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Hibernian vs Falkirk• Premiership, Scotland

#120.6:1.61-2FT17/10 · Easter Road, Edinburgh1.2:1.4#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.69PINX4.04PIN25.03PINMargin at best3.8%Books6Markets82Rating40 · 61Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.694.045.033.8%
BetVictor1.654.004.806.4%
1xBet1.683.854.667.0%
Bet3651.653.904.757.3%
Marathonbet1.663.854.707.5%
William Hill1.673.754.757.6%
Best of all books1.694.045.033.8%
Average1.673.904.786.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

HibernianFalkirk
Last 10#12Table position#70.78Points per game1.204Form pts · last 5100.6Goals for · last 51.21.6Goals against · last 51.433Attack rating6747Defence rating5317Form rating8350H2H rating5038Goals model6340Overall rating61

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 00:11 UTC

Hibernian

2W 2D 6L · goals 11:14 · per match 1.1 for, 1.4 against

17 OctHFalkirk1-2L
10 OctADundee Utd0-1L
19 SepHAberdeen1-1D
15 SepHKilmarnock0-1L
12 SepARoss County3-0W
6 SepAST Johnstone1-2L
3 SepHHeart Of Midlothian1-3L
30 AugADundee2-1W
27 AugHGent2-3L
20 AugAGent0-0D

Falkirk

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:12 · per match 1.2 for, 1.2 against

24 OctHKilmarnock3-0W
17 OctAHibernian2-1W
10 OctHDundee1-2L
19 SepAST Johnstone1-1D
15 SepHHeart Of Midlothian2-1W
5 SepADundee Utd1-1D
2 SepHRangers1-2L
29 AugACeltic1-2L
9 AugAMotherwell0-0D
1 AugHST Mirren0-2L

Head to head

7Hibernian wins
6draws
4Falkirk wins

17 meetings · goals 27:21 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Hibernian

9 May 2026PremiershipPremiershipFalkirk1-3Hibernian
24 Jan 2026PremiershipPremiershipFalkirk4-1Hibernian
6 Dec 2025PremiershipPremiershipHibernian3-0Falkirk
23 Sep 2025PremiershipPremiershipFalkirk2-2Hibernian
12 Jul 2022League CupLeague CupFalkirk1-0Hibernian
25 Mar 2017ChampionshipChampionshipHibernian2-1Falkirk
31 Dec 2016ChampionshipChampionshipFalkirk1-2Hibernian
12 Nov 2016ChampionshipChampionshipHibernian1-1Falkirk
6 Aug 2016ChampionshipChampionshipFalkirk1-2Hibernian
12 Apr 2016ChampionshipChampionshipHibernian2-2Falkirk

Premiership tablePremier Leagueupdated 24 Oct 18:02 UTC

In the Premiership table, Hibernian sit 12th with 7 points from 9 games, while Falkirk are 7th with 12 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Celtic980123:5+1824
2Rangers1072117:7+1023
3Heart Of Midlothian951320:15+516
4Dundee Utd1043314:14015
5Dundee1042414:12+214
6ST Mirren1041511:18-713
7Falkirk1033412:12012
8ST Johnstone1033411:15-412
9Aberdeen1032512:13-111
10Motherwell922511:16-58
11Kilmarnock1022610:23-138
12Hibernian92169:14-57

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.72X25%3.83221%4.52

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0117 Oct 12:201 1.67X 3.902 4.78
11.64 → 1.67 +1.8%X3.94 → 3.90 -1.0%24.91 → 4.78 -2.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.722.213.4%
Bet3651.732.105.4%
1xBet1.692.097.0%
Marathonbet1.692.097.0%
BetVictor1.672.039.1%
Best of all books1.732.213.1%
Average1.702.106.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.732.056.6%
Bet3651.702.057.6%
1xBet1.672.088.0%
BetVictor1.672.058.7%
Marathonbet1.672.058.7%
Best of all books1.732.085.9%
Average1.692.067.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Hibernian 10%Draw 45%Falkirk 45%

The statistical model rated Hibernian at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Falkirk at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.72 | 3.83 | 4.52, which imply roughly 26.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premiership table: Hibernian are 12th (7 pts, 9-14 goals), Falkirk 7th (12 pts, 12-12).

Over their last five matches, Hibernian averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Falkirk averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Falkirk.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Hibernian

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Reedijk

Goalkeeper

  • 1R. Sallinger

Defence

  • 25F. Passlack
  • 6J. Kerr
  • 5M. Ivezić
  • 3A. Mayor

Midfield

  • 8J. Mulligan
  • 14M. Chaiwa
  • 10M. Boyle
  • 47A. Abdulai
  • 18T. Klidje

Attack

  • 7O. Elding
Substitutes (9)
  • 4G. Hanley
  • 19N. Cadden
  • 15J. Iredale
  • 39R. Matondo
  • 17J. McGrath
  • 11J. Newell
  • 35F. Owens
  • 12Alex Williams
  • 22A. Šuto

Falkirk

4-2-3-1

Coach: J. McGlynn

Goalkeeper

  • 19S. Bain

Defence

  • 22R. Strain
  • 15L. Neilson
  • 5L. Henderson
  • 17S. Tanser

Midfield

  • 8B. Spencer
  • 16Finley Frank Barbrook
  • 23E. Ross
  • 28B. Krauhaus
  • 42Owen Eames

Attack

  • 24J. Murrell
Substitutes (9)
  • 99C. Fodrey
  • 1N. Hogarth
  • 9R. MacIver
  • 3L. McCann
  • 4J. McMillan
  • 21D. Meļņiks
  • 7Ben Parkinson
  • 14F. Yeats
  • 27C. McLeod

Match Statistics

HibernianFalkirk
1.42Expected Goals0.82
471Passes accurate163
14Shots insidebox7
3Shots outsidebox3
6Blocked Shots2
20Free Kicks5
3Shots on Goal5
3Goalkeeper Saves2
8Shots off Goal3
587Total passes249
17Total Shots10
1Yellow Cards3
6Corner Kicks3
0Offsides2
5Fouls20
0Red Cards0
70%Ball Possession30%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.673.904.78

Double chance

1XX212
1.172.121.23

Draw no bet

12
1.263.57

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.692.06

1st half

1X2
2.182.354.93

2nd half

1X2
2.012.634.41

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.4915.338.7
HT X4.586.1310.5
HT 222.315.78.13

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5213.52.65

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0412.3
1.51.204.12
2.51.702.10
3.52.681.42
4.54.971.15
5.59.281.03
6.519.01.02
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1–9.10
1.251.095.25
1.751.233.49
21.283.12
2.251.502.47
2.751.861.88
32.111.65
3.252.381.51
3.753.051.28
43.941.17
4.254.301.15
4.755.701.08
57.801.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.721.41
-1.252.431.51
-12.141.68
-0.751.821.93
-0.51.662.19
-0.251.452.59
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.59.401.01
-38.901.01
-2.756.501.07
-2.55.131.12
-2.254.731.14
-24.331.16
-1.753.301.30
01.263.52
+0.251.214.04
+0.51.194.50
+0.751.095.67
+11.018.50

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
3.51.622.20
4.52.101.67

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.047.10
7.51.134.68
8.51.283.15
9.51.512.37
10.51.861.85
11.52.321.53
12.52.991.31
13.54.081.17
14.55.301.09
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.065.09
81.163.67
91.342.75
9.251.422.60
9.751.552.23
101.652.12
10.251.751.96
10.751.951.74
112.101.67
11.252.231.57
11.752.521.41
122.671.36
12.252.961.33
133.391.19
144.421.10

Next Premiership matches

25 OctHibernian – Celtic
25 OctMotherwell – Heart Of Midlothian
28 OctAberdeen – Falkirk
28 OctCeltic – Dundee Utd
28 OctDundee – Kilmarnock
28 OctHeart Of Midlothian – Rangers

All Premiership fixtures and the table

Latest Premiership results

24 OctDundee Utd 3-2 Aberdeen
24 OctRangers 4-0 ST Johnstone
24 OctST Mirren 2-1 Dundee
24 OctFalkirk 3-0 Kilmarnock
18 OctCeltic 7-1 Heart Of Midlothian
17 OctDundee 2-2 Rangers