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Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza FC• Primera A, Colombia

#121.4:1.01-0FT02/11 · Estadio Cincuentenario, Medellin0.8:1.2#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.20BTNX3.40BTN23.75PINMargin at best1.5%Books9Markets76Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Nov 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano2.203.403.652.3%
Pinnacle2.113.263.754.7%
Bet3652.103.203.705.9%
Dafabet2.113.203.507.2%
Betfair2.053.253.607.3%
1xBet1.993.343.608.0%
BetVictor2.053.203.508.6%
Marathonbet1.973.343.588.6%
William Hill2.053.103.4010.5%
Best of all books2.203.403.751.5%
Average2.073.253.596.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Águilas DoradasFortaleza FC
Last 10#12Table position#151.37Points per game1.168Form pts · last 531.4Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 51.264Attack rating3655Defence rating4573Form rating2738H2H rating6257Goals model4355Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 12:30 UTC

Águilas Doradas

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against

27 OctACucuta2-0W
24 OctAJunior0-1L
18 OctHDeportes Tolima2-1W
13 OctABucaramanga1-1D
9 OctAAlianza Valledupar2-2D
3 OctHJaguares2-0W
28 SepADeportivo Cali0-2L
24 SepAAmerica de Cali0-1L
18 SepHDeportivo Pereira2-2D
13 SepAAtletico Nacional0-2L

Fortaleza FC

0W 7D 3L · goals 13:18 · per match 1.3 for, 1.8 against

29 OctAAmerica de Cali1-2L
25 OctHDeportivo Cali1-1D
20 OctAInternacional de Bogota1-2L
11 OctASanta Fe2-2D
9 OctHMillonarios1-1D
4 OctADeportivo Pasto0-0D
27 SepHDeportes Tolima2-2D
20 SepHJunior1-4L
11 SepAJaguares2-2D
5 SepASanta Fe2-2D

Head to head

2Águilas Doradas wins
2draws
3Fortaleza FC wins

7 meetings · goals 9:11 · last 7: 2W 2D 3L for Águilas Doradas

19 Apr 2026Primera APrimera AFortaleza FC2-0Águilas Doradas
4 Aug 2025Primera APrimera AÁguilas Doradas2-2Fortaleza FC
18 Feb 2025Primera APrimera AFortaleza FC2-1Águilas Doradas
15 Nov 2024Primera APrimera AFortaleza FC0-1Águilas Doradas
28 Apr 2024Primera APrimera AÁguilas Doradas1-1Fortaleza FC
9 Jul 2016Primera APrimera AFortaleza FC2-1Águilas Doradas
23 Mar 2016Primera APrimera AÁguilas Doradas3-2Fortaleza FC

Primera A tableAperturaupdated 3 Nov 22:30 UTC

In the Primera A table, Águilas Doradas sit 12th with 26 points from 19 games, while Fortaleza FC are 15th with 22 points from 19.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19131535:15+2040
2Junior19112631:24+735
3Deportivo Pasto19104529:25+434
4America de Cali19103625:15+1033
5Once Caldas1989231:22+933
6Deportes Tolima1987427:17+1031
7Santa Fe1978429:22+729
8Internacional de Bogota1977526:26028
9Deportivo Cali1976620:16+427
10Millonarios1975731:23+826
11Independiente Medellin1975726:24+226
12Águilas Doradas1975720:25-526
13Bucaramanga1958626:20+623
14Llaneros19410517:20-322
15Fortaleza FC1957722:27-522
16Jaguares19531120:33-1318
17Alianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417
18Chico19521215:32-1717
19Cucuta1937922:35-1316
20Deportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg145%2.07X29%3.22226%3.54

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

2 Nov 12:302 Nov 18:301 2.07X 3.252 3.59
11.90 → 2.07 +8.9%X3.35 → 3.25 -3.0%24.08 → 3.59 -12.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.171.714.6%
Betano2.101.725.8%
Betfair2.151.676.4%
Bet3652.101.706.4%
1xBet2.091.687.4%
Marathonbet2.091.687.4%
BetVictor2.051.669.0%
Best of all books2.171.724.2%
Average2.111.696.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.901.876.1%
William Hill1.851.858.1%
1xBet1.861.848.1%
Betano1.831.878.1%
BetVictor1.851.838.7%
Marathonbet1.861.828.7%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Best of all books1.901.876.1%
Average1.851.848.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Águilas Doradas 45%Draw 45%Fortaleza FC 10%

The statistical model rated Águilas Doradas at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Fortaleza FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.07 | 3.22 | 3.54, which imply roughly 48.3% for a Águilas Doradas win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera A table: Águilas Doradas are 12th (26 pts, 20-25 goals), Fortaleza FC 15th (22 pts, 22-27).

Over their last five matches, Águilas Doradas averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Fortaleza FC averaged 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Águilas Doradas or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Águilas Doradas

4-2-3-1

Goalkeeper

  • 1Jorge Soto

Defence

  • 26Dylan Lozano
  • 4Andrés Mosquera
  • 2John García
  • 3John Ontaneda

Midfield

  • 19Frank Lozano
  • 6Iván Rojas
  • 16Matías Ramírez
  • 8Andrés Ricaurte
  • 32Javier Mena

Attack

  • 9Anthony Vásquez
Substitutes (9)
  • 12Juan Hurtado
  • 28Sebastián Rodríguez
  • 30Nicolás Lara
  • 20Alberto Higgins
  • 24Juan Ávalo
  • 25Juan Camilo Roa
  • 7Eduar Arízalas
  • 29Tomás Blandón
  • 18Andrés Carreño

Fortaleza FC

4-2-3-1

Goalkeeper

  • 1Williams Barlasina

Defence

  • 16Joan Cajares
  • 15Santiago Cuero
  • 14Leonardo Pico
  • 6Yesid Díaz

Midfield

  • 33Armando Larrans
  • 5Jeferson Medina
  • 28Santiago Vivas
  • 8Sebastián Navarro
  • 19Franco Pulicastro

Attack

  • 32Mariano Vázquez
Substitutes (9)
  • 12Cristian Santander
  • 4Edwin Cabezas
  • 3David Ramírez
  • 11Andy Duvan Batioja
  • 25Juan García
  • 13Brandon Mejía
  • 10Jhon Velásquez
  • 24Jhoiner Salas
  • 29Teun Wilke

Match Statistics

Águilas DoradasFortaleza FC
4Shots on Goal0
4Shots off Goal5
11Total Shots7
3Blocked Shots2
5Shots insidebox4
6Shots outsidebox3
9Fouls7
3Corner Kicks0
1Offsides1
58%Ball Possession42%
1Yellow Cards2
0Goalkeeper Saves3
413Total passes303
342Passes accurate230
83%Passes %76%
1.01Expected Goals0.74
-0.03Goals Prevented-0.03

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.073.253.59

Double chance

1XX212
1.281.721.31

Draw no bet

12
1.462.52

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.851.84

1st half

1X2
2.622.054.26

2nd half

1X2
2.422.343.81

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.1714.638.8
HT X4.874.737.84
HT 226.814.86.22

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.688.652.49

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.058.52
1.51.343.03
2.52.111.69
3.53.821.23
4.57.751.06
5.515.31.02
6.541.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.028.10
11.037.20
1.251.173.99
1.751.432.59
21.572.25
2.251.841.88
2.752.421.50
32.991.30
3.253.361.25
3.754.811.12
46.901.04
4.257.301.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-13.131.34
-0.752.361.52
-0.52.071.72
-0.251.741.99
01.452.54
+0.251.343.02
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.513.01.01
-2.58.231.04
-2.257.731.05
-27.201.05
-1.755.171.12
-1.54.011.20
-1.253.551.25
+0.51.283.63
+0.751.164.63
+11.057.33
+1.251.028.10
+1.51.038.47

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
5.51.851.90

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.174.25
7.51.352.86
8.51.702.05
9.52.101.66
10.52.791.38
11.53.691.19
12.55.391.07
18 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.144.28
71.164.05
7.251.243.36
7.751.362.78
81.402.62
8.251.512.35
8.751.692.04
91.811.90
9.251.901.81
9.752.151.62
102.341.51
10.252.471.46
10.752.881.33
113.281.25
11.253.461.22
11.754.161.14
124.991.09
12.255.191.08

Next Primera A matches

4 NovCucuta – Santa Fe
5 NovMillonarios – America de Cali
6 NovChico – Internacional de Bogota

All Primera A fixtures and the table

Latest Primera A results

3 NovDeportivo Pereira 1-3 Deportes Tolima
3 NovBucaramanga 1-1 Atletico Nacional
1 NovIndependiente Medellin 2-1 Alianza Valledupar
1 NovDeportivo Cali 2-0 Chico
31 OctLlaneros 3-2 Junior
31 OctBucaramanga 2-1 Deportivo Pasto