Skopje vs Vardar Skopje• First League, Macedonia

#100.4:1.01-2FT11/102.4:1.0#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

19.351XBX4.75BFR21.36B365Margin at best5.3%Books9Markets47Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	8.50	4.50	1.33	9.2%
Dafabet	8.60	4.60	1.31	9.7%
Betano	7.30	4.25	1.36	10.8%
1xBet	9.35	4.40	1.29	10.9%
Betfair	8.00	4.75	1.29	11.1%
Bet365	7.50	4.10	1.36	11.3%
Pinnacle	8.40	4.55	1.29	11.4%
William Hill	9.00	4.20	1.30	11.8%
Marathonbet	8.80	4.40	1.28	12.2%
Best of all books	9.35	4.75	1.36	5.3%
Average	8.38	4.42	1.31	10.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SkopjeVardar Skopje

Last 10#10Table position#30.30Points per game2.004Form pts · last 5130.4Goals for · last 52.41.0Goals against · last 51.014Attack rating8650Defence rating5015Form rating8571H2H rating2931Goals model6940Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 10:01 UTC

Skopje

2W 3D 5L · goals 6:13 · per match 0.6 for, 1.3 against

23 Sep	A	Bregalnica Štip	0-1	L
14 Sep	A	Shkëndija Haraçinë	0-1	L
9 Sep	A	Kozuv Gevgelija	1-0	W
5 Sep	H	Bashkimi Kumanovo	1-2	L
29 Aug	A	Aresimi	0-0	D
21 Aug	H	Tikveš	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	Sileks	0-3	L
9 Aug	H	Struga	1-1	D
26 Jul	A	Shkendija	0-3	L
19 Jul	H	Aresimi	2-1	W

Vardar Skopje

5W 2D 3L · goals 21:14 · per match 2.1 for, 1.4 against

11 Oct	A	Skopje	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Shkëndija Haraçinë	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	Bashkimi Kumanovo	3-3	D
7 Sep	H	Aresimi	2-0	W
3 Sep	A	Ovce Pole	5-0	W
31 Aug	A	Tikveš	1-1	D
24 Aug	H	Sileks	4-1	W
16 Aug	A	Struga	0-1	L
9 Aug	H	Shkendija	0-2	L
28 Jul	A	Riga	2-5	L

Head to head

3Skopje wins

3draws

2Vardar Skopje wins

8 meetings · goals 5:7 · last 8: 3W 3D 2L for Skopje

8 Feb 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Skopje1-3Vardar Skopje
23 Jul 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Vardar Skopje0-1Skopje
23 Jul 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Skopje1-0Vardar Skopje
20 Oct 2021Cup	Cup	Vardar Skopje0-0Skopje
2 May 2018First League	First League	Vardar Skopje0-1Skopje
11 Mar 2018First League	First League	Skopje0-0Vardar Skopje
5 Nov 2017First League	First League	Vardar Skopje3-0Skopje
17 Sep 2017First League	First League	Skopje1-1Vardar Skopje

First League tableFirst Leagueupdated 18 Oct 18:41 UTC

In the First League table, Skopje sit 10th with 3 points from 10 games, while Vardar Skopje are 3rd with 20 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Shkendija	10	7	2	1	24:10	+14	23
2	Struga	10	6	2	2	22:7	+15	20
3	Vardar Skopje	10	6	2	2	17:9	+8	20
4	Tikveš	9	4	4	1	20:7	+13	16
5	Shkëndija Haraçinë	10	4	2	4	7:12	-5	14
6	Sileks	10	3	4	3	17:11	+6	13
7	Bregalnica Štip	10	3	1	6	11:17	-6	10
8	Aresimi	9	2	3	4	7:20	-13	9
9	Bashkimi Kumanovo	10	2	1	7	9:29	-20	7
10	Skopje	10	0	3	7	5:17	-12	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg111%8.38X20%4.42269%1.31

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

17.44 → 8.38 +12.6%X4.30 → 4.42 +2.8%21.34 → 1.31 -2.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Pinnacle	1.83	1.91	7.0%
BetVictor	1.76	1.92	8.9%
1xBet	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Betfair	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Betano	1.72	1.93	10.0%
Best of all books	1.83	2.10	2.3%
Average	1.76	1.94	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.20	1.60	8.0%
BetVictor	2.10	1.65	8.2%
1xBet	2.13	1.61	9.1%
William Hill	2.10	1.62	9.3%
Marathonbet	2.13	1.59	9.8%
Best of all books	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Average	2.13	1.61	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Skopje 10%Draw 45%Vardar Skopje 45%

The statistical model rated Skopje at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Vardar Skopje at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 8.38 | 4.42 | 1.31, which imply roughly 22.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Skopje are 10th (3 pts, 5-17 goals), Vardar Skopje 3rd (20 pts, 17-9).

Over their last five matches, Skopje averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Vardar Skopje averaged 2.4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Vardar Skopje.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
8.38	4.42	1.31

Double chance

1X	X2	12
3.03	1.05	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
6.17	1.09

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.13	1.61

1st half

1	X	2
7.83	2.36	1.78

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.95	12.0	1.28

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	10.3
1.5	1.21	3.72
2.5	1.76	1.94
3.5	2.84	1.35
4.5	5.23	1.11
5.5	11.5	1.02

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.10
1.75	1.28	3.13
2	1.36	2.76
2.25	1.58	2.19
2.75	1.98	1.71
3	2.27	1.53
3.25	2.65	1.39
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.80	1.12

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.75	2.74	1.36
+1	2.37	1.49
+1.25	1.95	1.76
+1.5	1.75	1.95
+1.75	1.52	2.28
+2	1.34	2.82

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
0	7.10	1.04
+0.25	4.10	1.16
+0.5	3.23	1.28
+2.25	1.32	2.92
+2.5	1.23	3.42
+3	1.06	6.20
+3.5	1.04	7.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.92	1.81

Next First League matches

19 Oct

Aresimi – Tikveš

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

18 Oct	Bashkimi Kumanovo 0-3 Sileks
17 Oct	Bregalnica Štip 0-1 Vardar Skopje
17 Oct	Shkëndija Haraçinë 0-2 Struga
12 Oct	Bashkimi Kumanovo 2-1 Struga
11 Oct	Shkëndija Haraçinë 1-1 Shkendija
10 Oct	Aresimi 1-1 Sileks