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Dunfermline vs Livingston• Championship, Scotland

#61.2:0.40-0FT17/10 · East End Park, Dunfermline2.0:1.4#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.50B365X3.56PIN22.93PINMargin at best2.2%Books6Markets77Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.343.562.935.0%
BetVictor2.403.402.639.1%
William Hill2.383.302.709.4%
1xBet2.303.242.6711.8%
Marathonbet2.303.242.6711.8%
Bet3652.503.302.4012.0%
Best of all books2.503.562.932.2%
Average2.373.342.679.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

DunfermlineLivingston
Last 10#6Table position#51.56Points per game1.278Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 52.00.4Goals against · last 51.438Attack rating6378Defence rating2261Form rating3950H2H rating5067Goals model3357Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 17:20 UTC

Dunfermline

3W 4D 3L · goals 9:11 · per match 0.9 for, 1.1 against

17 OctHLivingston0-0D
10 OctAAyr Utd1-1D
3 OctHAberdeen1-4L
19 SepAMorton1-0W
12 SepHQueen's Park2-0W
5 SepAArbroath1-1D
28 AugHRaith Rovers1-0W
22 AugALivingston0-2L
15 AugHRoss County1-2L
8 AugHAyr Utd1-1D

Livingston

4W 1D 5L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against

10 OctHPartick1-2L
3 OctHAyr Utd1-2L
25 SepARaith Rovers2-0W
19 SepHInverness CT2-2D
11 SepAMorton4-1W
4 SepHStenhousemuir0-1L
29 AugAArbroath0-1L
22 AugHDunfermline2-0W
7 AugAPartick0-2L
1 AugHQueen's Park2-0W

Head to head

5Dunfermline wins
4draws
6Livingston wins

15 meetings · goals 16:14 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Dunfermline

22 Aug 2026ChampionshipChampionshipLivingston2-0Dunfermline
2 Apr 2025ChampionshipChampionshipDunfermline1-0Livingston
15 Feb 2025ChampionshipChampionshipLivingston0-0Dunfermline
5 Feb 2025Challenge CupChallenge CupDunfermline0-2Livingston
29 Oct 2024ChampionshipChampionshipDunfermline3-0Livingston
3 Aug 2024ChampionshipChampionshipLivingston2-0Dunfermline
20 Jul 2024League CupLeague CupLivingston1-0Dunfermline
3 Apr 2018ChampionshipChampionshipDunfermline1-0Livingston
10 Feb 2018ChampionshipChampionshipLivingston0-0Dunfermline
21 Oct 2017ChampionshipChampionshipDunfermline3-1Livingston

Championship tableDivision1updated 19 Oct 18:30 UTC

In the Championship table, Dunfermline sit 6th with 14 points from 9 games, while Livingston are 5th with 14 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Stenhousemuir1072113:5+823
2Raith Rovers1163216:7+921
3Partick1063111:3+821
4Inverness CT1144314:11+316
5Livingston1142514:11+314
6Dunfermline93517:5+214
7Ayr Utd1133510:12-212
8Arbroath113267:17-1011
9Morton112189:18-97
10Queen's Park112186:18-127

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.34X28%3.27233%2.76

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0117 Oct 12:201 2.37X 3.342 2.67
12.59 → 2.37 -8.5%X3.34 → 3.34 0.0%22.45 → 2.67 +9.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.802.044.6%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
1xBet1.741.949.0%
Marathonbet1.741.949.0%
BetVictor1.731.959.1%
Best of all books1.802.044.6%
Average1.761.977.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.622.207.2%
Bet3651.672.107.5%
BetVictor1.602.208.0%
1xBet1.602.188.4%
Marathonbet1.602.149.2%
Best of all books1.672.205.3%
Average1.622.168.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Dunfermline 45%Draw 45%Livingston 10%

The statistical model rated Dunfermline at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Livingston at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.34 | 3.27 | 2.76, which imply roughly 42.7% for a Dunfermline win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Championship table: Dunfermline are 6th (14 pts, 7-5 goals), Livingston 5th (14 pts, 14-11).

Over their last five matches, Dunfermline averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Livingston averaged 2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Dunfermline or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.373.342.67

Double chance

1XX212
1.391.491.26

Draw no bet

12
1.771.94

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.622.16

1st half

1X2
2.952.193.31

2nd half

1X2
2.652.482.96

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.8014.228.3
HT X5.805.276.47
HT 226.014.24.30

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8912.01.99

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.029.90
1.51.233.75
2.51.761.97
3.52.831.37
4.55.251.12
5.58.901.05
6.513.01.01
7.521.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.78
11.018.40
1.251.114.89
1.751.263.20
21.342.93
2.251.552.27
2.751.941.77
32.261.55
3.252.551.44
3.753.281.25
44.401.14
4.254.701.12
58.601.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.801.39
-0.52.371.55
-0.252.041.71
01.771.97
+0.251.542.32
+0.51.452.67
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.801.01
-28.101.02
-1.755.781.09
-1.54.451.15
-1.254.161.19
-13.681.24
+0.751.303.25
+11.184.40
+1.251.144.73
+1.51.115.25
+1.751.076.98
+21.019.65
+2.51.0110.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.036.37
7.51.183.84
8.51.402.63
9.51.722.01
10.52.141.62
11.52.761.36
12.53.781.18
13.55.571.06
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.046.11
71.055.84
7.251.114.61
7.751.193.68
81.223.50
8.251.303.00
8.751.432.54
91.532.35
9.251.592.19
9.751.781.93
101.961.80
10.251.991.73
10.752.251.56
112.481.48
11.252.591.41
11.753.021.30
123.441.22
12.253.611.20
12.754.341.13
135.181.08
13.255.381.07

Next Championship matches

20 OctDunfermline – Partick

All Championship fixtures and the table

Latest Championship results

17 OctStenhousemuir 1-1 Raith Rovers
17 OctMorton 2-0 Queen's Park
17 OctInverness CT 2-0 Arbroath
16 OctAyr Utd 0-1 Partick
13 OctQueen's Park 2-1 Inverness CT
10 OctInverness CT 2-0 Stenhousemuir