Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers• Championship, Scotland

#10.8:0.41-1FT17/10 · Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir1.6:0.6#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.25PINX3.11PIN22.38PINMargin at best4.9%Books6Markets74Rating44 · 57Exp. goals L51.7

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.25	3.12	2.37	5.0%
BetVictor	3.13	3.00	2.25	9.7%
Bet365	3.10	3.10	2.20	10.0%
William Hill	3.10	2.90	2.30	10.2%
1xBet	3.14	2.91	2.25	10.7%
Marathonbet	3.06	2.91	2.23	11.9%
Best of all books	3.25	3.12	2.37	5.0%
Average	3.13	2.99	2.27	9.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

StenhousemuirRaith Rovers

Last 10#1Table position#22.30Points per game1.919Form pts · last 5100.8Goals for · last 51.60.4Goals against · last 50.633Attack rating6760Defence rating4055Form rating4515H2H rating8573Goals model2744Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:01 UTC

Stenhousemuir

8W 0D 2L · goals 12:6 · per match 1.2 for, 0.6 against

10 Oct	A	Inverness CT	0-2	L
25 Sep	A	Ayr Utd	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Arbroath	1-0	W
15 Sep	H	Partick	1-0	W
11 Sep	H	Heart Of Midlothian	0-3	L
4 Sep	A	Livingston	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	Inverness CT	3-1	W
22 Aug	A	Queen's Park	2-0	W
16 Aug	H	Motherwell	1-0	W
8 Aug	H	Morton	2-0	W

Raith Rovers

6W 2D 2L · goals 15:6 · per match 1.5 for, 0.6 against

10 Oct	H	Queen's Park	2-0	W
3 Oct	A	Morton	2-1	W
25 Sep	H	Livingston	0-2	L
19 Sep	A	Partick	0-0	D
12 Sep	H	Arbroath	4-0	W
5 Sep	A	Inverness CT	2-0	W
28 Aug	A	Dunfermline	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	Ayr Utd	2-0	W
8 Aug	A	Queen's Park	2-1	W
1 Aug	H	Stenhousemuir	1-1	D

Head to head

0Stenhousemuir wins

2draws

3Raith Rovers wins

5 meetings · goals 4:12 · last 5: 0W 2D 3L for Stenhousemuir

1 Aug 2026Championship	Championship	Raith Rovers1-1Stenhousemuir
6 Apr 2019League One	League One	Stenhousemuir1-1Raith Rovers
5 Jan 2019League One	League One	Raith Rovers5-1Stenhousemuir
17 Nov 2018League One	League One	Stenhousemuir1-3Raith Rovers
11 Aug 2018League One	League One	Raith Rovers2-0Stenhousemuir

Championship tableDivision1updated 19 Oct 18:30 UTC

In the Championship table, Stenhousemuir sit 1st with 23 points from 10 games, while Raith Rovers are 2nd with 21 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Stenhousemuir	10	7	2	1	13:5	+8	23
2	Raith Rovers	11	6	3	2	16:7	+9	21
3	Partick	10	6	3	1	11:3	+8	21
4	Inverness CT	11	4	4	3	14:11	+3	16
5	Livingston	11	4	2	5	14:11	+3	14
6	Dunfermline	9	3	5	1	7:5	+2	14
7	Ayr Utd	11	3	3	5	10:12	-2	12
8	Arbroath	11	3	2	6	7:17	-10	11
9	Morton	11	2	1	8	9:18	-9	7
10	Queen's Park	11	2	1	8	6:18	-12	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.31X30%3.01242%2.17

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.31 → 3.13 -5.4%X3.13 → 2.99 -4.5%22.12 → 2.27 +7.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.53	1.53	4.9%
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
BetVictor	2.29	1.53	9.0%
1xBet	2.42	1.44	10.8%
Marathonbet	2.42	1.44	10.8%
Best of all books	2.53	1.53	4.9%
Average	2.43	1.49	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.00	1.75	7.1%
Bet365	2.10	1.67	7.5%
1xBet	2.05	1.67	8.7%
BetVictor	2.00	1.70	8.8%
Marathonbet	2.05	1.65	9.4%
Best of all books	2.10	1.75	4.8%
Average	2.04	1.69	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Stenhousemuir 10%Draw 45%Raith Rovers 45%

The statistical model rated Stenhousemuir at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Raith Rovers at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.31 | 3.01 | 2.17, which imply roughly 33.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Stenhousemuir are 1st (23 pts, 13-5 goals), Raith Rovers 2nd (21 pts, 16-7).

Over their last five matches, Stenhousemuir averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Raith Rovers averaged 1.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Raith Rovers and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.13	2.99	2.27

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.52	1.29	1.32

Draw no bet

1	2
2.22	1.60

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.04	1.69

1st half

1	X	2
3.95	1.94	3.04

2nd half

1	X	2
3.55	2.17	2.73

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.23	15.8	33.3
HT X	6.67	4.10	5.27
HT 2	39.0	15.0	3.70

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.28	6.83	1.90

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	6.67
1.5	1.47	2.51
2.5	2.43	1.49
3.5	4.68	1.15
4.5	9.00	1.04
5.5	17.5	1.01
6.5	21.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.08	5.55
1	1.11	4.95
1.25	1.29	3.08
1.75	1.59	2.19
2	1.81	1.88
2.25	2.13	1.63
2.75	2.74	1.39
3	3.88	1.18
3.25	4.26	1.15
3.75	5.90	1.07
4	8.50	1.01
4.25	7.31	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.17	1.35
-0.25	2.64	1.43
0	2.22	1.60
+0.25	1.79	1.93
+0.5	1.60	2.28
+0.75	1.40	2.73

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.93	1.01
-1.5	6.97	1.06
-1.25	6.46	1.07
-1	5.93	1.09
-0.75	3.95	1.21
+1	1.23	3.77
+1.25	1.18	4.26
+1.5	1.15	4.57
+1.75	1.09	6.19
+2	1.02	8.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.01	7.10
6.5	1.16	4.04
7.5	1.37	2.72
8.5	1.71	2.03
9.5	2.14	1.62
10.5	2.85	1.34
11.5	3.98	1.16
12.5	6.07	1.04

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.02	6.80
6	1.03	6.50
6.25	1.09	4.96
6.75	1.17	3.88
7	1.20	3.67
7.25	1.28	3.10
7.75	1.42	2.58
8	1.49	2.44
8.25	1.58	2.20
8.75	1.78	1.93
9	1.94	1.82
9.25	2.01	1.72
9.75	2.29	1.54
10	2.51	1.47
10.25	2.66	1.39
10.75	3.14	1.27
11	3.63	1.20
11.25	3.81	1.18
11.75	4.63	1.11
12	5.64	1.06
12.25	5.86	1.05

Next Championship matches

20 Oct

Dunfermline – Partick

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

17 Oct	Dunfermline 0-0 Livingston
17 Oct	Morton 2-0 Queen's Park
17 Oct	Inverness CT 2-0 Arbroath
16 Oct	Ayr Utd 0-1 Partick
13 Oct	Queen's Park 2-1 Inverness CT
10 Oct	Inverness CT 2-0 Stenhousemuir