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Arsenal vs FC Dnepr Mogilev• Premier League, Belarus

#120.4:1.810:00Tomorrow · Dzerzhinsk City Stadium, Dzyarzhynsk1.6:2.2#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.15DAFX3.20MAR22.301XBMargin at best6.5%Books4Markets44Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 24 Oct 02:57 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet3.103.202.307.0%
Marathonbet3.083.202.287.6%
Dafabet3.153.202.228.0%
Pinnacle3.063.182.229.2%
Best of all books3.153.202.306.5%
Average3.103.202.267.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ArsenalFC Dnepr Mogilev
Last 10#12Table position#150.92Points per game0.762Form pts · last 540.4Goals for · last 51.61.8Goals against · last 52.220Attack rating8055Defence rating4533Form rating6750H2H rating5054Goals model4642Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 24 Oct 00:10 UTC

Arsenal

0W 3D 7L · goals 5:21 · per match 0.5 for, 2.1 against

19 OctADinamo Minsk0-2L
9 OctHDinamo Brest0-1L
3 OctAFC Minsk0-0D
18 SepAML Vitebsk1-5L
12 SepHBaranovichi0-0D
7 SepAFC Isloch Minsk R.1-1D
30 AugHTorpedo Zhodino2-4L
22 AugABelshina0-2L
14 AugHSlavia Mozyr1-3L
7 AugANaftan0-3L

FC Dnepr Mogilev

1W 5D 4L · goals 12:18 · per match 1.2 for, 1.8 against

18 OctHBate Borisov2-1W
11 OctHDinamo Minsk2-3L
20 SepADinamo Brest2-4L
13 SepHML Vitebsk1-1D
6 SepABaranovichi1-2L
30 AugHFC Isloch Minsk R.0-0D
24 AugATorpedo Zhodino0-0D
14 AugHBelshina1-1D
7 AugASlavia Mozyr0-3L
31 JulHNaftan3-3D

Head to head

5Arsenal wins
3draws
3FC Dnepr Mogilev wins

11 meetings · goals 11:11 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Arsenal

14 Jun 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFC Dnepr Mogilev0-1Arsenal
7 Sep 2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsArsenal2-6FC Dnepr Mogilev
11 Aug 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueArsenal3-1FC Dnepr Mogilev
29 Mar 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFC Dnepr Mogilev0-0Arsenal
1 Oct 20231. Division1. DivisionFC Dnepr Mogilev2-0Arsenal
28 May 20231. Division1. DivisionArsenal2-0FC Dnepr Mogilev
6 Nov 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFC Dnepr Mogilev0-1Arsenal
10 Jul 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueArsenal1-0FC Dnepr Mogilev
6 Nov 20211. Division1. DivisionFC Dnepr Mogilev1-0Arsenal
21 Aug 20211. Division1. DivisionArsenal0-0FC Dnepr Mogilev

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 24 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Premier League table, Arsenal sit 12th with 23 points from 25 games, while FC Dnepr Mogilev are 15th with 19 points from 25.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1ML Vitebsk24158150:18+3253
2Dinamo Minsk24164445:19+2652
3FC Isloch Minsk R.24147341:20+2149
4Dinamo Brest25135741:25+1644
5Neman25134831:21+1043
6FC Vitebsk25117729:21+840
7FC Gomel25117736:25+1140
8FC Minsk261041233:36-334
9Torpedo Zhodino25961030:31-133
10Slavia Mozyr25771129:33-428
11Baranovichi26771227:43-1628
12Arsenal25581224:44-2023
13Bate Borisov25491219:32-1321
14Belshina24561325:44-1921
15FC Dnepr Mogilev253101224:40-1619
16Naftan25451624:56-3217

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg130%3.10X29%3.20241%2.26

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

21 Oct 00:0124 Oct 01:011 3.10X 3.202 2.26
12.55 → 3.10 +21.6%X3.20 → 3.20 0.0%22.66 → 2.26 -15.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.031.785.4%
1xBet1.981.777.0%
Marathonbet1.981.777.0%
Best of all books2.031.785.4%
Average2.001.776.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.761.967.8%
Marathonbet1.761.938.6%
Best of all books1.761.967.8%
Average1.761.948.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Arsenal 10%Draw 45%FC Dnepr Mogilev 45%

The statistical model rates Arsenal at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and FC Dnepr Mogilev at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.10 | 3.20 | 2.26, which imply roughly 31.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Arsenal are 12th (23 pts, 24-44 goals), FC Dnepr Mogilev 15th (19 pts, 24-40).

Over their last five matches, Arsenal averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; FC Dnepr Mogilev averaged 1.6 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or FC Dnepr Mogilev.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.103.202.26

Double chance

1XX212
1.581.341.32

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.761.94

1st half

1X2
3.822.022.91

2nd half

1X2
3.392.402.57

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 15.1514.729.0
HT X6.954.705.45
HT 234.014.53.64

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.267.901.87

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.027.90
1.51.283.05
2.52.001.77
3.53.281.25
4.56.201.06
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.037.30
11.046.75
1.251.174.06
1.751.372.76
21.492.39
2.251.741.98
2.752.261.58
32.701.39
3.253.041.31
3.754.061.17
45.551.08
4.255.901.07
58.601.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.53.001.35
-0.252.551.44
02.191.63
+0.251.811.91
+0.51.632.21
+0.751.422.58
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-29.351.01
-1.758.001.02
-1.56.151.06
-1.255.711.08
-15.301.09
-0.753.611.21
+11.253.41
+1.251.193.85
+1.51.154.25
+1.751.085.45
+21.028.10
+2.51.018.70

Next Premier League matches

24 OctFC Gomel – Dinamo Minsk
24 OctNaftan – FC Isloch Minsk R.
24 OctBate Borisov – Belshina
24 OctFC Vitebsk – ML Vitebsk
25 OctSlavia Mozyr – Torpedo Zhodino
25 OctNeman – Dinamo Brest

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

19 OctDinamo Minsk 2-0 Arsenal
19 OctTorpedo Zhodino 1-0 Naftan
19 OctBelshina 2-4 Slavia Mozyr
18 OctML Vitebsk 1-0 Neman
18 OctFC Dnepr Mogilev 2-1 Bate Borisov
17 OctDinamo Brest 2-2 FC Gomel