Bregalnica Štip vs Vardar Skopje• First League, Macedonia

#70.6:2.00-1FT17/102.0:1.0#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.951XBX3.90B36521.55WHMargin at best7.0%Books6Markets47Rating34 · 67Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 09:21 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	5.75	3.90	1.50	9.7%
1xBet	5.95	3.64	1.50	10.9%
Bet365	5.25	3.90	1.48	12.3%
Marathonbet	5.65	3.64	1.49	12.3%
Pinnacle	5.06	3.52	1.55	12.7%
William Hill	5.00	3.50	1.55	13.1%
Best of all books	5.95	3.90	1.55	7.0%
Average	5.44	3.68	1.51	11.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Bregalnica ŠtipVardar Skopje

Last 10#7Table position#31.00Points per game2.007Form pts · last 5130.6Goals for · last 52.02.0Goals against · last 51.023Attack rating7733Defence rating6727Form rating7315H2H rating8580Goals model2034Overall rating67

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:01 UTC

Bregalnica Štip

4W 1D 5L · goals 15:17 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against

10 Oct	A	Tikveš	0-3	L
23 Sep	H	Skopje	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	Sileks	2-2	D
9 Sep	A	Teteks	4-1	W
4 Sep	H	Shkëndija Haraçinë	0-1	L
28 Aug	A	Struga	0-4	L
21 Aug	H	Bashkimi Kumanovo	3-0	W
16 Aug	A	Shkendija	1-4	L
8 Aug	H	Aresimi	4-0	W
25 Jul	A	Vardar Skopje	0-2	L

Vardar Skopje

5W 2D 3L · goals 21:14 · per match 2.1 for, 1.4 against

11 Oct	A	Skopje	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Shkëndija Haraçinë	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Bashkimi Kumanovo	3-3	D
7 Sep	H	Aresimi	2-0	W
3 Sep	A	Ovce Pole	5-0	W
31 Aug	A	Tikveš	1-1	D
24 Aug	H	Sileks	4-1	W
16 Aug	A	Struga	0-1	L
9 Aug	H	Shkendija	0-2	L
28 Jul	A	Riga	2-5	L

Head to head

0Bregalnica Štip wins

2draws

6Vardar Skopje wins

8 meetings · goals 4:18 · last 8: 0W 2D 6L for Bregalnica Štip

25 Jul 2026First League	First League	Vardar Skopje2-0Bregalnica Štip
1 May 2024First League	First League	Bregalnica Štip0-3Vardar Skopje
25 Feb 2024First League	First League	Vardar Skopje2-0Bregalnica Štip
1 Oct 2023First League	First League	Bregalnica Štip0-0Vardar Skopje
3 May 2017First League	First League	Bregalnica Štip3-3Vardar Skopje
12 Mar 2017First League	First League	Vardar Skopje2-0Bregalnica Štip
5 Nov 2016First League	First League	Bregalnica Štip0-1Vardar Skopje
27 Aug 2016First League	First League	Vardar Skopje5-1Bregalnica Štip

First League tableFirst Leagueupdated 18 Oct 18:41 UTC

In the First League table, Bregalnica Štip sit 7th with 10 points from 10 games, while Vardar Skopje are 3rd with 20 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Shkendija	10	7	2	1	24:10	+14	23
2	Struga	10	6	2	2	22:7	+15	20
3	Vardar Skopje	10	6	2	2	17:9	+8	20
4	Tikveš	9	4	4	1	20:7	+13	16
5	Shkëndija Haraçinë	10	4	2	4	7:12	-5	14
6	Sileks	10	3	4	3	17:11	+6	13
7	Bregalnica Štip	10	3	1	6	11:17	-6	10
8	Aresimi	9	2	3	4	7:20	-13	9
9	Bashkimi Kumanovo	10	2	1	7	9:29	-20	7
10	Skopje	10	0	3	7	5:17	-12	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg116%5.44X24%3.68259%1.51

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

16.00 → 5.44 -9.3%X4.01 → 3.68 -8.2%21.44 → 1.51 +4.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.88	1.83	7.8%
1xBet	1.84	1.83	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.84	1.83	9.0%
BetVictor	1.84	1.82	9.3%
Best of all books	1.88	2.05	2.0%
Average	1.83	1.87	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.93	1.78	8.0%
1xBet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
William Hill	1.91	1.75	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.76	10.0%
Best of all books	1.93	1.79	7.7%
Average	1.90	1.77	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bregalnica Štip 10%Draw 45%Vardar Skopje 45%

The statistical model rated Bregalnica Štip at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Vardar Skopje at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.44 | 3.68 | 1.51, which imply roughly 27.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Bregalnica Štip are 7th (10 pts, 11-17 goals), Vardar Skopje 3rd (20 pts, 17-9).

Over their last five matches, Bregalnica Štip averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Vardar Skopje averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Vardar Skopje.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.44	3.68	1.51

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.30	1.09	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
4.20	1.20

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.90	1.77

1st half

1	X	2
5.79	2.18	2.07

2nd half

1	X	2
5.27	2.51	1.88

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	9.35	19.0	21.0
HT X	12.0	5.85	4.31
HT 2	48.0	19.0	2.30

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.08	10.9	1.42

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	9.50
1.5	1.24	3.34
2.5	1.83	1.87
3.5	3.08	1.28
4.5	5.70	1.09
5.5	13.0	1.03

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.30
1.75	1.31	2.94
2	1.40	2.57
2.25	1.63	2.08
2.75	2.02	1.67
3	2.47	1.43
3.25	2.78	1.34
3.75	3.82	1.19
4	5.25	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.81	1.34
+0.5	2.25	1.54
+0.75	2.01	1.67
+1	1.81	1.89
+1.25	1.54	2.21
+1.5	1.42	2.50

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	4.95	1.11
0	4.33	1.14
+1.75	1.30	3.03
+2	1.16	4.10
+2.5	1.11	4.90
+3.5	1.01	9.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8	1.85	1.95
8.5	2.10	1.67

Next First League matches

19 Oct

Aresimi – Tikveš

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

18 Oct	Bashkimi Kumanovo 0-3 Sileks
17 Oct	Shkëndija Haraçinë 0-2 Struga
12 Oct	Bashkimi Kumanovo 2-1 Struga
11 Oct	Skopje 1-2 Vardar Skopje
11 Oct	Shkëndija Haraçinë 1-1 Shkendija
10 Oct	Aresimi 1-1 Sileks