ML Vitebsk vs Neman• Premier League, Belarus

#12.6:0.61-0FTToday · Tikhinichi Sportcomplex, Gomel2.0:0.6#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.601XBX3.66MAR25.90MARMargin at best6.8%Books3Markets80Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.60	3.66	5.81	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.58	3.66	5.90	7.6%
Pinnacle	1.56	3.61	5.73	9.3%
Best of all books	1.60	3.66	5.90	6.8%
Average	1.58	3.64	5.81	7.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ML VitebskNeman

Last 10#1Table position#52.17Points per game1.7911Form pts · last 5122.6Goals for · last 52.00.6Goals against · last 50.657Attack rating4350Defence rating5046Form rating5450H2H rating5059Goals model4151Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:02 UTC

ML Vitebsk

6W 4D 0L · goals 20:5 · per match 2.0 for, 0.5 against

15 Oct	H	Torpedo Zhodino	2-0	W
11 Oct	A	FC Gomel	5-1	W
18 Sep	H	Arsenal	5-1	W
13 Sep	A	FC Dnepr Mogilev	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Dinamo Minsk	0-0	D
2 Sep	H	Belshina	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Dinamo Brest	3-1	W
23 Aug	H	Bate Borisov	0-0	D
19 Aug	H	Baranovichi	2-0	W
13 Aug	H	Borac Banja Luka	1-0	W

Neman

7W 1D 2L · goals 16:7 · per match 1.6 for, 0.7 against

14 Oct	A	Bate Borisov	2-0	W
10 Oct	H	Baranovichi	3-0	W
2 Oct	H	Dinamo Brest	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	FC Isloch Minsk R.	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Torpedo Zhodino	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Belshina	2-2	D
29 Aug	H	Slavia Mozyr	1-0	W
22 Aug	A	Naftan	2-0	W
15 Aug	H	FC Minsk	2-1	W
8 Aug	A	FC Vitebsk	0-1	L

Head to head

2ML Vitebsk wins

2draws

1Neman wins

5 meetings · goals 6:6 · last 5: 2W 2D 1L for ML Vitebsk

30 May 2026Premier League	Premier League	Neman1-2ML Vitebsk
28 Feb 2026Super Cup	Super Cup	ML Vitebsk2-2Neman
20 Sep 2025Premier League	Premier League	Neman3-1ML Vitebsk
3 May 2025Premier League	Premier League	ML Vitebsk1-0Neman
9 Feb 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Neman0-0ML Vitebsk

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 18 Oct 19:00 UTC

In the Premier League table, ML Vitebsk sit 1st with 50 points from 23 games, while Neman are 5th with 43 points from 24.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	ML Vitebsk	23	14	8	1	49:18	+31	50
2	FC Isloch Minsk R.	24	14	7	3	41:20	+21	49
3	Dinamo Minsk	23	15	4	4	43:19	+24	49
4	Dinamo Brest	25	13	5	7	41:25	+16	44
5	Neman	24	13	4	7	31:20	+11	43
6	FC Vitebsk	25	11	7	7	29:21	+8	40
7	FC Gomel	25	11	7	7	36:25	+11	40
8	FC Minsk	25	10	4	11	32:33	-1	34
9	Torpedo Zhodino	24	8	6	10	29:31	-2	30
10	Slavia Mozyr	24	6	7	11	25:31	-6	25
11	Baranovichi	25	6	7	12	24:42	-18	25
12	Arsenal	24	5	8	11	24:42	-18	23
13	Bate Borisov	25	4	9	12	19:32	-13	21
14	Belshina	23	5	6	12	23:40	-17	21
15	FC Dnepr Mogilev	25	3	10	12	24:40	-16	19
16	Naftan	24	4	5	15	24:55	-31	17

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.59X26%3.58215%6.01

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.87 → 1.58 -15.5%X3.40 → 3.64 +7.1%24.36 → 5.81 +33.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.12	1.68	6.7%
1xBet	2.08	1.70	6.9%
Marathonbet	2.08	1.70	6.9%
Best of all books	2.12	1.70	6.0%
Average	2.09	1.69	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.05	1.69	8.0%
Marathonbet	2.05	1.67	8.7%
Best of all books	2.05	1.69	8.0%
Average	2.05	1.68	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

ML Vitebsk 45%Draw 45%Neman 10%

The statistical model rated ML Vitebsk at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Neman at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.59 | 3.58 | 6.01, which imply roughly 62.9% for a ML Vitebsk win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: ML Vitebsk are 1st (50 pts, 49-18 goals), Neman 5th (43 pts, 31-20).

Over their last five matches, ML Vitebsk averaged 2.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Neman averaged 2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : ML Vitebsk or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

ML Vitebsk

4-3-3

Coach: Juan Díaz

Goalkeeper

1P. Pavlyuchenko

Defence

23S. Balanovich
20Z. Volkov
6K. Gomanov
45I. Moskalenchik

Midfield

27A. Mesarović
55V. Gromyko
15V. Bocherov

Attack

10D. Cleonise
80A. Kontsevoy
4A. Ode

Substitutes (9)

3N. Baranok
12R. Bosić
99M. Bulanov
8S. Gnaka
90I. Grudko
7T. Ivanov
5M. Mohammadi
30Pavel Shcherbachenya
22Y. Skibskiy

Neman

4-2-3-1

Coach: I. Kovalevich

Goalkeeper

16N. Matysyuk

Defence

55D. Girs
15O. Evdokimov
20I. Sadovnichiy
8Y. Pantea

Midfield

4A. Vasiljev
47M. Kozlov
24A. Yakimov
9S. Pushnyakov
33D. Spătaru

Attack

88P. Savitskiy

Substitutes (9)

19A. Dayneko
22I. Kirko
1A. Malievskiy
6A. Nazarenko
32Y. Pavlyukovets
7A. Ratković
2V. Tonkevich
23T. Yormie
17A. Suchkov

Match Statistics

ML VitebskNeman

2Corner Kicks3

3Shots on Goal1

12Free Kicks6

0Yellow Cards0

55%Ball Possession45%

2Shots off Goal4

0Red Cards1

0Blocked Shots0

5Total Shots5

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.58	3.64	5.81

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.10	2.27	1.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.05	1.68

1st half

1	X	2
2.18	2.06	6.42

2nd half

1	X	2
1.93	2.48	5.57

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.32	18.1	60.5
HT X	4.05	4.95	12.2
HT 2	30.0	19.0	10.7

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.49	8.50	3.18

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	8.50
1.5	1.32	2.95
2.5	2.09	1.69
3.5	3.58	1.21
4.5	7.40	1.03

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.80
1	1.04	7.10
1.25	1.17	4.00
1.75	1.41	2.61
2	1.55	2.26
2.25	1.83	1.90
2.75	2.37	1.50
3	2.98	1.32
3.25	3.20	1.26
3.75	4.60	1.13
4	6.55	1.05
4.25	6.95	1.04
5	9.50	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.72	1.38
-1.25	2.41	1.50
-1	2.06	1.70
-0.75	1.73	1.98
-0.5	1.56	2.36
-0.25	1.35	2.81

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	9.90	1.01
-2.75	7.20	1.03
-2.5	5.45	1.08
-2.25	5.00	1.10
-2	4.55	1.13
-1.75	3.27	1.27
0	1.16	4.29
+0.25	1.15	4.49
+0.75	1.02	7.70
+1	1.01	9.85
+1.5	1.01	9.65

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	7.70
6.5	1.10	4.88
7.5	1.27	3.18
8.5	1.53	2.29
9.5	1.90	1.80
10.5	2.45	1.46
11.5	3.31	1.25
12.5	4.77	1.11
13.5	6.37	1.05

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.11	4.68
7	1.12	4.44
7.25	1.20	3.64
7.75	1.31	2.98
8	1.35	2.81
8.25	1.45	2.49
8.75	1.61	2.15
9	1.70	2.03
9.25	1.81	1.89
9.75	2.04	1.70
10	2.20	1.59
10.25	2.32	1.52
10.75	2.69	1.38
11	3.02	1.30
11.25	3.18	1.27
11.75	3.80	1.18
12	4.49	1.12
12.25	4.68	1.11
12.75	5.75	1.06
13	7.15	1.01
13.25	5.89	1.05

Next Premier League matches

19 Oct	Belshina – Slavia Mozyr
19 Oct	Torpedo Zhodino – Naftan
19 Oct	Dinamo Minsk – Arsenal

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

18 Oct	FC Dnepr Mogilev 2-1 Bate Borisov
17 Oct	Dinamo Brest 2-2 FC Gomel
17 Oct	FC Isloch Minsk R. 4-2 FC Minsk
15 Oct	ML Vitebsk 2-0 Torpedo Zhodino
15 Oct	Dinamo Minsk 3-1 Slavia Mozyr
14 Oct	Bate Borisov 0-2 Neman