Neuchatel Xamax FC vs FC Aarau• Challenge League, Switzerland

#41.2:1.619:15Tomorrow1.6:2.0#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.72BTNX4.04PIN22.24PINMargin at best6.2%Books10Markets49Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 12:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.68	4.04	2.24	6.7%
Dafabet	2.70	3.95	2.19	8.0%
Betano	2.72	3.80	2.22	8.1%
BetVictor	2.70	3.75	2.25	8.1%
Bet365	2.75	3.75	2.15	9.5%
1xBet	2.66	3.66	2.19	10.6%
Betfair	2.63	3.80	2.15	10.9%
William Hill	2.60	3.60	2.20	11.7%
Marathonbet	2.60	3.66	2.17	11.9%
SBO	2.49	3.32	2.13	17.2%
Best of all books	2.75	4.04	2.25	5.6%
Average	2.65	3.73	2.19	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Neuchatel Xamax FCFC Aarau

Last 10#4Table position#61.45Points per game1.097Form pts · last 531.2Goals for · last 51.61.6Goals against · last 52.043Attack rating5756Defence rating4464Form rating360H2H rating10057Goals model4349Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Oct 00:01 UTC

Neuchatel Xamax FC

3W 1D 6L · goals 13:19 · per match 1.3 for, 1.9 against

23 Oct	A	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	0-0	D
18 Oct	A	Langenthal	3-2	W
9 Oct	H	FC Winterthur	3-0	W
2 Oct	A	Sochaux	1-2	L
25 Sep	A	FC Zurich	1-3	L
18 Sep	H	Rapperswil	0-3	L
11 Sep	A	Stade Nyonnais	3-1	W
4 Sep	A	FC Winterthur	0-4	L
1 Sep	H	Yverdon Sport	1-2	L
28 Aug	A	FC Aarau	1-2	L

FC Aarau

3W 2D 5L · goals 16:19 · per match 1.6 for, 1.9 against

24 Oct	H	Étoile Carouge	1-2	L
18 Oct	H	FC Zurich	2-0	W
9 Oct	A	Stade Nyonnais	1-2	L
2 Oct	H	BSC Young Boys	1-2	L
24 Sep	A	Grasshoppers	1-4	L
18 Sep	A	FC Winterthur	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	SC Kriens	2-2	D
4 Sep	H	Rapperswil	3-2	W
31 Aug	A	FC WIL 1900	2-2	D
28 Aug	H	Neuchatel Xamax FC	2-1	W

Head to head

10Neuchatel Xamax FC wins

5draws

18FC Aarau wins

33 meetings · goals 47:64 · last 10: 2W 1D 7L for Neuchatel Xamax FC

28 Aug 2026Challenge League	Challenge League	FC Aarau2-1Neuchatel Xamax FC
1 May 2026Challenge League	Challenge League	Neuchatel Xamax FC1-3FC Aarau
21 Mar 2026Challenge League	Challenge League	FC Aarau1-0Neuchatel Xamax FC
28 Nov 2025Challenge League	Challenge League	Neuchatel Xamax FC1-2FC Aarau
9 Aug 2025Challenge League	Challenge League	FC Aarau2-0Neuchatel Xamax FC
11 Apr 2025Challenge League	Challenge League	Neuchatel Xamax FC1-1FC Aarau
7 Mar 2025Challenge League	Challenge League	FC Aarau2-0Neuchatel Xamax FC
13 Dec 2024Challenge League	Challenge League	Neuchatel Xamax FC1-3FC Aarau
3 Aug 2024Challenge League	Challenge League	FC Aarau1-3Neuchatel Xamax FC
12 Apr 2024Challenge League	Challenge League	Neuchatel Xamax FC3-1FC Aarau

Challenge League tableChallenge Leagueupdated 29 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the Challenge League table, Neuchatel Xamax FC sit 4th with 16 points from 11 games, while FC Aarau are 6th with 12 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	11	7	4	0	20:3	+17	25
2	Yverdon Sport	11	6	4	1	21:11	+10	22
3	FC Winterthur	11	6	3	2	23:11	+12	21
4	Neuchatel Xamax FC	11	5	1	5	15:17	-2	16
5	SC Kriens	11	4	3	4	19:17	+2	15
6	FC Aarau	11	3	3	5	16:20	-4	12
7	Étoile Carouge	11	3	3	5	10:15	-5	12
8	Rapperswil	11	3	2	6	17:21	-4	11
9	FC WIL 1900	11	2	5	4	18:24	-6	11
10	Stade Nyonnais	11	1	2	8	8:28	-20	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.64X24%3.73241%2.19

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.66 → 2.64 -0.8%X3.79 → 3.73 -1.6%22.20 → 2.19 -0.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.45	2.64	6.8%
BetVictor	1.44	2.63	7.5%
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Betano	1.47	2.52	7.7%
Betfair	1.44	2.60	7.9%
1xBet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.42	2.49	10.6%
Best of all books	1.47	2.64	5.9%
Average	1.44	2.57	8.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Betano	1.42	2.65	8.2%
William Hill	1.40	2.70	8.5%
1xBet	1.39	2.73	8.6%
BetVictor	1.36	2.80	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.39	2.67	9.4%
Best of all books	1.44	2.80	5.2%
Average	1.40	2.70	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Neuchatel Xamax FC 10%Draw 45%FC Aarau 45%

The statistical model rates Neuchatel Xamax FC at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and FC Aarau at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.64 | 3.73 | 2.19, which imply roughly 26.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Challenge League table: Neuchatel Xamax FC are 4th (16 pts, 15-17 goals), FC Aarau 6th (12 pts, 16-20).

Over their last five matches, Neuchatel Xamax FC averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; FC Aarau averaged 1.6 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or FC Aarau.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.65	3.73	2.19

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.57	1.40	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
2.07	1.68

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.40	2.70

1st half

1	X	2
3.10	2.42	2.65

2nd half

1	X	2
2.87	2.79	2.48

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.24	13.7	21.4
HT X	6.83	6.63	5.97
HT 2	23.8	13.4	3.39

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.98	19.3	1.79

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.2
1.5	1.12	5.37
2.5	1.44	2.57
3.5	2.12	1.65
4.5	3.51	1.25
5.5	6.44	1.08
6.5	8.75	1.04
7.5	15.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	11.5
1.75	1.11	4.90
2	1.14	4.40
2.25	1.28	3.09
2.75	1.54	2.28
3	1.68	2.03
3.25	1.91	1.80
3.75	2.41	1.48
4	2.92	1.31
4.25	3.29	1.25
4.75	4.41	1.14
5	6.00	1.06
5.25	6.35	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.67	1.45
-0.25	2.33	1.53
0	2.04	1.70
+0.25	1.77	1.97
+0.5	1.62	2.21
+0.75	1.44	2.57

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.40	1.01
-2	8.65	1.02
-1.75	6.63	1.07
-1.5	5.10	1.12
-1.25	4.67	1.14
-1	4.25	1.17
-0.75	3.20	1.30
+1	1.29	3.28
+1.25	1.24	3.59
+1.5	1.19	4.00
+1.75	1.12	5.13
+2	1.03	7.60
+2.5	1.01	8.50

Next Challenge League matches

30 Oct	Rapperswil – Stade Nyonnais
30 Oct	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy – Yverdon Sport
30 Oct	Étoile Carouge – SC Kriens
1 Nov	FC WIL 1900 – FC Winterthur

All Challenge League fixtures and the table

Latest Challenge League results

25 Oct	Yverdon Sport 5-2 SC Kriens
24 Oct	FC Aarau 1-2 Étoile Carouge
23 Oct	FC Winterthur 4-0 Stade Nyonnais
23 Oct	FC WIL 1900 2-2 Rapperswil
23 Oct	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 0-0 Neuchatel Xamax FC
9 Oct	Stade Nyonnais 2-1 FC Aarau