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Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pereira• Primera A, Colombia

#51.2:1.01-1FT25/10 · Estadio Palogrande, Manizales0.8:1.4#20

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.39BTNX5.10BTN29.14PINMargin at best2.5%Books9Markets84Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Oct 00:21 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.395.109.002.7%
Pinnacle1.354.969.145.2%
Bet3651.364.509.006.9%
Dafabet1.374.807.607.0%
1xBet1.334.808.358.0%
Marathonbet1.324.808.308.6%
Betfair1.305.008.508.7%
William Hill1.334.608.508.7%
BetVictor1.334.758.008.7%
Best of all books1.395.109.142.5%
Average1.344.818.497.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Once CaldasDeportivo Pereira
Last 10#5Table position#201.74Points per game0.539Form pts · last 551.2Goals for · last 50.81.0Goals against · last 51.460Attack rating4058Defence rating4262Form rating3862H2H rating3871Goals model2962Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 25 Oct 03:20 UTC

Once Caldas

4W 3D 3L · goals 10:9 · per match 1.0 for, 0.9 against

25 OctHDeportivo Pereira1-1D
21 OctAMillonarios1-1D
18 OctAIndependiente Medellin2-0W
10 OctHLlaneros1-0W
4 OctAInternacional de Bogota1-1D
26 SepHBucaramanga1-3L
20 SepADeportivo Pasto0-1L
16 SepHDeportes Tolima1-0W
13 SepHDeportivo Cali1-2L
10 SepHAlianza Valledupar1-0W

Deportivo Pereira

1W 5D 4L · goals 9:17 · per match 0.9 for, 1.7 against

20 OctHChico2-0W
14 OctAJunior1-1D
10 OctHDeportivo Cali0-0D
4 OctACucuta0-4L
29 SepHSanta Fe1-2L
26 SepHInternacional de Bogota0-0D
18 SepAÁguilas Doradas2-2D
13 SepHBucaramanga1-3L
9 SepAAmerica de Cali1-4L
6 SepHMillonarios1-1D

Head to head

8Once Caldas wins
6draws
6Deportivo Pereira wins

20 meetings · goals 22:22 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Once Caldas

10 Apr 2026Primera APrimera ADeportivo Pereira0-0Once Caldas
6 Sep 2025Primera APrimera AOnce Caldas1-0Deportivo Pereira
3 Aug 2025Primera APrimera ADeportivo Pereira2-1Once Caldas
22 Mar 2025Primera APrimera ADeportivo Pereira1-1Once Caldas
20 Feb 2025Primera APrimera AOnce Caldas3-1Deportivo Pereira
3 Sep 2024Primera APrimera ADeportivo Pereira0-1Once Caldas
23 Feb 2024Primera APrimera AOnce Caldas1-2Deportivo Pereira
10 Sep 2023Primera APrimera ADeportivo Pereira1-2Once Caldas
13 Aug 2023Primera APrimera AOnce Caldas1-0Deportivo Pereira
25 Mar 2023Primera APrimera AOnce Caldas1-1Deportivo Pereira

Primera A tableAperturaupdated 26 Oct 05:40 UTC

In the Primera A table, Once Caldas sit 5th with 33 points from 19 games, while Deportivo Pereira are 20th with 10 points from 19.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19131535:15+2040
2Junior19112631:24+735
3Deportivo Pasto19104529:25+434
4America de Cali19103625:15+1033
5Once Caldas1989231:22+933
6Deportes Tolima1987427:17+1031
7Santa Fe1978429:22+729
8Internacional de Bogota1977526:26028
9Deportivo Cali1976620:16+427
10Millonarios1975731:23+826
11Independiente Medellin1975726:24+226
12Águilas Doradas1975720:25-526
13Bucaramanga1958626:20+623
14Llaneros19410517:20-322
15Fortaleza FC1957722:27-522
16Jaguares19531120:33-1318
17Alianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417
18Chico19521215:32-1717
19Cucuta1937922:35-1316
20Deportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg170%1.34X19%4.81211%8.49

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

22 Oct 00:0125 Oct 00:401 1.34X 4.812 8.49
11.28 → 1.34 +4.7%X5.21 → 4.81 -7.7%29.84 → 8.49 -13.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.712.164.8%
Bet3651.702.106.4%
Betano1.702.106.4%
1xBet1.672.117.3%
Marathonbet1.672.117.3%
Betfair1.602.208.0%
BetVictor1.672.048.9%
Best of all books1.712.203.9%
Average1.672.127.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3652.001.737.8%
1xBet1.981.748.0%
Betano2.001.728.1%
Betfair1.951.758.4%
BetVictor1.951.758.4%
William Hill1.951.758.4%
Marathonbet1.981.728.6%
Best of all books2.001.757.1%
Average1.971.748.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Once Caldas 45%Draw 45%Deportivo Pereira 10%

The statistical model rated Once Caldas at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Deportivo Pereira at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.34 | 4.81 | 8.49, which imply roughly 74.6% for a Once Caldas win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera A table: Once Caldas are 5th (33 pts, 31-22 goals), Deportivo Pereira 20th (10 pts, 15-32).

Over their last five matches, Once Caldas averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Deportivo Pereira averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Once Caldas or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Once Caldas

4-2-3-1

Goalkeeper

  • 99Felipe Parra

Defence

  • 22Juan David Cuesta
  • 2Jorge Cardona
  • 30Daniel Londoño
  • 33Juan Patiño

Midfield

  • 23Andres Colorado
  • 5Juan Pablo Nieto
  • 7Michael Barrios
  • 42Jader Quinones
  • 9Pipe Gómez

Attack

  • 14Jefry Zapata
Substitutes (9)
  • 12Jesús Camargo
  • 18Jeider Riquett
  • 16Juan Castaño
  • 15Jaime Alvarado
  • 29Edwin Torres
  • 28Mateo Zuleta
  • 19Tomas García
  • 17Dayro Moreno
  • 21Helieyker Guzman

Deportivo Pereira

4-4-2

Goalkeeper

  • 1Yimy Gómez

Defence

  • 20Jordy Monroy
  • 2Sebastián Urrea
  • 15Santiago Aguilar
  • 25Fabio Delgado

Midfield

  • 7Anderson Plata
  • 21Walmer Pacheco
  • 14Ederson Moreno
  • 24Miguel Palacios

Attack

  • 18Marco Pérez
  • 11Jhon Largacha
Substitutes (9)
  • 33Samuel Atehortua
  • 34Santiago Álzate
  • 23Tobias Bovone
  • 16Eber Moreno
  • 6Danilo Ortiz
  • 13Yuber Quiñones
  • 5Jorge Bermúdez
  • 29Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez
  • 8Felipe Mosquera

Match Statistics

Once CaldasDeportivo Pereira
12Shots on Goal1
7Shots off Goal3
23Total Shots6
4Blocked Shots2
10Shots insidebox3
13Shots outsidebox3
6Fouls5
10Corner Kicks0
3Offsides2
65%Ball Possession35%
3Yellow Cards2
1Goalkeeper Saves11
515Total passes282
470Passes accurate234
91%Passes %83%
1.29Expected Goals0.37
0.81Goals Prevented0.81

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.344.818.49

Double chance

1XX212
1.073.131.15

Draw no bet

12
1.096.64

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.971.74

1st half

1X2
1.772.497.44

2nd half

1X2
1.642.876.79

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.8718.361.8
HT X4.027.1016.8
HT 222.220.214.6

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.3113.13.66

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.8
1.51.204.05
2.51.672.12
3.52.651.42
4.54.881.15
5.59.131.03
6.517.51.01
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.10
1.251.095.30
1.751.233.51
21.283.10
2.251.492.44
2.751.841.88
32.101.65
3.252.371.52
3.753.051.30
43.901.18
4.254.261.15
4.755.651.08
57.701.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-22.741.40
-1.752.261.58
-1.51.991.77
-1.251.761.99
-11.512.40
-0.751.392.77
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-49.601.01
-3.757.701.03
-3.56.301.08
-3.256.041.09
-35.681.10
-2.754.131.18
-2.53.331.28
-2.253.061.33
-0.51.353.21
-0.251.204.06
01.076.37

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
6.51.722.05

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.094.92
7.51.283.23
8.51.532.32
9.51.921.81
10.52.461.47
11.53.341.26
12.54.861.10
13.56.981.02
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.124.45
81.352.81
8.251.432.46
8.751.582.14
91.732.01
9.251.811.89
9.752.031.68
102.191.59
10.252.341.50
10.752.561.40
113.021.30
124.481.12
137.131.01

Next Primera A matches

26 OctJaguares – Llaneros
27 OctSanta Fe – Bucaramanga
27 OctCucuta – Águilas Doradas
28 OctChico – Junior
28 OctOnce Caldas – Alianza Valledupar
29 OctInternacional de Bogota – Independiente Medellin

All Primera A fixtures and the table

Latest Primera A results

26 OctDeportes Tolima 0-1 Deportivo Pasto
25 OctAtletico Nacional 2-1 Independiente Medellin
25 OctAlianza Valledupar 1-0 Internacional de Bogota
25 OctFortaleza FC 1-1 Deportivo Cali
24 OctAmerica de Cali 3-1 Cucuta
24 OctJunior 1-0 Águilas Doradas