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Monza vs Napoli• Serie A, Italy

#152.2:2.00-1LiveToday · Stadio Brianteo, Monza1.6:1.0#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.89PINX4.06PIN21.71MARMargin at best3.6%Books3Markets70Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle4.894.061.713.6%
Marathonbet4.704.051.714.4%
Bet3654.754.001.704.9%
Best of all books4.894.061.713.6%
Average4.784.041.714.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MonzaNapoli
Last 10#15Table position#100.88Points per game1.384Form pts · last 572.2Goals for · last 51.62.0Goals against · last 51.058Attack rating4233Defence rating6743Form rating5729H2H rating7165Goals model3544Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 00:02 UTC

Monza

3W 2D 5L · goals 19:19 · per match 1.9 for, 1.9 against

23 OctATorino2-3L
19 OctHCagliari4-0W
11 OctALazio1-3L
3 OctAStade Brestois 292-2D
26 SepHCremonese2-3L
18 SepHSassuolo2-1W
13 SepALecce2-3L
6 SepAParma1-1D
1 SepATorino1-0W
29 AugHUdinese2-3L

Napoli

3W 2D 5L · goals 16:17 · per match 1.6 for, 1.7 against

24 OctHAS Roma3-3D
20 OctHBodo/Glimt4-3W
17 OctAVenezia0-1L
13 OctAVillarreal1-3L
10 OctHFrosinone3-0W
20 SepAFiorentina1-1D
13 SepHBologna1-0W
9 SepHArsenal0-1L
5 SepAInter2-3L
30 AugHComo1-2L

Head to head

1Monza wins
1draws
4Napoli wins

6 meetings · goals 4:11 · last 6: 1W 1D 4L for Monza

19 Apr 2025Serie ASerie AMonza0-1Napoli
29 Sep 2024Serie ASerie ANapoli2-0Monza
7 Apr 2024Serie ASerie AMonza2-4Napoli
29 Dec 2023Serie ASerie ANapoli0-0Monza
14 May 2023Serie ASerie AMonza2-0Napoli
21 Aug 2022Serie ASerie ANapoli4-0Monza

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 28 Oct 19:30 UTC

In the Serie A table, Monza sit 15th with 7 points from 8 games, while Napoli are 10th with 11 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Lazio981022:7+1525
2Inter871023:10+1322
3AS Roma963023:8+1521
4Como962117:8+920
5AC Milan853016:7+918
6Frosinone842217:13+414
7Juventus842211:8+314
8Torino941414:14013
9Cagliari94148:13-513
10Napoli832313:10+311
11Atalanta831414:15-110
12Lecce83059:14-59
13Bologna82248:10-28
14Sassuolo922514:22-88
15Monza821515:18-37
16Genoa82156:13-77
17Udinese81169:18-94
18Fiorentina81169:19-104
19Parma81165:15-104
20Venezia81076:17-113

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg120%4.78X24%4.04256%1.71

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

25 Oct 00:0028 Oct 19:201 4.78X 4.042 1.71
14.01 → 4.78 +19.2%X3.75 → 4.04 +7.7%21.87 → 1.71 -8.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.712.243.1%
Marathonbet1.692.185.0%
Bet3651.672.205.3%
Best of all books1.712.243.1%
Average1.692.214.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.672.107.5%
Marathonbet1.652.118.0%
Best of all books1.672.117.3%
Average1.662.107.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Monza 10%Draw 45%Napoli 45%

The statistical model rates Monza at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Napoli at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.78 | 4.04 | 1.71, which imply roughly 24.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Monza are 15th (7 pts, 15-18 goals), Napoli 10th (11 pts, 13-10).

Over their last five matches, Monza averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Napoli averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Napoli.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Monza

3-4-2-1

Coach: I. Juric

Goalkeeper

  • 1N. Törnqvist

Defence

  • 7Ricardo Mangas
  • 3L. Lucchesi
  • 2S. Goglichidze
  • 19S. Birindelli
  • 24A. Bakoune

Midfield

  • 8M. Ondoa
  • 21L. Colombo

Attack

  • 9Gustavo Varela
  • 46Jay Robinson
  • 16C. Ngonge
Substitutes (14)
  • 27I. Touré
  • 14E. Akinsanmiro
  • 22E. Zeballos
  • 20D. Thiam
  • 6V. Antov
  • 44A. Carboni
  • 26P. Ciurria
  • 28A. Colpani
  • 10P. Cutrone
  • 11O. Forson
  • 60E. Kouadio
  • 47Dany Mota
  • 80M. Mout
  • 43A. Strajnar

Napoli

4-3-3

Coach: M. Allegri

Goalkeeper

  • 32V. Milinković-Savić

Defence

  • 22G. Di Lorenzo
  • 16Rafa Marín
  • 17M. Olivera
  • 13Amir Rrahmani

Midfield

  • 99A. Zambo Anguissa
  • 68S. Lobotka
  • 8S. McTominay

Attack

  • 19R. Højlund
  • 70N. Lang
  • 21M. Politano
Substitutes (9)
  • 1A. Meret
  • 35Luca Marianucci
  • 20L. Lucca
  • 23Giovane
  • 6B. Gilmour
  • 11K. De Bruyne
  • 14N. Contini
  • 31S. Beukema
  • 26A. Vergara

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.784.041.71

Double chance

1XX212
2.121.191.25

Draw no bet

12
3.501.28

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.662.11

1st half

1X2
4.772.412.25

2nd half

1X2
4.222.692.03

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 17.4515.622.0
HT X10.06.084.68
HT 237.514.42.60

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.6214.11.55

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0413.0
1.51.204.27
2.51.692.21
3.52.691.45
4.54.801.15
5.59.351.04
6.519.01.02
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1–10.3
1.251.085.75
1.751.243.93
21.303.47
2.251.502.62
2.751.861.96
32.121.72
3.252.391.57
3.753.171.34
43.921.18
4.254.251.15
4.755.751.07
58.001.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.591.49
+0.52.171.71
+0.751.961.88
+11.682.21
+1.251.522.52
+1.51.412.84
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.58.901.01
-18.701.01
-0.755.751.11
-0.54.401.20
-0.253.961.24
03.511.29
+1.751.303.46
+21.174.58
+2.251.145.05
+2.51.125.48
+2.751.056.65

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
2.51.313.32
31.462.70
3.51.742.09
42.341.59
4.52.511.51
53.091.35

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.018.40
6.51.095.30
7.51.233.42
8.51.602.28
9.51.901.86
10.52.361.54
11.53.051.28
12.54.301.15
13.56.101.06
3 more lines
LineOverUnder
81.512.51
91.792.05
102.151.70

Next Serie A matches

29 OctFrosinone – Lecce
29 OctFiorentina – Atalanta
31 OctBologna – Monza
31 OctUdinese – AS Roma
31 OctAC Milan – Inter

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

28 OctVenezia 0-2 Inter
28 OctParma 0-0 Udinese
28 OctAC Milan 2-4 Bologna
27 OctAS Roma 4-2 Cagliari
27 OctTorino 1-3 Como
27 OctSassuolo 2-6 Lazio