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Aresimi vs Sileks• First League, Macedonia

#80.8:2.01-1FT10/100.6:1.8#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.50BFRX3.75BVC21.71PINMargin at best7.4%Books9Markets40Rating64 · 36Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 09:19 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
BetVictor4.403.751.679.3%
Dafabet4.303.551.7010.2%
1xBet4.443.601.6510.9%
Betfair4.503.701.6211.0%
Betano4.153.551.7011.1%
Pinnacle4.273.411.7111.2%
Bet3654.103.701.6711.3%
Marathonbet4.333.601.6312.2%
William Hill4.333.301.6713.3%
Best of all books4.503.751.717.4%
Average4.313.571.6711.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AresimiSileks
Last 10#8Table position#61.00Points per game1.305Form pts · last 530.8Goals for · last 50.62.0Goals against · last 51.857Attack rating4347Defence rating5371Form rating2975H2H rating2569Goals model3164Overall rating36

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 18:41 UTC

Aresimi

3W 3D 4L · goals 19:20 · per match 1.9 for, 2.0 against

10 OctHSileks1-1D
24 SepAMogila12-0W
21 SepAStruga0-6L
11 SepHShkendija2-2D
7 SepAVardar Skopje0-2L
29 AugHSkopje0-0D
22 AugAShkëndija Haraçinë2-0W
14 AugHBashkimi Kumanovo1-0W
8 AugABregalnica Štip0-4L
24 JulATikveš1-5L

Sileks

2W 4D 4L · goals 14:12 · per match 1.4 for, 1.2 against

10 OctAAresimi1-1D
18 SepHTikveš0-0D
13 SepHBregalnica Štip2-2D
7 SepAStruga0-1L
28 AugHShkendija0-2L
24 AugAVardar Skopje1-4L
15 AugHSkopje3-0W
7 AugAShkëndija Haraçinë1-1D
26 JulHBashkimi Kumanovo6-0W
16 JulHDinamo Minsk0-1L

Head to head

3Aresimi wins
0draws
1Sileks wins

4 meetings · goals 6:3 · last 4: 3W 0D 1L for Aresimi

15 May 2026First LeagueFirst LeagueSileks0-1Aresimi
28 Nov 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueSileks1-3Aresimi
14 Oct 2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsAresimi2-1Sileks
30 Aug 2025First LeagueFirst LeagueAresimi0-1Sileks

First League tableFirst Leagueupdated 18 Oct 18:41 UTC

In the First League table, Aresimi sit 8th with 9 points from 9 games, while Sileks are 6th with 13 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Shkendija1072124:10+1423
2Struga1062222:7+1520
3Vardar Skopje1062217:9+820
4Tikveš944120:7+1316
5Shkëndija Haraçinë104247:12-514
6Sileks1034317:11+613
7Bregalnica Štip1031611:17-610
8Aresimi92347:20-139
9Bashkimi Kumanovo102179:29-207
10Skopje100375:17-123

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.31X25%3.57254%1.67

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

9 Oct 15:3010 Oct 09:301 4.31X 3.572 1.67
14.16 → 4.31 +3.6%X3.51 → 3.57 +1.7%21.71 → 1.67 -2.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.702.106.4%
Pinnacle1.891.857.0%
BetVictor1.652.108.2%
1xBet1.672.048.9%
Marathonbet1.672.048.9%
Betano1.652.0210.1%
Best of all books1.892.100.5%
Average1.712.028.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
BetVictor1.622.158.2%
1xBet1.642.089.1%
William Hill1.572.209.1%
Marathonbet1.642.0410.0%
Best of all books1.642.206.4%
Average1.622.129.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aresimi 45%Draw 45%Sileks 10%

The statistical model rated Aresimi at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sileks at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.31 | 3.57 | 1.67, which imply roughly 23.2% for a Aresimi win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Aresimi are 8th (9 pts, 7-20 goals), Sileks 6th (13 pts, 17-11).

Over their last five matches, Aresimi averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Sileks averaged 0.6 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Aresimi or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.313.571.67

Double chance

1XX212
2.001.161.22

Draw no bet

12
3.271.30

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.622.12

1st half

1X2
4.662.252.19

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.5712.61.54

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0410.3
1.51.183.92
2.51.702.03
3.52.581.40
4.54.751.12
5.513.01.03
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.048.45
1.751.253.34
21.322.93
2.251.542.28
2.751.891.79
32.181.57
3.252.521.43
3.753.081.28
44.101.16

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.421.46
+0.52.011.72
+0.751.831.86
+11.582.20
+1.251.442.47
+1.51.352.78
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.58.601.02
-18.701.01
-0.253.741.19
03.271.26
+1.751.243.34
+21.134.55
+2.51.095.30

Next First League matches

19 OctAresimi – Tikveš

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

18 OctBashkimi Kumanovo 0-3 Sileks
17 OctBregalnica Štip 0-1 Vardar Skopje
17 OctShkëndija Haraçinë 0-2 Struga
12 OctBashkimi Kumanovo 2-1 Struga
11 OctSkopje 1-2 Vardar Skopje
11 OctShkëndija Haraçinë 1-1 Shkendija