FC Winterthur vs Étoile Carouge• Challenge League, Switzerland

#22.0:0.817:0007/11 · Winterthur1.0:2.0#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57BTNX4.69PIN25.69PINMargin at best2.6%Books10Markets58Rating65 · 35Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Nov 12:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.47	4.69	5.69	6.9%
Betano	1.57	4.30	4.80	7.8%
BetVictor	1.50	4.50	5.25	7.9%
Dafabet	1.54	4.40	4.90	8.1%
Bet365	1.50	4.20	5.25	9.5%
1xBet	1.45	4.40	5.30	10.6%
Betfair	1.50	4.33	4.60	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.44	4.40	5.10	11.8%
William Hill	1.44	4.20	5.00	13.3%
SBO	1.45	3.92	4.47	16.8%
Best of all books	1.57	4.69	5.69	2.6%
Average	1.49	4.33	5.04	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC WinterthurÉtoile Carouge

Last 10#2Table position#72.00Points per game1.089Form pts · last 542.0Goals for · last 51.00.8Goals against · last 52.067Attack rating3371Defence rating2975Form rating2550H2H rating5088Goals model1265Overall rating35

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:02 UTC

FC Winterthur

7W 1D 2L · goals 27:11 · per match 2.7 for, 1.1 against

1 Nov	A	FC WIL 1900	3-0	W
23 Oct	H	Stade Nyonnais	4-0	W
17 Oct	H	FC Luzern	0-1	L
9 Oct	A	Neuchatel Xamax FC	0-3	L
3 Oct	H	FC Basel 1893	7-3	W
30 Sep	A	Seuzach	4-1	W
18 Sep	H	FC Aarau	2-1	W
11 Sep	A	Étoile Carouge	1-0	W
4 Sep	H	Neuchatel Xamax FC	4-0	W
1 Sep	A	Stade Nyonnais	2-2	D

Étoile Carouge

2W 3D 5L · goals 8:18 · per match 0.8 for, 1.8 against

30 Oct	H	SC Kriens	2-2	D
24 Oct	A	FC Aarau	2-1	W
16 Oct	A	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	0-3	L
9 Oct	H	Yverdon Sport	0-2	L
18 Sep	A	SC Kriens	1-4	L
11 Sep	H	FC Winterthur	0-1	L
4 Sep	H	FC WIL 1900	1-1	D
1 Sep	A	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	0-3	L
28 Aug	H	Rapperswil	2-1	W
21 Aug	A	Stade Nyonnais	0-0	D

Head to head

1FC Winterthur wins

0draws

1Étoile Carouge wins

2 meetings · goals 2:3 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for FC Winterthur

11 Sep 2026Challenge League	Challenge League	Étoile Carouge0-1FC Winterthur
18 Sep 2021Schweizer Cup	Schweizer Cup	Étoile Carouge3-1FC Winterthur

Challenge League tableChallenge Leagueupdated 5 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the Challenge League table, FC Winterthur sit 2nd with 24 points from 12 games, while Étoile Carouge are 7th with 13 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	12	8	4	0	23:5	+18	28
2	FC Winterthur	12	7	3	2	26:11	+15	24
3	Yverdon Sport	12	6	4	2	23:14	+9	22
4	SC Kriens	12	4	4	4	21:19	+2	16
5	Neuchatel Xamax FC	12	5	1	6	16:20	-4	16
6	FC Aarau	12	4	3	5	19:21	-2	15
7	Étoile Carouge	12	3	4	5	12:17	-5	13
8	Rapperswil	12	3	2	7	18:25	-7	11
9	FC WIL 1900	12	2	5	5	18:27	-9	11
10	Stade Nyonnais	12	2	2	8	12:29	-17	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg161%1.49X21%4.33218%5.04

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.52 → 1.49 -2.0%X4.32 → 4.33 +0.2%24.90 → 5.04 +2.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.42	2.76	6.7%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Betfair	1.40	2.75	7.8%
BetVictor	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Betano	1.45	2.57	7.9%
1xBet	1.38	2.62	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.38	2.62	10.6%
Best of all books	1.45	2.76	5.2%
Average	1.41	2.67	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
William Hill	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Betano	1.52	2.35	8.3%
1xBet	1.51	2.36	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.51	2.32	9.3%
Best of all books	1.53	2.40	7.0%
Average	1.51	2.37	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Winterthur 45%Draw 45%Étoile Carouge 10%

The statistical model rates FC Winterthur at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Étoile Carouge at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.49 | 4.33 | 5.04, which imply roughly 67.1% for a FC Winterthur win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Challenge League table: FC Winterthur are 2nd (24 pts, 26-11 goals), Étoile Carouge 7th (13 pts, 12-17).

Over their last five matches, FC Winterthur averaged 2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Étoile Carouge averaged 1 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : FC Winterthur.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.49	4.33	5.04

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.38	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.22	3.88

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.51	2.37

1st half

1	X	2
1.93	2.57	4.83

2nd half

1	X	2
1.81	2.98	4.56

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.17	15.3	38.1
HT X	4.58	7.48	11.4
HT 2	17.9	15.7	8.42

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.45	21.5	2.70

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.3
1.5	1.11	5.47
2.5	1.41	2.67
3.5	2.05	1.69
4.5	3.36	1.27
5.5	5.93	1.10
6.5	8.75	1.04
7.5	13.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	11.5
1.75	1.11	4.95
2	1.13	4.55
2.25	1.26	3.20
2.75	1.49	2.39
3	1.62	2.12
3.25	1.84	1.86
3.75	2.28	1.54
4	2.66	1.37
4.25	2.93	1.32
4.75	3.87	1.18
5	5.00	1.10
5.25	5.30	1.09
6	9.20	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.56	1.45
-1.5	2.25	1.57
-1.25	1.99	1.73
-1	1.78	1.96
-0.75	1.57	2.24
-0.5	1.50	2.48

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	6.80	1.04
-3	6.40	1.07
-2.75	4.67	1.15
-2.5	3.77	1.21
-2.25	3.48	1.25
-2	3.20	1.30
-0.25	1.33	3.03
0	1.19	4.08
+0.25	1.15	4.48
+0.5	1.16	5.25
+0.75	1.07	6.40
+1.5	1.01	9.50

Next Challenge League matches

6 Nov	Stade Nyonnais – Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
6 Nov	SC Kriens – Rapperswil
6 Nov	FC Aarau – FC WIL 1900
8 Nov	Yverdon Sport – Neuchatel Xamax FC

All Challenge League fixtures and the table

Latest Challenge League results

1 Nov	FC WIL 1900 0-3 FC Winterthur
30 Oct	Neuchatel Xamax FC 1-3 FC Aarau
30 Oct	Étoile Carouge 2-2 SC Kriens
30 Oct	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3-2 Yverdon Sport
30 Oct	Rapperswil 1-4 Stade Nyonnais
25 Oct	Yverdon Sport 5-2 SC Kriens