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NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb• HNL, Croatia

#40.6:0.817:0008/11 · Stadion Varteks2.2:1.4#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.60DAFX4.10DAF21.70WHMargin at best5.0%Books10Markets81Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Nov 20:16 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet4.604.101.705.0%
Pinnacle4.644.081.656.7%
Betano4.503.851.707.0%
1xBet4.493.941.667.9%
William Hill4.503.801.678.4%
Marathonbet4.503.941.648.6%
BetVictor4.603.801.629.8%
Betfair4.203.901.6510.1%
Bet3654.503.601.6211.7%
SBO4.143.461.5716.8%
Best of all books4.644.101.704.8%
Average4.473.851.659.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NK VarazdinDinamo Zagreb
Last 10#4Table position#21.58Points per game2.005Form pts · last 590.6Goals for · last 52.20.8Goals against · last 51.421Attack rating7964Defence rating3636Form rating647H2H rating9362Goals model3836Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 00:02 UTC

NK Varazdin

2W 6D 2L · goals 10:7 · per match 1.0 for, 0.7 against

1 NovAHNK Rijeka1-1D
28 OctHNK Lokomotiva Zagreb1-1D
24 OctHNK Slaven Belupo1-2L
18 OctAHNK Hajduk Split0-1L
11 OctANK Lokomotiva Zagreb1-0W
2 OctAAluminij0-0D
19 SepHNK Osijek0-0D
14 SepAHNK Gorica2-2D
9 SepAZagora4-0W
4 SepHIstra 19610-0D

Dinamo Zagreb

6W 1D 3L · goals 20:11 · per match 2.0 for, 1.1 against

5 NovASunderland2-0W
31 OctARudes0-1L
27 OctHHNK Rijeka2-1W
22 OctHNEC Nijmegen2-4L
18 OctANK Slaven Belupo5-1W
15 OctHAnderlecht1-0W
10 OctAHNK Hajduk Split1-2L
4 OctAVukovar4-0W
20 SepHNK Lokomotiva Zagreb3-2W
16 SepAHapoel Beer Sheva0-0D

Head to head

1NK Varazdin wins
5draws
19Dinamo Zagreb wins

25 meetings · goals 18:53 · last 10: 0W 2D 8L for NK Varazdin

22 Aug 2026HNLHNLDinamo Zagreb3-1NK Varazdin
26 Apr 2026HNLHNLDinamo Zagreb2-1NK Varazdin
22 Feb 2026HNLHNLNK Varazdin0-4Dinamo Zagreb
22 Nov 2025HNLHNLDinamo Zagreb3-1NK Varazdin
30 Aug 2025HNLHNLNK Varazdin2-2Dinamo Zagreb
25 May 2025HNLHNLDinamo Zagreb1-0NK Varazdin
30 Mar 2025HNLHNLNK Varazdin1-1Dinamo Zagreb
22 Dec 2024HNLHNLDinamo Zagreb3-2NK Varazdin
6 Oct 2024HNLHNLNK Varazdin0-1Dinamo Zagreb
27 Apr 2024HNLHNLNK Varazdin0-1Dinamo Zagreb

HNL tableHNLupdated 6 Nov 00:30 UTC

In the HNL table, NK Varazdin sit 4th with 19 points from 12 games, while Dinamo Zagreb are 2nd with 22 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split1282226:11+1526
2Dinamo Zagreb1171325:14+1122
3NK Osijek1262422:17+520
4NK Varazdin1254316:11+519
5HNK Rijeka1153318:15+318
6Istra 19611244421:18+316
7NK Slaven Belupo1241714:25-1113
8Rudes1241715:27-1213
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1232714:20-611
10HNK Gorica121477:20-137

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.42X24%3.83255%1.66

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.732.085.9%
Pinnacle1.732.076.1%
Betfair1.672.156.4%
Betano1.722.076.4%
1xBet1.652.147.3%
Marathonbet1.652.147.3%
BetVictor1.672.039.1%
Best of all books1.732.154.3%
Average1.692.106.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.672.107.5%
Bet3651.732.007.8%
1xBet1.642.137.9%
Betano1.702.028.3%
Marathonbet1.642.108.6%
BetVictor1.672.058.7%
Best of all books1.732.134.8%
Average1.682.078.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

NK Varazdin 10%Draw 45%Dinamo Zagreb 45%

The statistical model rates NK Varazdin at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Dinamo Zagreb at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.42 | 3.83 | 1.66, which imply roughly 26.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the HNL table: NK Varazdin are 4th (19 pts, 16-11 goals), Dinamo Zagreb 2nd (22 pts, 25-14).

Over their last five matches, NK Varazdin averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Dinamo Zagreb averaged 2.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Dinamo Zagreb.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.473.851.65

Double chance

1XX212
2.091.171.22

Draw no bet

12
3.491.27

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.672.07

1st half

1X2
4.732.312.16

2nd half

1X2
4.362.641.99

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 17.6715.221.8
HT X10.06.124.61
HT 238.714.92.48

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.6414.31.51

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.6
1.51.204.01
2.51.692.10
3.52.671.41
4.54.991.14
5.59.361.03
6.517.81.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.70
1.251.085.70
1.751.203.71
21.263.22
2.251.482.44
2.751.851.87
32.111.64
3.252.371.51
3.753.051.30
43.901.18
4.254.261.15
4.755.751.07
58.001.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.591.43
+0.52.181.64
+0.751.921.80
+11.672.11
+1.251.502.39
+1.51.412.68
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.58.701.02
-18.801.01
-0.755.781.09
-0.54.501.19
-0.253.961.21
03.461.25
+1.751.293.26
+21.164.37
+2.251.144.83
+2.51.125.23
+2.751.076.70
+31.019.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.144.23
7.51.342.95
8.51.632.17
9.52.031.71
10.52.711.41
11.53.761.21
12.55.821.05
20 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.026.77
6.251.085.13
6.751.164.01
71.183.80
7.251.273.18
7.751.392.64
81.452.49
8.251.562.25
8.751.751.97
91.831.93
9.251.971.74
9.752.241.56
102.451.46
10.252.601.41
10.753.041.29
113.501.22
11.253.681.19
11.754.461.12
125.401.07
12.255.611.06

Next HNL matches

6 NovNK Lokomotiva Zagreb – Rudes
7 NovHNK Gorica – NK Slaven Belupo
7 NovIstra 1961 – HNK Rijeka
8 NovNK Osijek – HNK Hajduk Split

All HNL fixtures and the table

Latest HNL results

1 NovNK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-3 NK Osijek
1 NovHNK Rijeka 1-1 NK Varazdin
31 OctRudes 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb
31 OctHNK Hajduk Split 5-0 HNK Gorica
30 OctNK Slaven Belupo 0-2 Istra 1961
27 OctDinamo Zagreb 2-1 HNK Rijeka