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Tikveš vs Bregalnica Štip• First League, Macedonia

#41.4:1.03-0FT10/101.2:1.4#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.40B365X4.50BFR27.701XBMargin at best6.6%Books9Markets45Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 09:19 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
BetVictor1.364.507.509.1%
Dafabet1.374.407.0010.0%
Betano1.404.356.1010.8%
1xBet1.344.307.7010.9%
Pinnacle1.364.336.9111.1%
Bet3651.404.206.2511.2%
Betfair1.334.507.0011.7%
Marathonbet1.324.337.5012.2%
William Hill1.363.907.0013.5%
Best of all books1.404.507.706.6%
Average1.364.317.0011.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TikvešBregalnica Štip
Last 10#4Table position#71.70Points per game1.009Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 51.21.0Goals against · last 51.454Attack rating4658Defence rating4250Form rating5050H2H rating5076Goals model2456Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 18 Oct 18:41 UTC

Tikveš

4W 5D 1L · goals 29:7 · per match 2.9 for, 0.7 against

10 OctHBregalnica Štip3-0W
6 OctAKrosu Sport Bitola13-0W
2 OctAFK Rabotnicki1-1D
18 SepASileks0-0D
11 SepHStruga2-2D
4 SepAShkendija3-1W
31 AugHVardar Skopje1-1D
21 AugASkopje1-1D
15 AugHShkëndija Haraçinë0-1L
8 AugABashkimi Kumanovo5-0W

Bregalnica Štip

4W 1D 5L · goals 15:17 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against

10 OctATikveš0-3L
23 SepHSkopje1-0W
13 SepASileks2-2D
9 SepATeteks4-1W
4 SepHShkëndija Haraçinë0-1L
28 AugAStruga0-4L
21 AugHBashkimi Kumanovo3-0W
16 AugAShkendija1-4L
8 AugHAresimi4-0W
25 JulAVardar Skopje0-2L

Head to head

4Tikveš wins
6draws
12Bregalnica Štip wins

22 meetings · goals 16:35 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for Tikveš

25 Jan 2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsBregalnica Štip2-1Tikveš
10 Mar 2024First LeagueFirst LeagueTikveš2-1Bregalnica Štip
18 Feb 2024First LeagueFirst LeagueBregalnica Štip2-1Tikveš
24 Sep 2023First LeagueFirst LeagueTikveš2-1Bregalnica Štip
2 Apr 2023First LeagueFirst LeagueBregalnica Štip0-0Tikveš
24 Jan 2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsBregalnica Štip1-0Tikveš
6 Nov 2022First LeagueFirst LeagueBregalnica Štip2-1Tikveš
21 Aug 2022First LeagueFirst LeagueTikveš1-1Bregalnica Štip
8 May 2022First LeagueFirst LeagueBregalnica Štip1-0Tikveš
11 Dec 2021First LeagueFirst LeagueTikveš1-3Bregalnica Štip

First League tableFirst Leagueupdated 22 Oct 14:00 UTC

In the First League table, Tikveš sit 4th with 17 points from 10 games, while Bregalnica Štip are 7th with 10 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Shkendija1072124:10+1423
2Struga1062222:7+1520
3Vardar Skopje1062217:9+820
4Tikveš1045121:8+1317
5Shkëndija Haraçinë104247:12-514
6Sileks1034317:11+613
7Bregalnica Štip1031611:17-610
8Aresimi102448:21-1310
9Bashkimi Kumanovo102179:29-207
10Skopje100375:17-123

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.36X21%4.31213%7.00

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

9 Oct 15:3010 Oct 09:301 1.36X 4.312 7.00
11.41 → 1.36 -3.5%X4.17 → 4.31 +3.4%26.32 → 7.00 +10.8%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.602.306.0%
Betfair1.602.208.0%
Pinnacle1.612.188.0%
BetVictor1.622.158.2%
1xBet1.642.089.1%
Marathonbet1.582.189.2%
Betano1.622.0710.0%
Best of all books1.642.304.5%
Average1.612.178.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.851.858.1%
BetVictor1.851.838.7%
1xBet1.861.819.0%
Marathonbet1.821.829.9%
William Hill1.751.8511.2%
Best of all books1.861.857.8%
Average1.831.839.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tikveš 45%Draw 45%Bregalnica Štip 10%

The statistical model rated Tikveš at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Bregalnica Štip at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.36 | 4.31 | 7.00, which imply roughly 73.5% for a Tikveš win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the First League table: Tikveš are 4th (17 pts, 21-8 goals), Bregalnica Štip 7th (10 pts, 11-17).

Over their last five matches, Tikveš averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Bregalnica Štip averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Tikveš or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.364.317.00

Double chance

1XX212
1.062.731.15

Draw no bet

12
1.135.05

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.831.83

1st half

1X2
1.842.406.54

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3513.13.31

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0211.9
1.51.164.25
2.51.612.17
3.52.501.44
4.54.521.14
5.59.001.04
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.028.55
1.751.193.71
21.263.30
2.251.432.52
2.751.761.91
31.991.69
3.252.241.55
3.752.911.32
43.691.20

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-22.791.35
-1.752.281.51
-1.51.991.67
-1.251.801.89
-11.572.19
-0.751.422.52
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.56.531.05
-35.821.07
-2.53.391.23
-0.51.352.90
-0.251.213.63
01.085.78
+0.251.066.35

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
8.51.811.92

Next First League matches

23 OctSileks – Shkëndija Haraçinë

All First League fixtures and the table

Latest First League results

19 OctAresimi 1-1 Tikveš
18 OctBashkimi Kumanovo 0-3 Sileks
17 OctBregalnica Štip 0-1 Vardar Skopje
17 OctShkëndija Haraçinë 0-2 Struga
12 OctBashkimi Kumanovo 2-1 Struga
11 OctSkopje 1-2 Vardar Skopje