AC Milan vs Bologna• Serie A, Italy

#42.2:1.017:30Tomorrow · San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan1.2:1.2#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.691XBX4.12PIN26.00B365Margin at best0.1%Books10Markets95Rating64 · 37Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Oct 03:29 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.69	4.12	5.55	1.5%
Pinnacle	1.63	4.08	5.57	3.8%
Dafabet	1.63	4.00	5.60	4.2%
Marathonbet	1.64	4.00	5.40	4.5%
Betano	1.65	3.90	5.40	4.8%
Bet365	1.62	3.75	6.00	5.1%
Betfair	1.62	3.90	5.50	5.6%
BetVictor	1.57	3.90	5.50	7.5%
William Hill	1.62	3.75	5.00	8.4%
SBO	1.56	3.62	4.83	12.4%
Best of all books	1.69	4.12	6.00	0.1%
Average	1.62	3.90	5.43	5.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AC MilanBologna

Last 10#4Table position#132.25Points per game1.0010Form pts · last 572.2Goals for · last 51.21.0Goals against · last 51.265Attack rating3555Defence rating4561Form rating3960H2H rating4073Goals model2764Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 22:50 UTC

AC Milan

5W 3D 2L · goals 18:11 · per match 1.8 for, 1.1 against

25 Oct	A	Udinese	2-0	W
22 Oct	A	Bournemouth	0-3	L
18 Oct	H	Atalanta	3-2	W
15 Oct	A	Red Bull Salzburg	4-0	W
11 Oct	A	Sassuolo	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Lecce	3-0	W
16 Sep	H	Benfica	0-2	L
12 Sep	A	Lazio	2-2	D
6 Sep	A	Juventus	1-1	D
28 Aug	H	Venezia	2-0	W

Bologna

2W 2D 6L · goals 9:15 · per match 0.9 for, 1.5 against

24 Oct	A	Cagliari	2-0	W
17 Oct	H	Inter	1-3	L
11 Oct	A	Lecce	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Torino	1-1	D
13 Sep	A	Napoli	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Sassuolo	2-2	D
31 Aug	A	Atalanta	0-1	L
24 Aug	H	Lazio	0-1	L
15 Aug	A	Brighton	0-1	L
8 Aug	H	Pisa	1-4	L

Head to head

21AC Milan wins

7draws

3Bologna wins

31 meetings · goals 58:25 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for AC Milan

3 Feb 2026Serie A	Serie A	Bologna0-3AC Milan
14 Sep 2025Serie A	Serie A	AC Milan1-0Bologna
14 May 2025Coppa Italia	Coppa Italia	AC Milan0-1Bologna
9 May 2025Serie A	Serie A	AC Milan3-1Bologna
27 Feb 2025Serie A	Serie A	Bologna2-1AC Milan
27 Jan 2024Serie A	Serie A	AC Milan2-2Bologna
21 Aug 2023Serie A	Serie A	Bologna0-2AC Milan
15 Apr 2023Serie A	Serie A	Bologna1-1AC Milan
27 Aug 2022Serie A	Serie A	AC Milan2-0Bologna
4 Apr 2022Serie A	Serie A	AC Milan0-0Bologna

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 27 Oct 00:02 UTC

In the Serie A table, AC Milan sit 4th with 18 points from 8 games, while Bologna are 13th with 8 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Inter	8	7	1	0	23:10	+13	22
2	Lazio	8	7	1	0	16:5	+11	22
3	AS Roma	8	5	3	0	19:6	+13	18
4	AC Milan	8	5	3	0	16:7	+9	18
5	Como	8	5	2	1	14:7	+7	17
6	Frosinone	8	4	2	2	17:13	+4	14
7	Juventus	8	4	2	2	11:8	+3	14
8	Torino	8	4	1	3	13:11	+2	13
9	Cagliari	8	4	1	3	6:9	-3	13
10	Napoli	8	3	2	3	13:10	+3	11
11	Atalanta	8	3	1	4	14:15	-1	10
12	Lecce	8	3	0	5	9:14	-5	9
13	Bologna	8	2	2	4	8:10	-2	8
14	Sassuolo	8	2	2	4	12:16	-4	8
15	Monza	8	2	1	5	15:18	-3	7
16	Genoa	8	2	1	5	6:13	-7	7
17	Udinese	8	1	1	6	9:18	-9	4
18	Fiorentina	8	1	1	6	9:19	-10	4
19	Parma	8	1	1	6	5:15	-10	4
20	Venezia	8	1	0	7	6:17	-11	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.62X24%3.92217%5.48

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.62 → 1.62 0.0%X4.01 → 3.92 -2.2%25.39 → 5.48 +1.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.93	2.01	1.6%
Pinnacle	1.88	2.01	2.9%
SBO	1.85	2.01	3.8%
Betano	1.85	2.00	4.1%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.94	5.0%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betfair	1.87	1.90	6.1%
BetVictor	1.78	1.90	8.8%
Best of all books	1.93	2.01	1.6%
Average	1.85	1.97	4.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.85	1.91	6.4%
Betano	1.82	1.93	6.8%
Bet365	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Betfair	1.80	1.95	6.8%
1xBet	1.83	1.89	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.87	8.1%
BetVictor	1.80	1.90	8.2%
Best of all books	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Average	1.82	1.91	7.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AC Milan 45%Draw 45%Bologna 10%

The statistical model rates AC Milan at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Bologna at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.62 | 3.92 | 5.48, which imply roughly 61.7% for a AC Milan win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: AC Milan are 4th (18 pts, 16-7 goals), Bologna 13th (8 pts, 8-10).

Over their last five matches, AC Milan averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Bologna averaged 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : AC Milan or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.62	3.90	5.44

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	2.26	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.22	3.97

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.82	1.91

1st half

1	X	2
2.13	2.26	5.38

2nd half

1	X	2
1.94	2.61	4.98

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.38	15.5	48.1
HT X	4.39	5.85	11.2
HT 2	23.2	16.8	9.06

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.49	11.9	2.89

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	11.2
1.5	1.26	3.75
2.5	1.85	1.97
3.5	3.06	1.37
4.5	5.90	1.12
5.5	10.4	1.05
6.5	15.9	1.02
7.5	31.3	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.40
1.25	1.13	5.02
1.75	1.32	3.21
2	1.41	2.85
2.25	1.63	2.28
2.75	2.07	1.74
3	2.46	1.54
3.25	2.74	1.42
3.75	3.75	1.23
4	5.20	1.13
4.25	5.52	1.10
4.75	7.65	1.04
5	9.15	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.72	1.45
-1.25	2.38	1.57
-1	2.08	1.77
-0.75	1.78	2.05
-0.5	1.60	2.33
-0.25	1.41	2.83

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	10.8	1.03
-3	10.4	1.02
-2.75	6.88	1.07
-2.5	5.39	1.13
-2.25	4.80	1.15
-2	4.52	1.19
-1.75	3.28	1.31
0	1.22	4.06
+0.25	1.17	4.62
+0.5	1.14	5.75
+0.75	1.07	6.86
+1	1.02	10.4
+1.5	1.02	11.3

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.3
1.5	1.14	5.20
2.5	1.38	2.87
3.5	1.85	1.93
4.5	2.34	1.56
5.5	3.95	1.22
6.5	6.00	1.11
7.5	8.50	1.05
8.5	11.0	1.02

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.01	14.0
3.5	1.02	11.3
4.5	1.03	8.30
5.5	1.12	4.89
6.5	1.27	3.23
7.5	1.53	2.32
8.5	1.96	1.80
9.5	2.57	1.44
10.5	3.49	1.23
11.5	4.87	1.13
12.5	6.80	1.06
13.5	10.0	1.02
14.5	14.0	1.02
15.5	12.5	1.01

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5	1.04	5.65
6	1.13	3.97
6.75	1.27	3.14
7	1.32	2.82
7.25	1.40	2.60
7.75	1.57	2.22
8	1.69	2.08
8.25	1.80	1.94
8.75	2.03	1.68
9	2.22	1.61
9.25	2.36	1.49
9.75	2.75	1.36
10	2.92	1.30
10.25	3.28	1.25
11	3.80	1.14
12	5.02	1.07

Next Serie A matches

27 Oct	Sassuolo – Lazio
27 Oct	AS Roma – Cagliari
27 Oct	Torino – Como
28 Oct	Venezia – Inter
28 Oct	Parma – Udinese
28 Oct	Genoa – Juventus

All Serie A fixtures and the table

Latest Serie A results

25 Oct	Udinese 0-2 AC Milan
25 Oct	Lecce 0-2 Juventus
25 Oct	Genoa 1-0 Venezia
25 Oct	Atalanta 4-4 Frosinone
25 Oct	Inter 2-1 Fiorentina
24 Oct	Lazio 2-1 Parma