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HNK Gorica vs NK Slaven Belupo• HNL, Croatia

#100.6:1.614:00Tomorrow · Stadion Radnik, Veliky Gorica1.8:2.2#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.37DAFX3.45DAF22.95DAFMargin at best5.1%Books10Markets76Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 6 Nov 03:17 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.373.452.955.1%
Pinnacle2.303.442.996.0%
Betano2.323.402.907.0%
1xBet2.343.342.847.9%
Marathonbet2.323.342.818.6%
William Hill2.303.202.889.5%
BetVictor2.253.402.809.6%
Betfair2.303.302.7510.1%
Bet3652.253.202.8810.4%
SBO2.203.022.5917.2%
Best of all books2.373.452.994.6%
Average2.293.312.849.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

HNK GoricaNK Slaven Belupo
Last 10#10Table position#70.58Points per game1.083Form pts · last 560.6Goals for · last 51.81.6Goals against · last 52.225Attack rating7558Defence rating4242Form rating5829H2H rating7152Goals model4841Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:01 UTC

HNK Gorica

2W 5D 3L · goals 12:16 · per match 1.2 for, 1.6 against

31 OctAHNK Hajduk Split0-5L
24 OctHNK Lokomotiva Zagreb0-0D
17 OctANK Osijek1-1D
9 OctHRudes1-2L
2 OctHBravo3-3D
28 SepAMaribor1-1D
19 SepAIstra 19611-0W
14 SepHNK Varazdin2-2D
9 SepAUskok Klis3-1W
5 SepADinamo Zagreb0-1L

NK Slaven Belupo

4W 1D 5L · goals 17:17 · per match 1.7 for, 1.7 against

3 NovAMladost Ždralovi0-2L
30 OctHIstra 19610-2L
24 OctANK Varazdin2-1W
18 OctHDinamo Zagreb1-5L
11 OctHHNK Rijeka4-1W
1 OctAOlimpija Ljubljana1-2L
18 SepARudes2-2D
13 SepAHNK Hajduk Split0-1L
9 SepAHrvatski Dragovoljac5-0W
6 SepHNK Lokomotiva Zagreb2-1W

Head to head

10HNK Gorica wins
9draws
16NK Slaven Belupo wins

35 meetings · goals 34:52 · last 10: 2W 1D 7L for HNK Gorica

22 Aug 2026HNLHNLNK Slaven Belupo2-0HNK Gorica
10 May 2026HNLHNLNK Slaven Belupo1-0HNK Gorica
7 Mar 2026HNLHNLHNK Gorica2-2NK Slaven Belupo
5 Dec 2025HNLHNLNK Slaven Belupo2-1HNK Gorica
21 Sep 2025HNLHNLHNK Gorica2-1NK Slaven Belupo
18 May 2025HNLHNLNK Slaven Belupo4-0HNK Gorica
14 Mar 2025HNLHNLHNK Gorica0-3NK Slaven Belupo
5 Mar 2025CupCupNK Slaven Belupo3-1HNK Gorica
13 Dec 2024HNLHNLNK Slaven Belupo2-1HNK Gorica
30 Sep 2024HNLHNLHNK Gorica2-1NK Slaven Belupo

HNL tableHNLupdated 6 Nov 00:30 UTC

In the HNL table, HNK Gorica sit 10th with 7 points from 12 games, while NK Slaven Belupo are 7th with 13 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split1282226:11+1526
2Dinamo Zagreb1171325:14+1122
3NK Osijek1262422:17+520
4NK Varazdin1254316:11+519
5HNK Rijeka1153318:15+318
6Istra 19611244421:18+316
7NK Slaven Belupo1241714:25-1113
8Rudes1241715:27-1213
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1232714:20-611
10HNK Gorica121477:20-137

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.30X28%3.30232%2.83

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

4 Nov 00:015 Nov 15:001 2.30X 3.302 2.83
12.36 → 2.30 -2.5%X3.34 → 3.30 -1.2%22.80 → 2.83 +1.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.831.975.4%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
Betfair1.802.005.6%
SBO1.821.966.0%
Betano1.801.986.1%
1xBet1.742.017.2%
Marathonbet1.742.017.2%
BetVictor1.761.928.9%
Best of all books1.832.014.4%
Average1.791.986.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.622.207.2%
Bet3651.672.107.5%
Betfair1.572.258.1%
1xBet1.592.218.1%
Betano1.622.158.2%
BetVictor1.622.158.2%
Marathonbet1.592.188.8%
Best of all books1.672.254.3%
Average1.612.188.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

HNK Gorica 10%Draw 45%NK Slaven Belupo 45%

The statistical model rates HNK Gorica at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and NK Slaven Belupo at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.83, which imply roughly 30.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the HNL table: HNK Gorica are 10th (7 pts, 7-20 goals), NK Slaven Belupo 7th (13 pts, 14-25).

Over their last five matches, HNK Gorica averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; NK Slaven Belupo averaged 1.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or NK Slaven Belupo.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.303.312.84

Double chance

1XX212
1.371.531.28

Draw no bet

12
1.712.07

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.612.18

1st half

1X2
2.852.183.36

2nd half

1X2
2.622.503.07

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.7113.328.0
HT X5.825.276.69
HT 224.513.34.60

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8411.92.08

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0410.4
1.51.233.75
2.51.791.98
3.52.951.35
4.55.501.12
5.510.81.03
6.521.31.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1–9.00
1.251.105.10
1.751.253.36
21.352.89
2.251.562.29
2.751.951.76
32.291.55
3.252.481.44
3.753.291.25
44.351.14
4.254.711.12
4.756.351.06
58.901.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.691.41
-0.52.281.60
-0.251.981.76
01.692.09
+0.251.502.43
+0.51.412.80
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-28.301.01
-1.755.701.10
-1.54.351.16
-1.253.991.21
-13.551.25
+0.751.263.47
+11.154.82
+1.251.125.27
+1.51.105.67
+1.751.037.30
+21.019.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.134.39
7.51.322.99
8.51.602.19
9.52.011.73
10.52.641.41
11.53.621.22
12.55.551.06
22 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.017.12
6.251.075.36
6.751.144.17
71.163.95
7.251.253.30
7.751.372.73
81.422.57
8.251.532.31
8.751.712.01
91.811.94
9.251.921.78
9.752.181.60
102.381.49
10.252.521.44
10.752.941.31
113.361.24
11.253.541.21
11.754.271.14
125.141.08
12.255.341.07
12.755.591.06
136.941.02

Next HNL matches

6 NovNK Lokomotiva Zagreb – Rudes
7 NovIstra 1961 – HNK Rijeka
8 NovNK Osijek – HNK Hajduk Split
8 NovNK Varazdin – Dinamo Zagreb

All HNL fixtures and the table

Latest HNL results

1 NovNK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-3 NK Osijek
1 NovHNK Rijeka 1-1 NK Varazdin
31 OctRudes 1-0 Dinamo Zagreb
31 OctHNK Hajduk Split 5-0 HNK Gorica
30 OctNK Slaven Belupo 0-2 Istra 1961
27 OctDinamo Zagreb 2-1 HNK Rijeka