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Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen• Premiership, Scotland

#41.2:1.03-2FT24/10 · CalForth Construction Arena, Dundee1.6:0.6#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.14DAFX3.66PIN23.56PINMargin at best2.1%Books9Markets75Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 09:39 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.083.663.563.5%
Dafabet2.143.603.403.9%
Betano2.123.603.305.3%
Betfair2.103.503.405.6%
Bet3652.053.603.406.0%
BetVictor2.103.603.256.2%
1xBet2.123.503.207.0%
Marathonbet2.023.523.387.5%
William Hill2.103.303.209.2%
Best of all books2.143.663.562.1%
Average2.093.543.345.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Dundee UtdAberdeen
Last 10#4Table position#91.50Points per game1.1011Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 51.61.0Goals against · last 50.643Attack rating5738Defence rating6350Form rating5062H2H rating3846Goals model5449Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:01 UTC

Dundee Utd

4W 2D 4L · goals 13:17 · per match 1.3 for, 1.7 against

24 OctHAberdeen3-2W
17 OctAST Johnstone1-1D
10 OctHHibernian1-0W
19 SepAST Mirren3-0W
5 SepHFalkirk1-1D
2 SepAMotherwell0-3L
29 AugAKilmarnock4-0W
22 AugHDundee0-2L
15 AugHCeltic0-4L
9 AugAHeart Of Midlothian0-4L

Aberdeen

3W 3D 4L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against

24 OctADundee Utd2-3L
17 OctHST Mirren3-1W
11 OctHST Johnstone0-1L
3 OctADunfermline4-1W
19 SepAHibernian1-1D
15 SepAMotherwell4-0W
12 SepAKilmarnock1-1D
5 SepHKilmarnock0-0D
2 SepACeltic0-3L
30 AugHRangers0-1L

Head to head

12Dundee Utd wins
10draws
16Aberdeen wins

38 meetings · goals 40:42 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Dundee Utd

9 May 2026PremiershipPremiershipAberdeen2-0Dundee Utd
24 Feb 2026PremiershipPremiershipDundee Utd0-0Aberdeen
27 Dec 2025PremiershipPremiershipAberdeen1-1Dundee Utd
23 Sep 2025PremiershipPremiershipDundee Utd2-0Aberdeen
17 May 2025PremiershipPremiershipDundee Utd2-1Aberdeen
2 Mar 2025PremiershipPremiershipAberdeen2-2Dundee Utd
29 Dec 2024PremiershipPremiershipDundee Utd1-0Aberdeen
26 Oct 2024PremiershipPremiershipAberdeen1-0Dundee Utd
4 Mar 2023PremiershipPremiershipDundee Utd1-3Aberdeen
12 Nov 2022PremiershipPremiershipAberdeen1-0Dundee Utd

Premiership tablePremier Leagueupdated 24 Oct 18:02 UTC

In the Premiership table, Dundee Utd sit 4th with 15 points from 10 games, while Aberdeen are 9th with 11 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Celtic980123:5+1824
2Rangers1072117:7+1023
3Heart Of Midlothian951320:15+516
4Dundee Utd1043314:14015
5Dundee1042414:12+214
6ST Mirren1041511:18-713
7Falkirk1033412:12012
8ST Johnstone1033411:15-412
9Aberdeen1032512:13-111
10Motherwell922511:16-58
11Kilmarnock1022610:23-138
12Hibernian92169:14-57

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg146%2.04X26%3.56227%3.45

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 00:0124 Oct 11:401 2.09X 3.542 3.34
12.15 → 2.09 -2.8%X3.47 → 3.54 +2.0%23.09 → 3.34 +8.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.762.153.3%
Betano1.782.103.8%
Bet3651.732.105.4%
Betfair1.732.105.4%
1xBet1.722.056.9%
Marathonbet1.712.067.0%
BetVictor1.702.008.8%
Best of all books1.782.152.7%
Average1.732.085.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.572.385.7%
Betano1.622.226.8%
Bet3651.622.207.2%
William Hill1.622.207.2%
BetVictor1.602.208.0%
1xBet1.582.238.1%
Marathonbet1.592.188.8%
Best of all books1.622.383.7%
Average1.602.237.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Dundee Utd 35%Draw 35%Aberdeen 30%

The statistical model rated Dundee Utd at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Aberdeen at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.04 | 3.56 | 3.45, which imply roughly 49% for a Dundee Utd win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Premiership table: Dundee Utd are 4th (15 pts, 14-14 goals), Aberdeen 9th (11 pts, 12-13).

Over their last five matches, Dundee Utd averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Aberdeen averaged 1.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Dundee Utd or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Dundee Utd

4-3-3

Coach: J. Goodwin

Goalkeeper

  • 1J. Walton

Defence

  • 23J. Rawlins
  • 3B. Esselink
  • 18M. Forbes
  • 19K. Ciubotaru

Midfield

  • 14Zidane Iqbal
  • 10D. Tait
  • 16L. Cameron

Attack

  • 21J. Randall
  • 9Z. Sapsford
  • 77D. Bennie
Substitutes (9)
  • 30J. Amissah
  • 8Panutche Camará
  • 20N. Farrugia
  • 6R. Graham
  • 4I. Iovu
  • 93I. Metsoko
  • 22D. Naamo
  • 15L. Rose
  • 26Abdoulaye Yoro

Aberdeen

5-3-2

Coach: S. Robinson

Goalkeeper

  • 27M. Müller

Defence

  • 28C. Cadden
  • 22J. Milne
  • 25C. Ronan
  • 21G. Molloy
  • 24N. Guinness-Walker

Midfield

  • 8B. Lyons
  • 32A. Aremu
  • 17S. Armstrong

Attack

  • 9A. Mouloua
  • 15K. Nisbet
Substitutes (8)
  • 10A. Briedl
  • 2N. Devlin
  • 77E. Gyamfi
  • 30D. Klein
  • 14H. Mahou
  • 31M. Ntelo
  • 20T. Olusanya
  • 11Lewis Smith

Match Statistics

Dundee UtdAberdeen
1.43Expected Goals1.58
298Passes accurate379
11Shots insidebox16
3Shots outsidebox4
6Blocked Shots10
7Free Kicks6
6Shots on Goal3
1Goalkeeper Saves2
2Shots off Goal7
2Offsides1
403Total passes490
14Total Shots20
3Corner Kicks8
0Yellow Cards1
6Fouls7
0Red Cards0
44%Ball Possession56%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.093.543.34

Double chance

1XX212
1.301.711.27

Draw no bet

12
1.512.41

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.602.23

1st half

1X2
2.632.263.78

2nd half

1X2
2.392.563.37

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.2613.831.2
HT X5.335.587.86
HT 223.814.35.46

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.6913.52.25

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.8
1.51.214.11
2.51.732.08
3.52.791.41
4.55.201.14
5.59.681.04
6.518.71.01
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.038.30
1.251.085.50
1.751.233.52
21.323.12
2.251.522.42
2.751.891.84
32.201.62
3.252.461.49
3.753.211.27
44.301.14
4.254.711.12
4.756.451.05
59.30–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-12.981.37
-0.752.351.54
-0.52.061.77
-0.251.771.99
01.512.47
+0.251.382.85
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.201.03
-2.257.151.07
-26.921.06
-1.754.671.14
-1.53.791.23
-1.253.371.29
+0.51.333.41
+0.751.204.20
+11.086.17
+1.251.076.66
+1.51.067.01
+1.751.018.85
+2.51.0113.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
3.51.422.77
4.51.761.98
5.52.471.50

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.0310.5
6.51.067.60
7.51.115.18
8.51.243.52
9.51.462.55
10.51.751.99
11.52.171.61
12.52.791.37
13.53.791.21
14.55.101.13
15.56.801.07
16.59.001.04
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
9.251.332.81
9.751.462.41
101.572.34
10.251.642.12
10.751.811.85
111.981.80
11.252.031.65
11.752.311.50
122.541.49
12.252.661.37

Next Premiership matches

25 OctHibernian – Celtic
25 OctMotherwell – Heart Of Midlothian
28 OctAberdeen – Falkirk
28 OctCeltic – Dundee Utd
28 OctDundee – Kilmarnock
28 OctHeart Of Midlothian – Rangers

All Premiership fixtures and the table

Latest Premiership results

24 OctRangers 4-0 ST Johnstone
24 OctST Mirren 2-1 Dundee
24 OctFalkirk 3-0 Kilmarnock
18 OctCeltic 7-1 Heart Of Midlothian
17 OctDundee 2-2 Rangers
17 OctHibernian 1-2 Falkirk