Aberdeen vs Falkirk• Premiership, Scotland

#91.6:0.619:4528/10 · Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen1.4:1.2#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.99PINX3.65DAF23.80BTNMargin at best4.0%Books8Markets55Rating44 · 57Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 21:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.99	3.65	3.80	4.0%
Betano	1.98	3.55	3.80	5.0%
Pinnacle	1.99	3.58	3.72	5.1%
1xBet	1.96	3.56	3.58	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.94	3.56	3.58	7.6%
Bet365	1.91	3.50	3.60	8.7%
BetVictor	1.93	3.50	3.50	9.0%
William Hill	1.95	3.30	3.60	9.4%
Best of all books	1.99	3.65	3.80	4.0%
Average	1.96	3.52	3.65	6.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AberdeenFalkirk

Last 10#9Table position#71.10Points per game1.207Form pts · last 5101.6Goals for · last 51.40.6Goals against · last 51.253Attack rating4767Defence rating3350Form rating5013H2H rating8854Goals model4644Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:01 UTC

Aberdeen

3W 3D 4L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against

24 Oct	A	Dundee Utd	2-3	L
17 Oct	H	ST Mirren	3-1	W
11 Oct	H	ST Johnstone	0-1	L
3 Oct	A	Dunfermline	4-1	W
19 Sep	A	Hibernian	1-1	D
15 Sep	A	Motherwell	4-0	W
12 Sep	A	Kilmarnock	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Kilmarnock	0-0	D
2 Sep	A	Celtic	0-3	L
30 Aug	H	Rangers	0-1	L

Falkirk

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against

24 Oct	H	Kilmarnock	3-0	W
17 Oct	A	Hibernian	2-1	W
10 Oct	H	Dundee	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	ST Johnstone	1-1	D
15 Sep	H	Heart Of Midlothian	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Dundee Utd	1-1	D
2 Sep	H	Rangers	1-2	L
29 Aug	A	Celtic	1-2	L
9 Aug	A	Motherwell	0-0	D
1 Aug	H	ST Mirren	0-2	L

Head to head

0Aberdeen wins

1draws

2Falkirk wins

3 meetings · goals 1:3 · last 3: 0W 1D 2L for Aberdeen

14 Mar 2026Premiership	Premiership	Aberdeen1-1Falkirk
3 Jan 2026Premiership	Premiership	Falkirk1-0Aberdeen
31 Aug 2025Premiership	Premiership	Aberdeen0-1Falkirk

Premiership tablePremier Leagueupdated 24 Oct 18:02 UTC

In the Premiership table, Aberdeen sit 9th with 11 points from 10 games, while Falkirk are 7th with 12 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Celtic	9	8	0	1	23:5	+18	24
2	Rangers	10	7	2	1	17:7	+10	23
3	Heart Of Midlothian	9	5	1	3	20:15	+5	16
4	Dundee Utd	10	4	3	3	14:14	0	15
5	Dundee	10	4	2	4	14:12	+2	14
6	ST Mirren	10	4	1	5	11:18	-7	13
7	Falkirk	10	3	3	4	12:12	0	12
8	ST Johnstone	10	3	3	4	11:15	-4	12
9	Aberdeen	10	3	2	5	12:13	-1	11
10	Motherwell	9	2	2	5	11:16	-5	8
11	Kilmarnock	10	2	2	6	10:23	-13	8
12	Hibernian	9	2	1	6	9:14	-5	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.96X27%3.52226%3.65

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.83	2.02	4.1%
Betano	1.88	1.95	4.5%
Bet365	1.91	1.91	4.7%
1xBet	1.80	1.94	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.94	7.1%
BetVictor	1.79	1.89	8.8%
Best of all books	1.91	2.02	1.9%
Average	1.84	1.94	6.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.72	2.05	6.9%
Bet365	1.75	2.00	7.1%
William Hill	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.67	2.08	8.0%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Best of all books	1.75	2.08	5.2%
Average	1.70	2.04	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aberdeen 10%Draw 45%Falkirk 45%

The statistical model rates Aberdeen at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Falkirk at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.96 | 3.52 | 3.65, which imply roughly 28.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premiership table: Aberdeen are 9th (11 pts, 12-13 goals), Falkirk 7th (12 pts, 12-12).

Over their last five matches, Aberdeen averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Falkirk averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Falkirk.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.96	3.52	3.65

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.26	1.81	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.44	2.63

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.70	2.04

1st half

1	X	2
2.53	2.21	4.18

2nd half

1	X	2
2.28	2.51	3.71

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.02	14.3	36.3
HT X	4.93	5.40	8.16
HT 2	26.0	15.2	6.08

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.67	12.0	2.33

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	10.2
1.5	1.25	3.67
2.5	1.84	1.94
3.5	3.05	1.35
4.5	5.85	1.11
5.5	11.4	1.04
6.5	20.5	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.10
1.25	1.10	5.05
1.75	1.27	3.21
2	1.38	2.85
2.25	1.58	2.24
2.75	2.00	1.74
3	2.38	1.52
3.25	2.65	1.40
3.75	3.60	1.21
4	4.90	1.11
4.25	5.26	1.10
4.75	7.30	1.03
5	8.70	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.77	1.40
-0.75	2.21	1.60
-0.5	1.96	1.85
-0.25	1.68	2.10
0	1.44	2.66
+0.25	1.33	3.08

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.50	1.03
-2.25	7.07	1.06
-2	6.60	1.07
-1.75	4.47	1.16
-1.5	3.53	1.26
-1.25	3.14	1.32
+0.5	1.28	3.62
+0.75	1.16	4.47
+1	1.06	6.97
+1.25	1.03	7.50
+1.5	1.02	8.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.33	3.15
9.5	1.55	2.35
10.5	1.92	1.81
11.5	2.50	1.50
12.5	3.35	1.29

Next Premiership matches

25 Oct	Hibernian – Celtic
25 Oct	Motherwell – Heart Of Midlothian
28 Oct	Celtic – Dundee Utd
28 Oct	Dundee – Kilmarnock
28 Oct	Heart Of Midlothian – Rangers
28 Oct	ST Johnstone – Motherwell

All Premiership fixtures and the table

Latest Premiership results

24 Oct	Dundee Utd 3-2 Aberdeen
24 Oct	Rangers 4-0 ST Johnstone
24 Oct	ST Mirren 2-1 Dundee
24 Oct	Falkirk 3-0 Kilmarnock
18 Oct	Celtic 7-1 Heart Of Midlothian
17 Oct	Dundee 2-2 Rangers