Motherwell vs
ST Mirren• Premiership, Scotland
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 08:31 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.83 | 4.10 | 4.10 | 3.4% |
| Betano | 1.82 | 3.95 | 4.00 | 5.3% |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.90 | 3.75 | 6.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 3.90 | 3.98 | 6.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.76 | 3.90 | 4.00 | 7.5% |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.80 | 3.80 | 8.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.80 | 3.90 | 9.1% |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.00 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.85 | 4.10 | 4.10 | 2.8% |
| Average | 1.79 | 3.87 | 3.94 | 7.0% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 17:01 UTC
Motherwell
1W 1D 8L · goals 11:24 · per match 1.1 for, 2.4 against
| 25 Oct | H | Heart Of Midlothian | 0-2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Kilmarnock | 2-3 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Celtic | 0-2 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Dundee | 1-2 | L |
| 15 Sep | H | Aberdeen | 0-4 | L |
| 5 Sep | A | Rangers | 0-1 | L |
| 2 Sep | H | Dundee Utd | 3-0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | ST Mirren | 3-3 | D |
| 27 Aug | A | SC Freiburg | 1-4 | L |
| 20 Aug | H | SC Freiburg | 1-3 | L |
ST Mirren
3W 1D 6L · goals 10:23 · per match 1.0 for, 2.3 against
| 24 Oct | H | Dundee | 2-1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Aberdeen | 1-3 | L |
| 10 Oct | A | Heart Of Midlothian | 0-5 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Dundee Utd | 0-3 | L |
| 9 Sep | A | Rangers | 0-1 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Celtic | 1-2 | L |
| 2 Sep | A | Kilmarnock | 1-0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | Motherwell | 3-3 | D |
| 16 Aug | A | Rangers | 1-5 | L |
| 8 Aug | H | ST Johnstone | 1-0 | W |
Head to head
47 meetings · goals 69:46 · last 10: 4W 5D 1L for Motherwell
| 30 Aug 2026Premiership | Premiership | ST Mirren3-3Motherwell |
| 21 Feb 2026Premiership | Premiership | ST Mirren0-5Motherwell |
| 3 Jan 2026Premiership | Premiership | Motherwell2-0ST Mirren |
| 1 Nov 2025League Cup | League Cup | Motherwell1-4ST Mirren |
| 9 Aug 2025Premiership | Premiership | ST Mirren0-0Motherwell |
| 15 Mar 2025Premiership | Premiership | Motherwell2-2ST Mirren |
| 7 Dec 2024Premiership | Premiership | ST Mirren0-1Motherwell |
| 28 Sep 2024Premiership | Premiership | Motherwell2-1ST Mirren |
| 30 Mar 2024Premiership | Premiership | Motherwell1-1ST Mirren |
| 16 Dec 2023Premiership | Premiership | ST Mirren0-0Motherwell |
Premiership tablePremier Leagueupdated 27 Oct 18:31 UTC
In the Premiership table, Motherwell sit 10th with 8 points from 10 games, while ST Mirren are 6th with 13 points from 10.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25:6 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 | Rangers | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | +10 | 23 |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:15 | +7 | 19 |
| 4 | Dundee Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 |
| 5 | Dundee | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 | ST Mirren | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 13 |
| 7 | Falkirk | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | ST Johnstone | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 | Aberdeen | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:23 | -13 | 8 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 7 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.8% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.60 | 2.40 | 4.2% |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 5.7% |
| 1xBet | 1.56 | 2.33 | 7.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 2.33 | 7.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 2.25 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.60 | 2.40 | 4.2% |
| Average | 1.57 | 2.34 | 6.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.55 | 2.35 | 7.1% |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 2.30 | 7.2% |
| 1xBet | 1.53 | 2.35 | 7.9% |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 8.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 2.31 | 8.6% |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 2.38 | 8.7% |
| Best of all books | 1.57 | 2.38 | 5.7% |
| Average | 1.54 | 2.32 | 7.9% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Motherwell at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and ST Mirren at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.79 | 3.87 | 3.94, which imply roughly 55.9% for a Motherwell win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Premiership table: Motherwell are 10th (8 pts, 11-18 goals), ST Mirren 6th (13 pts, 11-18).
Over their last five matches, Motherwell averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; ST Mirren averaged 0.6 scored and 2.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Motherwell or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.79 | 3.87 | 3.94 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.23 | 1.95 | 1.23 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.36 | 2.95 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.54 | 2.32 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | 2.38 | 4.15 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.09 | 2.75 | 3.83 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 2.69 | 14.1 | 32.5 |
| HT X | 4.90 | 6.40 | 9.20 |
| HT 2 | 20.8 | 15.0 | 6.65 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.60 | 17.0 | 2.42 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 13.9 |
| 1.5 | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| 2.5 | 1.57 | 2.34 |
| 3.5 | 2.37 | 1.52 |
| 4.5 | 4.14 | 1.20 |
| 5.5 | 7.68 | 1.06 |
| 6.5 | 15.3 | 1.02 |
| 7.5 | 24.8 | 1.01 |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 9.80 |
| 1.25 | 1.06 | 6.10 |
| 1.75 | 1.17 | 4.06 |
| 2 | 1.21 | 3.65 |
| 2.25 | 1.38 | 2.72 |
| 2.75 | 1.68 | 2.05 |
| 3 | 1.87 | 1.83 |
| 3.25 | 2.09 | 1.63 |
| 3.75 | 2.68 | 1.38 |
| 4 | 3.28 | 1.25 |
| 4.25 | 3.59 | 1.21 |
| 4.75 | 4.80 | 1.11 |
| 5 | 6.45 | 1.05 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.25 | 2.57 | 1.43 |
| -1 | 2.33 | 1.57 |
| -0.75 | 1.93 | 1.77 |
| -0.5 | 1.77 | 2.02 |
| -0.25 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
| 0 | 1.34 | 2.92 |
14 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 11.0 | 1.02 |
| -3 | 10.5 | 1.01 |
| -2.75 | 6.65 | 1.05 |
| -2.5 | 5.60 | 1.10 |
| -2.25 | 5.10 | 1.12 |
| -2 | 4.73 | 1.14 |
| -1.75 | 3.46 | 1.24 |
| -1.5 | 2.98 | 1.35 |
| +0.25 | 1.27 | 3.34 |
| +0.5 | 1.25 | 3.80 |
| +0.75 | 1.14 | 4.77 |
| +1 | 1.04 | 6.85 |
| +1.5 | 1.04 | 7.63 |
| +2.5 | 1.01 | 13.0 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.07 | 4.90 |
| 7.5 | 1.17 | 3.59 |
| 8.5 | 1.35 | 2.88 |
| 9.5 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| 10.5 | 2.00 | 1.73 |
| 11.5 | 2.55 | 1.44 |
| 12.5 | 3.33 | 1.25 |
| 13.5 | 3.95 | 1.13 |
8 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.08 | 4.69 |
| 8 | 1.20 | 3.32 |
| 9 | 1.41 | 2.48 |
| 10 | 1.81 | 1.96 |
| 11 | 2.22 | 1.51 |
| 12 | 2.83 | 1.28 |
| 13 | 3.75 | 1.15 |
| 14 | 4.87 | 1.07 |
Next Premiership matches
| 28 Oct | ST Johnstone – Motherwell |
| 28 Oct | ST Mirren – Hibernian |
| 28 Oct | Celtic – Dundee Utd |
| 28 Oct | Aberdeen – Falkirk |
| 28 Oct | Dundee – Kilmarnock |
| 28 Oct | Heart Of Midlothian – Rangers |
Latest Premiership results
| 25 Oct | Motherwell 0-2 Heart Of Midlothian |
| 25 Oct | Hibernian 1-2 Celtic |
| 24 Oct | Falkirk 3-0 Kilmarnock |
| 24 Oct | Dundee Utd 3-2 Aberdeen |
| 24 Oct | Rangers 4-0 ST Johnstone |
| 24 Oct | ST Mirren 2-1 Dundee |