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FC Dnepr Mogilev vs Bate Borisov• Premier League, Belarus

#161.2:2.01-0LiveToday · Spartak Stadium, Mahilyow0.8:1.6#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.181XBX3.30MAR23.251XBMargin at best6.9%Books3Markets46Rating58 · 43Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 08:40 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.183.303.256.9%
Marathonbet2.163.303.247.5%
Pinnacle2.153.243.159.1%
Best of all books2.183.303.256.9%
Average2.163.283.217.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC Dnepr MogilevBate Borisov
Last 10#16Table position#130.67Points per game0.882Form pts · last 541.2Goals for · last 50.82.0Goals against · last 51.660Attack rating4044Defence rating5633Form rating6775H2H rating2571Goals model2958Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 01:50 UTC

FC Dnepr Mogilev

1W 5D 4L · goals 12:18 · per match 1.2 for, 1.8 against

11 OctHDinamo Minsk2-3L
20 SepADinamo Brest2-4L
13 SepHML Vitebsk1-1D
6 SepABaranovichi1-2L
30 AugHFC Isloch Minsk R.0-0D
24 AugATorpedo Zhodino0-0D
14 AugHBelshina1-1D
7 AugASlavia Mozyr0-3L
31 JulHNaftan3-3D
25 JulATorpedo Zhodino2-1W

Bate Borisov

3W 2D 5L · goals 7:12 · per match 0.7 for, 1.2 against

14 OctHNeman0-2L
10 OctHSlavia Mozyr2-1W
4 OctAZenit0-1L
19 SepADinamo Minsk0-2L
13 SepHNaftan2-2D
7 SepADinamo Brest0-1L
3 SepAFC Isloch Minsk R.0-2L
30 AugHFC Minsk2-1W
23 AugAML Vitebsk0-0D
15 AugHFC Vitebsk1-0W

Head to head

3FC Dnepr Mogilev wins
3draws
11Bate Borisov wins

17 meetings · goals 16:30 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for FC Dnepr Mogilev

31 May 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBate Borisov1-1FC Dnepr Mogilev
1 Sep 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFC Dnepr Mogilev1-1Bate Borisov
8 Jun 2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsBate Borisov2-4FC Dnepr Mogilev
19 Apr 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBate Borisov1-1FC Dnepr Mogilev
25 Feb 2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsBate Borisov1-3FC Dnepr Mogilev
21 Aug 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBate Borisov2-1FC Dnepr Mogilev
10 Apr 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFC Dnepr Mogilev0-3Bate Borisov
30 Oct 2019Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFC Dnepr Mogilev0-1Bate Borisov
30 Mar 2019Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBate Borisov2-0FC Dnepr Mogilev
15 Sep 2018Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBate Borisov3-1FC Dnepr Mogilev

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 17 Oct 18:20 UTC

In the Premier League table, FC Dnepr Mogilev sit 16th with 16 points from 24 games, while Bate Borisov are 13th with 21 points from 24.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1ML Vitebsk23148149:18+3150
2FC Isloch Minsk R.24147341:20+2149
3Dinamo Minsk23154443:19+2449
4Dinamo Brest25135741:25+1644
5Neman24134731:20+1143
6FC Vitebsk25117729:21+840
7FC Gomel25117736:25+1140
8FC Minsk251041132:33-134
9Torpedo Zhodino24861029:31-230
10Slavia Mozyr24671125:31-625
11Baranovichi25671224:42-1825
12Arsenal24581124:42-1823
13Bate Borisov24491118:30-1221
14Belshina23561223:40-1721
15Naftan24451524:55-3117
16FC Dnepr Mogilev242101222:39-1716

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.16X28%3.28229%3.21

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0118 Oct 09:401 2.16X 3.282 3.21
11.97 → 2.16 +9.6%X3.25 → 3.28 +0.9%23.82 → 3.21 -16.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.091.706.7%
1xBet2.081.706.9%
Marathonbet2.081.706.9%
Best of all books2.091.706.7%
Average2.081.706.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.831.878.1%
Marathonbet1.831.858.7%
Best of all books1.831.878.1%
Average1.831.868.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Dnepr Mogilev 45%Draw 45%Bate Borisov 10%

The statistical model rates FC Dnepr Mogilev at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Bate Borisov at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.16 | 3.28 | 3.21, which imply roughly 46.3% for a FC Dnepr Mogilev win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: FC Dnepr Mogilev are 16th (16 pts, 22-39 goals), Bate Borisov 13th (21 pts, 18-30).

Over their last five matches, FC Dnepr Mogilev averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Bate Borisov averaged 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : FC Dnepr Mogilev or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

FC Dnepr Mogilev

5-3-2

Coach: I. Kriushenko

Goalkeeper

  • 8S. Rusak

Defence

  • 33A. Sinenko
  • 5A. Varganov
  • 15M. Kasarab
  • 17A. Potapenko
  • 10K. Zabelin

Midfield

  • 88K. Kirilenko
  • 89V. Harutyunyan
  • 11D. Lisakovich

Attack

  • 66N. Tereshchuk
  • 55N. Krasnov
Substitutes (8)
  • 77Dmitri Gushchenko
  • 23A. Dunaev
  • 29A. Denisyuk
  • 74David Cherkasov
  • 3Nenad Perović
  • 21E. Karpitskiy
  • 27R. Piletskiy
  • 37K. Tsepenkov

Bate Borisov

3-4-3

Coach: V. Rogozhkin

Goalkeeper

  • 16D. Sokol

Defence

  • 88P. Dubovskiy
  • 6H. Moussakhanian
  • 28I. Mikhnyuk

Midfield

  • 23N. Bochko
  • 52E. Kress
  • 10E. Rusakov
  • 25N. Neskoromny

Attack

  • 17Y. Kovalev
  • 37E. Puerto
  • 26V. Varaksa
Substitutes (10)
  • 30T. Gagloev
  • 55K. Kaplenko
  • 47A. Sakhonchik
  • 35A. Skopets
  • 21M. Titov
  • 24V. Yatskevich
  • 13Y. Khramtsevich
  • 18P. Kolosovskiy
  • 5M. Sakuta
  • 7V. Angban

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.163.283.21

Double chance

1XX212
1.311.641.30

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.831.86

1st half

1X2
2.782.053.96

2nd half

1X2
2.512.363.60

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.4014.735.0
HT X5.254.857.30
HT 229.015.05.40

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.837.802.32

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.027.80
1.51.332.94
2.52.081.70
3.53.501.22
4.56.751.04
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.037.20
11.056.60
1.251.183.88
1.751.412.61
21.542.28
2.251.821.91
2.752.361.50
32.911.34
3.253.201.26
3.754.401.14
46.101.06
4.256.451.05
59.301.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.461.45
-0.52.141.68
-0.251.841.87
01.562.32
+0.251.402.66
+0.51.333.09
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.501.01
-2.257.131.04
-27.801.02
-1.755.251.09
-1.54.051.16
-1.253.581.21
-13.231.27
+0.751.223.65
+11.075.75
+1.251.066.20
+1.51.056.65
+1.751.018.70

Next Premier League matches

18 OctML Vitebsk – Neman
19 OctBelshina – Slavia Mozyr
19 OctTorpedo Zhodino – Naftan
19 OctDinamo Minsk – Arsenal

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

17 OctDinamo Brest 2-2 FC Gomel
17 OctFC Isloch Minsk R. 4-2 FC Minsk
15 OctML Vitebsk 2-0 Torpedo Zhodino
15 OctDinamo Minsk 3-1 Slavia Mozyr
14 OctBate Borisov 0-2 Neman
11 OctFC Dnepr Mogilev 2-3 Dinamo Minsk