Falkirk vs Kilmarnock• Premiership, Scotland

#71.4:1.23-0FT24/10 · Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk1.2:1.2#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.91BFRX3.90B36523.97PINMargin at best3.2%Books9Markets84Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 09:39 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.89	3.90	4.01	3.5%
Dafabet	1.90	3.90	3.90	3.9%
Betano	1.87	3.85	3.90	5.1%
Betfair	1.91	3.80	3.60	6.4%
BetVictor	1.85	3.80	3.80	6.7%
Bet365	1.85	3.90	3.70	6.7%
1xBet	1.81	3.84	3.88	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.79	3.84	3.90	7.5%
William Hill	1.85	3.50	3.75	9.3%
Best of all books	1.91	3.90	4.01	2.9%
Average	1.86	3.81	3.83	6.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FalkirkKilmarnock

Last 10#7Table position#111.20Points per game0.8010Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 51.254Attack rating4650Defence rating5050Form rating5060H2H rating4043Goals model5752Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:01 UTC

Falkirk

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against

24 Oct	H	Kilmarnock	3-0	W
17 Oct	A	Hibernian	2-1	W
10 Oct	H	Dundee	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	ST Johnstone	1-1	D
15 Sep	H	Heart Of Midlothian	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Dundee Utd	1-1	D
2 Sep	H	Rangers	1-2	L
29 Aug	A	Celtic	1-2	L
9 Aug	A	Motherwell	0-0	D
1 Aug	H	ST Mirren	0-2	L

Kilmarnock

3W 3D 4L · goals 10:17 · per match 1.0 for, 1.7 against

24 Oct	A	Falkirk	0-3	L
17 Oct	H	Motherwell	3-2	W
10 Oct	A	Rangers	1-3	L
19 Sep	H	Heart Of Midlothian	1-1	D
15 Sep	A	Hibernian	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	Aberdeen	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Aberdeen	0-0	D
2 Sep	H	ST Mirren	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Dundee Utd	0-4	L
14 Aug	H	Ayr Utd	3-2	W

Head to head

4Falkirk wins

0draws

2Kilmarnock wins

6 meetings · goals 14:9 · last 6: 4W 0D 2L for Falkirk

28 Feb 2026Premiership	Premiership	Falkirk5-1Kilmarnock
20 Dec 2025Premiership	Premiership	Kilmarnock0-1Falkirk
1 Nov 2025Premiership	Premiership	Falkirk3-1Kilmarnock
24 Jun 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Falkirk1-4Kilmarnock
4 Sep 2021Challenge Cup	Challenge Cup	Kilmarnock3-1Falkirk
6 Oct 2020League Cup	League Cup	Falkirk3-0Kilmarnock

Premiership tablePremier Leagueupdated 24 Oct 18:02 UTC

In the Premiership table, Falkirk sit 7th with 12 points from 10 games, while Kilmarnock are 11th with 8 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	9	8	0	1	23:5	+18	24
2	Rangers	10	7	2	1	17:7	+10	23
3	Heart Of Midlothian	9	5	1	3	20:15	+5	16
4	Dundee Utd	10	4	3	3	14:14	0	15
5	Dundee	10	4	2	4	14:12	+2	14
6	ST Mirren	10	4	1	5	11:18	-7	13
7	Falkirk	10	3	3	4	12:12	0	12
8	ST Johnstone	10	3	3	4	11:15	-4	12
9	Aberdeen	10	3	2	5	12:13	-1	11
10	Motherwell	9	2	2	5	11:16	-5	8
11	Kilmarnock	10	2	2	6	10:23	-13	8
12	Hibernian	9	2	1	6	9:14	-5	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg151%1.86X25%3.81225%3.83

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.82 → 1.86 +2.2%X3.77 → 3.81 +1.1%23.85 → 3.82 -0.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.68	2.29	3.2%
Betano	1.65	2.30	4.1%
Bet365	1.67	2.20	5.3%
Betfair	1.65	2.20	6.1%
1xBet	1.61	2.23	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.23	7.0%
BetVictor	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Best of all books	1.68	2.30	3.0%
Average	1.64	2.23	5.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Betano	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.56	2.28	8.0%
William Hill	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.24	8.7%
BetVictor	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Best of all books	1.62	2.38	3.7%
Average	1.57	2.27	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Falkirk 45%Draw 45%Kilmarnock 10%

The statistical model rated Falkirk at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Kilmarnock at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.86 | 3.81 | 3.83, which imply roughly 53.8% for a Falkirk win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premiership table: Falkirk are 7th (12 pts, 12-12 goals), Kilmarnock 11th (8 pts, 10-23).

Over their last five matches, Falkirk averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Kilmarnock averaged 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Falkirk or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Falkirk

4-2-3-1

Coach: J. McGlynn

Goalkeeper

19S. Bain

Defence

22R. Strain
15L. Neilson
5L. Henderson
3L. McCann

Midfield

16Finley Frank Barbrook
8B. Spencer
23E. Ross
42Owen Eames
21D. Meļņiks

Attack

24J. Murrell

Substitutes (9)

1N. Hogarth
17S. Tanser
14F. Yeats
99C. Fodrey
4J. McMillan
10C. Sibbald
7Ben Parkinson
9R. MacIver
27C. McLeod

Kilmarnock

4-2-3-1

Coach: N. McCann

Goalkeeper

12C. Ferrie

Defence

2J. Brandon
4C. McCarthy
14G. Stanger

Midfield

36A. Tshibola
18T. Lowery

Attack

21M. Schjønning-Larsen
8E. Ring
10T. John-Jules
11G. Kiltie
9J. Hugill

Substitutes (9)

29D. Daniels
27I. Owen
5M. O'Hara
7R. McKenzie
20N. Cleșcenco
19J. Meier
6R. Deas
3Michael-John Kamson-Kamara
58N. Mantl

Match Statistics

FalkirkKilmarnock

2.08Expected Goals1.89

203Passes accurate227

12Shots insidebox6

6Shots outsidebox4

4Blocked Shots6

12Free Kicks11

8Shots on Goal0

6Shots off Goal4

301Total passes332

18Total Shots10

9Corner Kicks7

0Goalkeeper Saves7

0Offsides1

0Yellow Cards2

11Fouls12

0Red Cards0

63%Ball Possession37%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.86	3.81	3.83

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.25	1.90	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.39	2.79

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.57	2.27

1st half

1	X	2
2.37	2.33	4.17

2nd half

1	X	2
2.15	2.66	3.82

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.81	14.2	34.6
HT X	4.91	6.04	8.88
HT 2	22.0	14.9	6.32

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.60	15.8	2.37

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	12.3
1.5	1.18	4.46
2.5	1.64	2.23
3.5	2.58	1.47
4.5	4.68	1.17
5.5	8.80	1.04
6.5	17.0	1.02
7.5	34.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.20
1.25	1.06	6.20
1.75	1.18	3.94
2	1.23	3.48
2.25	1.44	2.61
2.75	1.78	1.97
3	2.01	1.74
3.25	2.27	1.57
3.75	2.94	1.32
4	3.76	1.19
4.25	4.16	1.16
4.75	5.65	1.08
5	8.00	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.79	1.40
-1	2.50	1.51
-0.75	2.04	1.71
-0.5	1.86	1.96
-0.25	1.58	2.25
0	1.37	2.85

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	12.0	1.02
-2.75	8.00	1.02
-2.5	6.25	1.08
-2.25	5.80	1.09
-2	5.42	1.11
-1.75	3.80	1.21
-1.5	3.15	1.33
+0.25	1.29	3.34
+0.5	1.27	3.76
+0.75	1.14	4.73
+1	1.05	7.33
+1.5	1.03	8.23
+2.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.59	2.28
4.5	2.02	1.75
5.5	2.85	1.39

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	11.3
5.5	1.06	8.00
6.5	1.09	5.36
7.5	1.21	3.67
8.5	1.39	2.65
9.5	1.71	2.04
10.5	2.15	1.63
11.5	2.68	1.41
12.5	3.72	1.20
13.5	4.96	1.12
14.5	6.41	1.06
15.5	9.75	1.03

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7	1.10	4.40
8	1.23	3.10
8.25	1.29	3.04
8.75	1.41	2.55
9	1.48	2.43
9.25	1.56	2.20
9.75	1.74	1.93
10	1.94	1.84
10.25	1.96	1.70
10.75	2.22	1.54
11	2.43	1.48
11.25	2.59	1.39
12	3.05	1.24
13	4.05	1.13
14	5.19	1.06

Next Premiership matches

25 Oct	Hibernian – Celtic
25 Oct	Motherwell – Heart Of Midlothian
28 Oct	Aberdeen – Falkirk
28 Oct	Celtic – Dundee Utd
28 Oct	Dundee – Kilmarnock
28 Oct	Heart Of Midlothian – Rangers

All Premiership fixtures and the table

Latest Premiership results

24 Oct	Dundee Utd 3-2 Aberdeen
24 Oct	Rangers 4-0 ST Johnstone
24 Oct	ST Mirren 2-1 Dundee
18 Oct	Celtic 7-1 Heart Of Midlothian
17 Oct	Dundee 2-2 Rangers
17 Oct	Hibernian 1-2 Falkirk