Ayr Utd vs Partick• Championship, Scotland

#71.2:1.20-1FTToday · Somerset Park, Ayr1.2:0.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.12PINX4.11PIN21.62WHMargin at best5.6%Books6Markets88Rating33 · 67Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 17:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	5.18	4.15	1.61	5.5%
BetVictor	4.75	3.90	1.60	9.2%
William Hill	4.80	3.80	1.60	9.6%
1xBet	4.64	3.76	1.60	10.6%
Marathonbet	4.55	3.76	1.58	11.9%
Bet365	4.50	3.80	1.57	12.2%
Best of all books	5.18	4.15	1.61	5.5%
Average	4.74	3.86	1.59	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Ayr UtdPartick

Last 10#7Table position#31.20Points per game2.007Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 50.450Attack rating5025Defence rating7541Form rating5915H2H rating8532Goals model6833Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 20:01 UTC

Ayr Utd

2W 3D 5L · goals 10:14 · per match 1.0 for, 1.4 against

10 Oct	H	Dunfermline	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Livingston	2-1	W
25 Sep	H	Stenhousemuir	0-1	L
18 Sep	A	Queen's Park	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	Inverness CT	1-3	L
5 Sep	A	Partick	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Morton	1-1	D
22 Aug	A	Raith Rovers	0-2	L
14 Aug	A	Kilmarnock	2-3	L
8 Aug	A	Dunfermline	1-1	D

Partick

5W 3D 2L · goals 10:4 · per match 1.0 for, 0.4 against

10 Oct	A	Livingston	2-1	W
3 Oct	H	Arbroath	3-0	W
19 Sep	H	Raith Rovers	0-0	D
15 Sep	A	Stenhousemuir	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Ayr Utd	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	Queen's Park	0-0	D
21 Aug	A	Inverness CT	1-1	D
16 Aug	A	Hibernian	0-1	L
7 Aug	H	Livingston	2-0	W
1 Aug	A	Morton	1-0	W

Head to head

10Ayr Utd wins

8draws

19Partick wins

37 meetings · goals 39:66 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for Ayr Utd

5 Sep 2026Championship	Championship	Partick1-0Ayr Utd
4 Apr 2026Championship	Championship	Ayr Utd1-1Partick
24 Jan 2026Championship	Championship	Partick2-1Ayr Utd
6 Dec 2025Championship	Championship	Ayr Utd0-0Partick
21 Oct 2025Championship	Championship	Partick2-1Ayr Utd
16 Aug 2025League Cup	League Cup	Partick2-0Ayr Utd
9 May 2025Premiership	Premiership	Ayr Utd0-2Partick
6 May 2025Premiership	Premiership	Partick0-1Ayr Utd
15 Mar 2025Championship	Championship	Partick2-0Ayr Utd
25 Jan 2025Championship	Championship	Ayr Utd2-1Partick

Championship tableDivision1updated 16 Oct 20:31 UTC

In the Championship table, Ayr Utd sit 7th with 12 points from 10 games, while Partick are 3rd with 18 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Stenhousemuir	9	7	1	1	12:4	+8	22
2	Raith Rovers	10	6	2	2	15:6	+9	20
3	Partick	9	5	3	1	10:3	+7	18
4	Livingston	10	4	1	5	14:11	+3	13
5	Dunfermline	8	3	4	1	7:5	+2	13
6	Inverness CT	10	3	4	3	12:11	+1	13
7	Ayr Utd	10	3	3	4	10:11	-1	12
8	Arbroath	10	3	2	5	7:15	-8	11
9	Queen's Park	10	2	1	7	6:16	-10	7
10	Morton	10	1	1	8	7:18	-11	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg119%4.74X24%3.86257%1.59

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.99 → 4.73 +18.5%X3.50 → 3.83 +9.4%21.80 → 1.60 -11.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.70	2.17	4.9%
Bet365	1.67	2.15	6.4%
1xBet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
BetVictor	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Best of all books	1.70	2.17	4.9%
Average	1.67	2.09	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.68	2.04	8.5%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.68	2.01	9.3%
Best of all books	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Average	1.69	2.04	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ayr Utd 10%Draw 45%Partick 45%

The statistical model rated Ayr Utd at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Partick at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.74 | 3.86 | 1.59, which imply roughly 25.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Ayr Utd are 7th (12 pts, 10-11 goals), Partick 3rd (18 pts, 10-3).

Over their last five matches, Ayr Utd averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Partick averaged 1.2 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Partick and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.74	3.86	1.59

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.12	1.14	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
3.65	1.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	2.04

1st half

1	X	2
4.91	2.32	2.14

2nd half

1	X	2
4.49	2.65	1.96

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	7.90	16.1	21.7
HT X	10.3	6.13	4.43
HT 2	37.7	15.8	2.37

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.62	12.9	1.53

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	10.0
1.5	1.19	4.08
2.5	1.67	2.09
3.5	2.66	1.41
4.5	4.76	1.15
5.5	8.57	1.03
6.5	12.0	1.01
7.5	17.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.95
1	–	9.20
1.25	1.09	5.30
1.75	1.22	3.48
2	1.28	3.08
2.25	1.49	2.44
2.75	1.83	1.85
3	2.10	1.64
3.25	2.37	1.51
3.75	3.08	1.28
4	3.98	1.17
4.25	4.30	1.15
4.75	5.70	1.08
5	7.80	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.67	1.41
+0.5	2.29	1.59
+0.75	1.97	1.75
+1	1.70	2.05
+1.25	1.53	2.35
+1.5	1.42	2.65

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	9.20	1.02
-1.25	7.70	1.02
-1	8.70	1.01
-0.75	5.85	1.09
-0.5	4.65	1.18
-0.25	4.12	1.20
0	3.65	1.24
+1.75	1.31	3.19
+2	1.18	4.10
+2.25	1.15	4.47
+2.5	1.13	4.83
+2.75	1.08	6.18
+3	1.01	8.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.01	7.07
7.5	1.14	4.22
8.5	1.32	2.89
9.5	1.60	2.17
10.5	1.96	1.77
11.5	2.49	1.45
12.5	3.40	1.23
13.5	5.01	1.09
14.5	6.92	1.02

23 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.02	6.79
7	1.03	6.52
7.25	1.08	5.06
7.75	1.16	4.02
8	1.18	3.82
8.25	1.26	3.24
8.75	1.37	2.71
9	1.42	2.56
9.25	1.52	2.32
9.75	1.70	2.04
10	1.77	1.97
10.25	1.89	1.81
10.75	2.13	1.63
11	2.25	1.58
11.25	2.42	1.47
11.75	2.80	1.35
12	3.15	1.27
12.25	3.31	1.25
12.75	3.94	1.17
13	4.64	1.11
13.25	4.83	1.10
13.75	5.89	1.05
14	7.29	1.01