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Istra 1961 vs HNK Rijeka• HNL, Croatia

#61.4:1.217:00Tomorrow · Stadion Aldo Drosina, Pula1.6:1.6#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.80DAFX3.71PIN21.96DAFMargin at best4.3%Books10Markets81Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 03:17 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet3.803.651.964.7%
Pinnacle3.683.711.926.2%
Betano3.703.501.956.9%
1xBet3.633.621.907.8%
Marathonbet3.623.621.888.4%
William Hill3.603.401.919.5%
Betfair3.603.601.859.6%
BetVictor3.603.501.879.8%
Bet3653.603.401.8311.8%
SBO3.263.051.8716.9%
Best of all books3.803.711.964.3%
Average3.613.501.899.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Istra 1961HNK Rijeka
Last 10#6Table position#51.33Points per game1.6410Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 51.61.2Goals against · last 51.647Attack rating5357Defence rating4350Form rating5038H2H rating6263Goals model3751Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:01 UTC

Istra 1961

5W 3D 2L · goals 20:10 · per match 2.0 for, 1.0 against

3 NovHNeretva Metković3-0W
30 OctANK Slaven Belupo2-0W
26 OctHHNK Hajduk Split2-2D
17 OctANK Lokomotiva Zagreb0-2L
10 OctANK Osijek3-1W
19 SepHHNK Gorica0-1L
13 SepHRudes3-2W
8 SepAZagorec5-0W
4 SepANK Varazdin0-0D
29 AugHDinamo Zagreb2-2D

HNK Rijeka

5W 2D 3L · goals 23:12 · per match 2.3 for, 1.2 against

1 NovHNK Varazdin1-1D
27 OctADinamo Zagreb1-2L
20 OctAKarlovac 19194-1W
16 OctARudes2-1W
11 OctANK Slaven Belupo1-4L
26 SepHUnion Berlin0-1L
20 SepHHNK Hajduk Split3-0W
16 SepAVrbovec6-0W
12 SepANK Lokomotiva Zagreb1-1D
5 SepHNK Osijek4-1W

Head to head

6Istra 1961 wins
8draws
30HNK Rijeka wins

44 meetings · goals 34:94 · last 10: 3W 2D 5L for Istra 1961

23 Aug 2026HNLHNLHNK Rijeka3-2Istra 1961
17 May 2026HNLHNLIstra 19610-0HNK Rijeka
15 Mar 2026HNLHNLHNK Rijeka0-2Istra 1961
20 Jan 2026HNLHNLIstra 19611-2HNK Rijeka
27 Sep 2025HNLHNLHNK Rijeka0-0Istra 1961
19 Apr 2025HNLHNLIstra 19612-0HNK Rijeka
2 Apr 2025CupCupHNK Rijeka1-0Istra 1961
9 Feb 2025HNLHNLHNK Rijeka0-1Istra 1961
3 Nov 2024HNLHNLIstra 19610-1HNK Rijeka
18 Aug 2024HNLHNLHNK Rijeka4-0Istra 1961

HNL tableHNLupdated 6 Nov 00:30 UTC

In the HNL table, Istra 1961 sit 6th with 16 points from 12 games, while HNK Rijeka are 5th with 18 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split1282226:11+1526
2Dinamo Zagreb1171325:14+1122
3NK Osijek1262422:17+520
4NK Varazdin1254316:11+519
5HNK Rijeka1153318:15+318
6Istra 19611244421:18+316
7NK Slaven Belupo1241714:25-1113
8Rudes1241715:27-1213
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1232714:20-611
10HNK Gorica121477:20-137

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg125%3.60X26%3.50248%1.89

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

4 Nov 00:014 Nov 06:001 3.60X 3.502 1.89
13.62 → 3.60 -0.6%X3.60 → 3.50 -2.8%21.90 → 1.89 -0.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.851.955.3%
Betfair1.802.005.6%
Pinnacle1.821.975.7%
Betano1.831.955.9%
SBO1.801.986.1%
1xBet1.742.017.2%
Marathonbet1.742.017.2%
BetVictor1.761.919.2%
Best of all books1.852.013.8%
Average1.791.976.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.672.107.5%
William Hill1.702.057.6%
Bet3651.732.007.8%
1xBet1.642.137.9%
Betano1.672.078.2%
Marathonbet1.642.108.6%
BetVictor1.672.058.7%
Best of all books1.732.134.8%
Average1.672.078.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Istra 1961 35%Draw 35%HNK Rijeka 30%

The statistical model rates Istra 1961 at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and HNK Rijeka at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.89, which imply roughly 27.8% for a Istra 1961 win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the HNL table: Istra 1961 are 6th (16 pts, 21-18 goals), HNK Rijeka 5th (18 pts, 18-15).

Over their last five matches, Istra 1961 averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; HNK Rijeka averaged 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Istra 1961 or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.613.511.89

Double chance

1XX212
1.831.241.25

Draw no bet

12
2.711.41

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.672.07

1st half

1X2
4.092.222.43

2nd half

1X2
3.752.522.25

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 16.1214.221.9
HT X8.355.574.98
HT 233.413.82.92

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.3812.61.65

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0310.9
1.51.233.75
2.51.791.97
3.52.931.36
4.55.501.12
5.510.11.03
6.521.31.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.018.90
1.251.105.05
1.751.253.29
21.352.87
2.251.562.28
2.751.951.77
32.291.55
3.252.471.45
3.753.301.25
44.301.15
4.254.611.13
4.756.151.06
58.501.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
02.691.40
+0.252.131.63
+0.51.871.90
+0.751.642.12
+11.442.66
+1.251.352.95
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.57.301.03
-1.256.851.04
-16.401.05
-0.754.421.15
-0.53.591.27
-0.253.111.31
+1.51.283.33
+1.751.184.08
+21.095.85
+2.251.086.17
+2.51.066.35

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.026.91
6.51.164.01
7.51.362.81
8.51.662.08
9.52.101.65
10.52.811.36
11.53.941.19
12.56.251.04
23 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.036.61
61.036.32
6.251.104.84
6.751.183.80
71.203.58
7.251.303.04
7.751.432.54
81.492.38
8.251.602.17
8.751.801.90
91.881.87
9.252.041.70
9.752.331.52
102.571.42
10.252.721.37
10.753.201.26
113.721.19
11.253.901.17
11.754.761.10
125.821.05
12.256.031.04
12.755.811.05
137.241.01

Next HNL matches

6 NovNK Lokomotiva Zagreb – Rudes
7 NovHNK Gorica – NK Slaven Belupo
8 NovNK Osijek – HNK Hajduk Split
8 NovNK Varazdin – Dinamo Zagreb

All HNL fixtures and the table

Latest HNL results

1 NovNK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-3 NK Osijek
1 NovHNK Rijeka 1-1 NK Varazdin
31 OctRudes 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb
31 OctHNK Hajduk Split 5-0 HNK Gorica
30 OctNK Slaven Belupo 0-2 Istra 1961
27 OctDinamo Zagreb 2-1 HNK Rijeka