FC Vitebsk vs ML Vitebsk• Premier League, Belarus

#61.6:0.816:30Today · Vitebsky Central Sport Complex, Vitebsk2.8:0.6#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

17.49PINX4.20DAF21.451XBMargin at best6.1%Books5Markets52Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 02:57 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	7.21	4.15	1.45	6.9%
Marathonbet	7.20	4.15	1.44	7.4%
Dafabet	7.20	4.20	1.43	7.6%
Pinnacle	7.49	4.05	1.41	9.0%
SBO	6.09	3.61	1.38	16.6%
Best of all books	7.49	4.20	1.45	6.1%
Average	7.04	4.03	1.42	9.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC VitebskML Vitebsk

Last 10#6Table position#11.60Points per game2.218Form pts · last 5131.6Goals for · last 52.80.8Goals against · last 50.636Attack rating6443Defence rating5738Form rating6260H2H rating4043Goals model5747Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:10 UTC

FC Vitebsk

5W 2D 3L · goals 12:6 · per match 1.2 for, 0.6 against

17 Oct	A	Baranovichi	1-0	W
11 Oct	H	FC Isloch Minsk R.	0-0	D
3 Oct	A	Fakel	0-1	L
20 Sep	H	Torpedo Zhodino	6-0	W
12 Sep	H	Belshina	1-1	D
4 Sep	A	Slavia Mozyr	0-3	L
28 Aug	H	Naftan	2-0	W
21 Aug	A	FC Minsk	1-0	W
15 Aug	A	Bate Borisov	0-1	L
8 Aug	H	Neman	1-0	W

ML Vitebsk

6W 4D 0L · goals 20:5 · per match 2.0 for, 0.5 against

18 Oct	H	Neman	1-0	W
15 Oct	H	Torpedo Zhodino	2-0	W
11 Oct	A	FC Gomel	5-1	W
18 Sep	H	Arsenal	5-1	W
13 Sep	A	FC Dnepr Mogilev	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Dinamo Minsk	0-0	D
2 Sep	H	Belshina	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Dinamo Brest	3-1	W
23 Aug	H	Bate Borisov	0-0	D
19 Aug	H	Baranovichi	2-0	W

Head to head

4FC Vitebsk wins

0draws

2ML Vitebsk wins

6 meetings · goals 10:6 · last 6: 4W 0D 2L for FC Vitebsk

13 Jun 2026Premier League	Premier League	ML Vitebsk1-2FC Vitebsk
26 Oct 2025Premier League	Premier League	FC Vitebsk0-1ML Vitebsk
31 May 2025Premier League	Premier League	ML Vitebsk2-0FC Vitebsk
7 Oct 20231. Division	1. Division	ML Vitebsk0-4FC Vitebsk
4 Jun 20231. Division	1. Division	FC Vitebsk1-0ML Vitebsk
21 Jun 2022Coppa	Coppa	ML Vitebsk2-3FC Vitebsk

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 24 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Premier League table, FC Vitebsk sit 6th with 40 points from 25 games, while ML Vitebsk are 1st with 53 points from 24.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	ML Vitebsk	24	15	8	1	50:18	+32	53
2	Dinamo Minsk	24	16	4	4	45:19	+26	52
3	FC Isloch Minsk R.	24	14	7	3	41:20	+21	49
4	Dinamo Brest	25	13	5	7	41:25	+16	44
5	Neman	25	13	4	8	31:21	+10	43
6	FC Vitebsk	25	11	7	7	29:21	+8	40
7	FC Gomel	25	11	7	7	36:25	+11	40
8	FC Minsk	26	10	4	12	33:36	-3	34
9	Torpedo Zhodino	25	9	6	10	30:31	-1	33
10	Slavia Mozyr	25	7	7	11	29:33	-4	28
11	Baranovichi	26	7	7	12	27:43	-16	28
12	Arsenal	25	5	8	12	24:44	-20	23
13	Bate Borisov	25	4	9	12	19:32	-13	21
14	Belshina	24	5	6	13	25:44	-19	21
15	FC Dnepr Mogilev	25	3	10	12	24:40	-16	19
16	Naftan	25	4	5	16	24:56	-32	17

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg113%7.04X23%4.03264%1.42

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.28 → 7.04 +64.5%X3.80 → 4.03 +6.1%21.73 → 1.42 -17.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.08	1.71	6.6%
1xBet	2.03	1.73	7.1%
Marathonbet	2.03	1.73	7.1%
Best of all books	2.08	1.73	5.9%
Average	2.05	1.72	6.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.20	1.60	8.0%
Marathonbet	2.20	1.58	8.7%
Best of all books	2.20	1.60	8.0%
Average	2.20	1.59	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Vitebsk 35%Draw 35%ML Vitebsk 30%

The statistical model rates FC Vitebsk at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and ML Vitebsk at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 7.04 | 4.03 | 1.42, which imply roughly 14.2% for a FC Vitebsk win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Premier League table: FC Vitebsk are 6th (40 pts, 29-21 goals), ML Vitebsk 1st (53 pts, 50-18).

Over their last five matches, FC Vitebsk averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; ML Vitebsk averaged 2.8 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : FC Vitebsk or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
7.04	4.03	1.42

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.58	1.06	1.19

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.20	1.59

1st half

1	X	2
6.68	2.15	1.98

2nd half

1	X	2
6.53	2.59	1.78

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	12.8	19.6	28.9
HT X	13.7	5.64	3.97
HT 2	50.5	17.8	2.08

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.98	8.10	1.37

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	8.10
1.5	1.31	2.99
2.5	2.05	1.72
3.5	3.42	1.23
4.5	6.55	1.05

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.50
1	1.04	6.85
1.25	1.17	3.99
1.75	1.40	2.65
2	1.53	2.30
2.25	1.80	1.92
2.75	2.32	1.54
3	2.85	1.35
3.25	3.11	1.29
3.75	4.31	1.15
4	5.90	1.07
4.25	6.20	1.06
5	9.20	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.5	2.80	1.39
+0.75	2.33	1.51
+1	2.03	1.73
+1.25	1.71	2.00
+1.5	1.54	2.27
+1.75	1.38	2.70

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.50	1.04
-1	7.20	1.05
-0.75	8.40	1.01
-0.25	5.70	1.08
0	5.15	1.10
+0.25	3.35	1.26
+2	1.23	3.52
+2.25	1.18	3.90
+2.5	1.15	4.25
+2.75	1.09	5.40
+3	1.02	7.80
+3.5	1.01	8.50

Next Premier League matches

24 Oct	FC Gomel – Dinamo Minsk
24 Oct	Naftan – FC Isloch Minsk R.
24 Oct	Bate Borisov – Belshina
25 Oct	Arsenal – FC Dnepr Mogilev
25 Oct	Slavia Mozyr – Torpedo Zhodino
25 Oct	Neman – Dinamo Brest

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

19 Oct	Dinamo Minsk 2-0 Arsenal
19 Oct	Torpedo Zhodino 1-0 Naftan
19 Oct	Belshina 2-4 Slavia Mozyr
18 Oct	ML Vitebsk 1-0 Neman
18 Oct	FC Dnepr Mogilev 2-1 Bate Borisov
17 Oct	Dinamo Brest 2-2 FC Gomel