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Aresimi vs Tikveš• First League, Macedonia

#80.6:2.21-1FTToday1.8:0.8#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.411XBX3.80B36521.73WHMargin at best6.8%Books9Markets46Rating25 · 75Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 19 Oct 08:29 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet4.103.601.749.6%
BetVictor4.203.701.709.7%
Betfair4.203.801.6710.0%
1xBet4.413.541.6710.8%
Betano3.853.601.7510.9%
Bet3654.003.801.6711.2%
William Hill3.903.501.7312.0%
Marathonbet4.303.541.6512.1%
Pinnacle3.963.421.7212.6%
Best of all books4.413.801.756.1%
Average4.103.611.7010.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AresimiTikveš
Last 10#8Table position#41.00Points per game1.785Form pts · last 590.6Goals for · last 51.82.2Goals against · last 50.825Attack rating7527Defence rating7325Form rating7529H2H rating7114Goals model8625Overall rating75

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 18:41 UTC

Aresimi

3W 3D 4L · goals 19:20 · per match 1.9 for, 2.0 against

10 OctHSileks1-1D
24 SepAMogila12-0W
21 SepAStruga0-6L
11 SepHShkendija2-2D
7 SepAVardar Skopje0-2L
29 AugHSkopje0-0D
22 AugAShkëndija Haraçinë2-0W
14 AugHBashkimi Kumanovo1-0W
8 AugABregalnica Štip0-4L
24 JulATikveš1-5L

Tikveš

4W 5D 1L · goals 29:7 · per match 2.9 for, 0.7 against

10 OctHBregalnica Štip3-0W
6 OctAKrosu Sport Bitola13-0W
2 OctAFK Rabotnicki1-1D
18 SepASileks0-0D
11 SepHStruga2-2D
4 SepAShkendija3-1W
31 AugHVardar Skopje1-1D
21 AugASkopje1-1D
15 AugHShkëndija Haraçinë0-1L
8 AugABashkimi Kumanovo5-0W

Head to head

1Aresimi wins
1draws
3Tikveš wins

5 meetings · goals 7:16 · last 5: 1W 1D 3L for Aresimi

24 Jul 2026First LeagueFirst LeagueTikveš5-1Aresimi
3 May 2026First LeagueFirst LeagueTikveš1-1Aresimi
4 Mar 2026First LeagueFirst LeagueAresimi0-5Tikveš
24 Oct 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueTikveš3-4Aresimi
20 Sep 2023CupCupAresimi1-2Tikveš

First League tableFirst Leagueupdated 18 Oct 18:41 UTC

In the First League table, Aresimi sit 8th with 9 points from 9 games, while Tikveš are 4th with 16 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Shkendija1072124:10+1423
2Struga1062222:7+1520
3Vardar Skopje1062217:9+820
4Tikveš944120:7+1316
5Shkëndija Haraçinë104247:12-514
6Sileks1034317:11+613
7Bregalnica Štip1031611:17-610
8Aresimi92347:20-139
9Bashkimi Kumanovo102179:29-207
10Skopje100375:17-123

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg122%4.10X25%3.61253%1.70

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

18 Oct 18:4019 Oct 06:301 4.13X 3.582 1.69
14.33 → 4.13 -4.6%X3.90 → 3.58 -8.2%21.60 → 1.69 +5.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.702.106.4%
BetVictor1.672.107.5%
Betfair1.652.108.2%
Pinnacle1.682.048.5%
1xBet1.672.048.9%
Marathonbet1.672.048.9%
Betano1.652.0210.1%
Best of all books1.702.106.4%
Average1.672.068.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.652.108.2%
BetVictor1.652.108.2%
1xBet1.632.109.0%
William Hill1.652.059.4%
Marathonbet1.632.069.9%
Best of all books1.652.108.2%
Average1.642.088.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aresimi 0%Draw 50%Tikveš 50%

The statistical model rated Aresimi at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Tikveš at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.10 | 3.61 | 1.70, which imply roughly 27.7% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the First League table: Aresimi are 8th (9 pts, 7-20 goals), Tikveš 4th (16 pts, 20-7).

Over their last five matches, Aresimi averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Tikveš averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Tikveš.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.103.611.70

Double chance

1XX212
1.981.171.21

Draw no bet

12
3.121.32

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.642.08

1st half

1X2
4.502.242.24

2nd half

1X2
4.152.592.02

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 16.8515.319.3
HT X9.506.054.69
HT 235.515.12.60

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.6213.11.52

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0211.4
1.51.183.99
2.51.672.06
3.52.681.38
4.55.101.11
5.510.01.04
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.028.70
1.751.223.50
21.293.08
2.251.472.39
2.751.831.83
32.111.60
3.252.351.48
3.753.141.27
44.201.16

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.361.47
+0.51.961.71
+0.751.801.88
+11.552.24
+1.251.422.52
+1.51.342.82
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.58.601.02
-0.253.741.19
03.151.27
+1.751.223.50
+21.114.80
+2.51.085.65
+3.51.0110.5

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.742.00
91.981.82

Latest First League results

18 OctBashkimi Kumanovo 0-3 Sileks
17 OctBregalnica Štip 0-1 Vardar Skopje
17 OctShkëndija Haraçinë 0-2 Struga
12 OctBashkimi Kumanovo 2-1 Struga
11 OctSkopje 1-2 Vardar Skopje
11 OctShkëndija Haraçinë 1-1 Shkendija