22 AugANottingham Forest1-0W

Head to head

3Sunderland wins
4draws
3Leeds wins

10 meetings · goals 8:9 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for Sunderland

30 Jul 2026Premier League - Summer SeriesPremier League - Summer SeriesSunderland0-1Leeds
3 Mar 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueLeeds0-1Sunderland
28 Dec 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueSunderland1-1Leeds
17 Feb 2025ChampionshipChampionshipLeeds2-1Sunderland
4 Oct 2024ChampionshipChampionshipSunderland2-2Leeds
9 Apr 2024ChampionshipChampionshipLeeds0-0Sunderland
12 Dec 2023ChampionshipChampionshipSunderland1-0Leeds
7 Apr 2018ChampionshipChampionshipLeeds1-1Sunderland
19 Aug 2017ChampionshipChampionshipSunderland0-2Leeds
4 Jan 2015FA CupFA CupSunderland1-0Leeds

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 31 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Premier League table, Sunderland sit 20th with 5 points from 8 games, while Leeds are 7th with 11 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Manchester City870120:9+1121
2Arsenal870113:5+821
3Brighton851223:7+1616
4Liverpool843111:8+315
5Chelsea841317:15+213
6Brentford825114:9+511
7Leeds82519:6+311
8Newcastle832312:14-211
9Aston Villa83239:12-311
10Hull City82429:8+110
11Everton82428:9-110
12Ipswich831412:16-410
13Bournemouth823312:13-19
14Tottenham82338:10-29
15Fulham82248:10-28
16Manchester United814310:13-37
17Crystal Palace82159:19-107
18Nottingham Forest81346:10-46
19Coventry82066:15-96
20Sunderland81256:14-85

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.95X31%3.13237%2.59

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 00:0125 Oct 10:301 2.94X 3.162 2.57
12.88 → 2.94 +2.1%X3.24 → 3.16 -2.5%22.50 → 2.57 +2.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.271.741.5%
Pinnacle2.271.702.9%
Betano2.221.703.9%
Marathonbet2.201.694.6%
Bet3652.201.675.3%
Betfair2.201.627.2%
BetVictor2.081.649.1%
Best of all books2.271.741.5%
Average2.211.684.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.911.914.7%
Betfair1.851.955.3%
Betano1.821.936.8%
1xBet1.851.877.5%
Marathonbet1.851.858.1%
William Hill1.851.858.1%
BetVictor1.801.908.2%
Best of all books1.911.953.6%
Average1.851.896.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sunderland 10%Draw 45%Leeds 45%

The statistical model rated Sunderland at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Leeds at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.95 | 3.13 | 2.59, which imply roughly 31.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Sunderland are 20th (5 pts, 6-14 goals), Leeds 7th (11 pts, 9-6).

Over their last five matches, Sunderland averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Leeds averaged 1.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Leeds.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Sunderland

4-2-3-1

Coach: R. Le Bris

Goalkeeper

  • 22R. Roefs

Defence

  • 32T. Hume
  • 20N. Mukiele
  • 13L. O'Nien
  • 17Reinildo

Midfield

  • 34G. Xhaka
  • 27N. Sadiki
  • 10N. Angulo
  • 11C. Rigg
  • 28E. Le Fée

Attack

  • 9B. Brobbey
Substitutes (9)
  • 31M. Ellborg
  • 19H. Diarra
  • 15O. Alderete
  • 29Jules Ahoka
  • 6D. Methalie
  • 50J. Angulo
  • 7C. Talbi
  • 39M. Fofana
  • 57Timur Tuterov

Leeds

3-4-2-1

Coach: D. Farke

Goalkeeper

  • 1J. Trafford

Defence

  • 24J. Justin
  • 15J. Bijol
  • 5T. Muharemović

Midfield

  • 2J. Bogle
  • 4E. Ampadu
  • 22A. Tanaka
  • 3G. Gudmundsson
  • 10H. Wilson
  • 11B. Aaronson

Attack

  • 9D. Calvert-Lewin
Substitutes (9)
  • 16M. Zetterer
  • 26M. Bard
  • 18A. Stach
  • 50Alfie Cresswell
  • 8S. Longstaff
  • 44I. Gruev
  • 14L. Nmecha
  • 19N. Okafor
  • 23J. Bahoya

Match Statistics

SunderlandLeeds
0.99Expected Goals0.63
279Passes accurate261
8Shots insidebox7
7Shots outsidebox4
7Blocked Shots3
14Free Kicks10
4Shots on Goal4
3Goalkeeper Saves4
4Shots off Goal4
3Offsides0
375Total passes361
15Total Shots11
1Yellow Cards2
4Corner Kicks5
10Fouls14
0Red Cards0
45%Ball Possession55%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.953.132.59

Double chance

1XX212
1.501.401.36

Draw no bet

12
2.001.74

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.851.89

1st half

1X2
3.582.023.25

2nd half

1X2
3.152.322.86

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 14.8514.433.0
HT X6.504.485.84
HT 235.214.34.26

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.147.701.99

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.067.87
1.51.382.97
2.52.211.68
3.54.011.23
4.58.151.06
5.513.81.02
6.523.21.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.056.87
11.086.32
1.251.233.91
1.751.482.58
21.642.24
2.251.911.88
2.752.551.52
33.181.35
3.253.611.29
3.754.851.14
46.861.07
4.257.171.05
58.701.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.861.42
-0.252.441.56
02.061.80
+0.251.682.16
+0.51.512.53
+0.751.353.10
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.512.01.02
-1.758.051.04
-1.56.141.09
-1.255.681.12
-15.341.15
-0.753.571.28
+11.204.35
+1.251.174.76
+1.51.135.39
+1.751.076.76
+21.0210.1
+2.51.0211.3

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.077.60
2.51.204.20
3.51.402.85
4.51.841.90
5.52.621.46
6.53.801.24
7.55.501.12
8.57.801.06
9.510.31.03
2 more lines
LineOverUnder
41.472.65
52.171.68

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0112.5
4.51.0211.4
5.51.066.76
6.51.154.34
7.51.322.99
8.51.622.18
9.52.031.71
10.52.611.43
11.53.551.23
12.54.961.12
13.56.871.06
14.59.751.03
15.514.31.02
16.513.01.01
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.065.07
71.173.55
7.751.342.78
81.422.65
8.251.482.35
8.751.652.03
91.851.95
9.251.881.78
9.752.141.59
102.321.54
10.252.501.43
10.752.911.32
112.851.27
11.253.481.22
123.851.14
135.021.07

Next Premier League matches

31 OctChelsea – Manchester United
31 OctCoventry – Sunderland
31 OctManchester City – Brighton
31 OctBournemouth – Leeds
31 OctBrentford – Nottingham Forest
31 OctHull City – Ipswich

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

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25 OctLiverpool 2-0 Brighton
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25 OctManchester United 0-3 Bournemouth
24 OctChelsea 0-2 Tottenham
24 OctCoventry 0-1 Fulham