Aarhus Fremad vs Hillerød• 1. Division, Denmark

#50.2:1.014:0001/11 · Jysk Park, Silkeborg0.8:1.0#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.10BTNX3.50MAR23.45PINMargin at best5.2%Books10Markets50Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L51.5

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Oct 20:25 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.07	3.42	3.46	6.5%
Betano	2.10	3.45	3.30	6.9%
BetVictor	2.05	3.40	3.40	7.6%
1xBet	2.00	3.50	3.40	8.0%
Dafabet	2.06	3.45	3.25	8.3%
Marathonbet	1.98	3.50	3.38	8.7%
Bet365	2.00	3.50	3.30	8.9%
Betfair	2.00	3.30	3.30	10.6%
William Hill	2.00	3.20	3.25	12.0%
SBO	1.98	3.02	3.01	16.8%
Best of all books	2.10	3.50	3.46	5.1%
Average	2.02	3.37	3.31	9.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Aarhus FremadHillerød

Last 10#5Table position#91.25Points per game1.002Form pts · last 570.2Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 51.020Attack rating8050Defence rating5030Form rating7050H2H rating5061Goals model3945Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 16:30 UTC

Aarhus Fremad

2W 5D 3L · goals 5:10 · per match 0.5 for, 1.0 against

29 Oct	H	FC Copenhagen	0-3	L
24 Oct	A	Vejle	0-0	D
16 Oct	H	Esbjerg	0-0	D
9 Oct	A	AB Copenhagen	0-2	L
19 Sep	H	Hvidovre	1-3	L
16 Sep	A	Hørsholm-Usserød	1-1	D
11 Sep	A	Vendsyssel FF	0-0	D
6 Sep	H	Kolding IF	2-1	W
30 Aug	H	Vejle	0-0	D
25 Aug	A	SGI	1-0	W

Hillerød

4W 2D 4L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against

24 Oct	H	Aalborg	2-1	W
18 Oct	A	Hvidovre	0-1	L
10 Oct	H	FC Fredericia	0-2	L
18 Sep	A	Kolding IF	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	AB Copenhagen	1-0	W
9 Sep	A	Vanløse	1-2	L
4 Sep	A	HB Koge	1-1	D
30 Aug	H	Hobro	3-1	W
25 Aug	A	Avarta	4-0	W
20 Aug	A	Vendsyssel FF	0-1	L

Head to head

2Aarhus Fremad wins

1draws

2Hillerød wins

5 meetings · goals 7:5 · last 5: 2W 1D 2L for Aarhus Fremad

15 Aug 20261. Division	1. Division	Hillerød1-1Aarhus Fremad
21 Mar 20261. Division	1. Division	Hillerød1-0Aarhus Fremad
9 Aug 20251. Division	1. Division	Aarhus Fremad3-1Hillerød
19 Mar 20222. Division	2. Division	Aarhus Fremad3-1Hillerød
4 Sep 20212. Division	2. Division	Hillerød1-0Aarhus Fremad

1. Division table1. Divisionupdated 30 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the 1. Division table, Aarhus Fremad sit 5th with 15 points from 12 games, while Hillerød are 9th with 12 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Hvidovre	12	8	4	0	23:12	+11	28
2	Vejle	12	6	5	1	24:15	+9	23
3	FC Fredericia	12	5	5	2	18:8	+10	20
4	AB Copenhagen	12	5	3	4	17:12	+5	18
5	Aarhus Fremad	12	3	6	3	10:11	-1	15
6	Hobro	12	4	3	5	15:22	-7	15
7	Aalborg	12	3	5	4	15:17	-2	14
8	Kolding IF	12	2	6	4	13:15	-2	12
9	Hillerød	12	3	3	6	15:18	-3	12
10	HB Koge	12	2	5	5	17:22	-5	11
11	Vendsyssel FF	12	2	5	5	13:20	-7	11
12	Esbjerg	12	2	4	6	15:23	-8	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.02X27%3.37228%3.30

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.99 → 2.02 +1.5%X3.44 → 3.37 -2.0%23.42 → 3.30 -3.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Betfair	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.84	1.95	5.6%
Betano	1.82	1.95	6.2%
SBO	1.81	1.95	6.5%
1xBet	1.79	1.94	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.79	1.94	7.4%
BetVictor	1.78	1.89	9.1%
Best of all books	1.85	2.00	4.1%
Average	1.81	1.95	6.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Betano	1.65	2.12	7.8%
1xBet	1.66	2.09	8.1%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.06	8.8%
Best of all books	1.67	2.12	7.1%
Average	1.66	2.10	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aarhus Fremad 10%Draw 45%Hillerød 45%

The statistical model rates Aarhus Fremad at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Hillerød at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.02 | 3.37 | 3.30, which imply roughly 29.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Division table: Aarhus Fremad are 5th (15 pts, 10-11 goals), Hillerød 9th (12 pts, 15-18).

Over their last five matches, Aarhus Fremad averaged 0.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Hillerød averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Hillerød and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.02	3.37	3.31

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.73	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.50	2.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.66	2.10

1st half

1	X	2
2.58	2.19	3.87

2nd half

1	X	2
2.37	2.50	3.49

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.17	13.8	32.5
HT X	5.16	5.46	7.63
HT 2	23.6	14.4	5.52

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.71	12.4	2.27

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	9.88
1.5	1.24	3.63
2.5	1.81	1.95
3.5	3.00	1.34
4.5	5.53	1.11
5.5	10.8	1.04
6.5	21.3	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	–	9.00
1.25	1.11	4.95
1.75	1.27	3.15
2	1.36	2.84
2.25	1.59	2.21
2.75	2.01	1.72
3	2.36	1.53
3.25	2.61	1.40
3.75	3.51	1.23
4	4.75	1.12
4.25	5.11	1.10
4.75	6.90	1.04
5	8.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.90	1.36
-0.75	2.30	1.55
-0.5	2.03	1.75
-0.25	1.74	1.99
0	1.49	2.48
+0.25	1.37	2.87

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.50	1.03
-2.25	7.10	1.04
-2	6.77	1.07
-1.75	4.64	1.15
-1.5	3.61	1.24
-1.25	3.31	1.29
+0.5	1.31	3.36
+0.75	1.19	4.20
+1	1.08	6.22
+1.25	1.07	6.73
+1.5	1.03	7.20

Next 1. Division matches

30 Oct	Aalborg – Hobro
31 Oct	Kolding IF – HB Koge
31 Oct	FC Fredericia – AB Copenhagen
31 Oct	Esbjerg – Hvidovre
1 Nov	Vendsyssel FF – Vejle

All 1. Division fixtures and the table

Latest 1. Division results

24 Oct	Vejle 0-0 Aarhus Fremad
24 Oct	AB Copenhagen 1-0 Kolding IF
24 Oct	Esbjerg 2-1 FC Fredericia
24 Oct	Hillerød 2-1 Aalborg
23 Oct	Hvidovre 2-2 HB Koge
23 Oct	Hobro 2-2 Vendsyssel FF