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ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino• Premier League, Belarus

#12.4:0.82-0FT15/10 · Tikhinichi Sportcomplex, Gomel1.2:2.2#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.29DAFX4.90MAR212.0MARMargin at best6.3%Books5Markets81Rating58 · 43Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 15 Oct 12:14 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.284.9011.87.0%
Marathonbet1.274.9012.07.5%
Dafabet1.294.9010.07.9%
Pinnacle1.274.638.5612.0%
SBO1.274.407.9114.1%
Best of all books1.294.9012.06.3%
Average1.284.7510.19.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ML VitebskTorpedo Zhodino
Last 10#1Table position#92.17Points per game1.2511Form pts · last 532.4Goals for · last 51.20.8Goals against · last 52.267Attack rating3373Defence rating2760Form rating4038H2H rating6267Goals model3358Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:02 UTC

ML Vitebsk

6W 4D 0L · goals 20:5 · per match 2.0 for, 0.5 against

15 OctHTorpedo Zhodino2-0W
11 OctAFC Gomel5-1W
18 SepHArsenal5-1W
13 SepAFC Dnepr Mogilev1-1D
6 SepHDinamo Minsk0-0D
2 SepHBelshina1-1D
29 AugADinamo Brest3-1W
23 AugHBate Borisov0-0D
19 AugHBaranovichi2-0W
13 AugHBorac Banja Luka1-0W

Torpedo Zhodino

2W 1D 7L · goals 7:20 · per match 0.7 for, 2.0 against

15 OctAML Vitebsk0-2L
10 OctAFC Minsk1-0W
3 OctHTorpedo Moskva1-2L
20 SepAFC Vitebsk0-6L
12 SepANeman0-1L
5 SepHFC Gomel1-2L
30 AugAArsenal4-2W
24 AugHFC Dnepr Mogilev0-0D
20 AugADinamo Minsk0-4L
8 AugHDinamo Brest0-1L

Head to head

1ML Vitebsk wins
2draws
2Torpedo Zhodino wins

5 meetings · goals 2:3 · last 5: 1W 2D 2L for ML Vitebsk

21 Mar 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueTorpedo Zhodino0-1ML Vitebsk
13 Sep 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueML Vitebsk0-1Torpedo Zhodino
8 May 2025CoppaCoppaML Vitebsk0-1Torpedo Zhodino
27 Apr 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueTorpedo Zhodino1-1ML Vitebsk
16 Apr 2025CoppaCoppaTorpedo Zhodino0-0ML Vitebsk

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 18 Oct 16:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, ML Vitebsk sit 1st with 50 points from 23 games, while Torpedo Zhodino are 9th with 30 points from 24.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1ML Vitebsk23148149:18+3150
2FC Isloch Minsk R.24147341:20+2149
3Dinamo Minsk23154443:19+2449
4Dinamo Brest25135741:25+1644
5Neman24134731:20+1143
6FC Vitebsk25117729:21+840
7FC Gomel25117736:25+1140
8FC Minsk251041132:33-134
9Torpedo Zhodino24861029:31-230
10Slavia Mozyr24671125:31-625
11Baranovichi25671224:42-1825
12Arsenal24581124:42-1823
13Bate Borisov24491118:30-1221
14Belshina23561223:40-1721
15Naftan24451524:55-3117
16FC Dnepr Mogilev242101222:39-1716

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg169%1.34X21%4.43211%8.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 12:2015 Oct 15:001 1.28X 4.752 10.1
11.40 → 1.28 -8.6%X4.29 → 4.75 +10.7%27.50 → 10.1 +34.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
SBO1.971.816.0%
1xBet1.881.867.0%
Marathonbet1.881.867.0%
Pinnacle1.871.857.5%
Best of all books1.971.864.5%
Average1.901.856.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet2.511.468.3%
Marathonbet2.511.458.8%
Best of all books2.511.468.3%
Average2.511.468.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

ML Vitebsk 45%Draw 45%Torpedo Zhodino 10%

The statistical model rated ML Vitebsk at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Torpedo Zhodino at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.34 | 4.43 | 8.58, which imply roughly 74.6% for a ML Vitebsk win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: ML Vitebsk are 1st (50 pts, 49-18 goals), Torpedo Zhodino 9th (30 pts, 29-31).

Over their last five matches, ML Vitebsk averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Torpedo Zhodino averaged 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : ML Vitebsk or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

ML Vitebsk

4-3-3

Coach: Juan Díaz

Goalkeeper

  • 1P. Pavlyuchenko

Defence

  • 20Z. Volkov
  • 6K. Gomanov
  • 45I. Moskalenchik

Midfield

  • 22Y. Skibskiy
  • 27A. Mesarović
  • 8S. Gnaka
  • 15V. Bocherov
  • 10D. Cleonise
  • 80A. Kontsevoy
  • 12R. Bosić
Substitutes (9)
  • 30Pavel Shcherbachenya
  • 3N. Baranok
  • 5M. Mohammadi
  • 7T. Ivanov
  • 4A. Ode
  • 55V. Gromyko
  • 23S. Balanovich
  • 99Mark Bulanov
  • 90I. Grudko

Torpedo Zhodino

3-5-2

Coach: Denis Karolik

Goalkeeper

  • 25T. Yurasov

Defence

  • 3Yevhen Chagovets
  • 13A. Zaleskiy
  • 96V. Melko

Midfield

  • 68D. Zhulpa
  • 7A. Bykov
  • 30V. Pobudey
  • 6K. Premudrov
  • 10T. Sharkovskiy

Attack

  • 89A. Frantsuzov
  • 11A. Lomovitskiy
Substitutes (8)
  • 28D. Yusov
  • 47V. Nalivayko
  • 9G. Petrosyan
  • 27M. Gaevoy
  • 14M. Ladutko
  • 66A. Ageev
  • 4V. Manaev
  • 99M. Maslennikov

Match Statistics

ML VitebskTorpedo Zhodino
0Red Cards0
3Shots on Goal1
0Yellow Cards0
59%Ball Possession41%
4Corner Kicks1
7Shots off Goal3
0Blocked Shots0
10Total Shots4

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.284.7510.1

Double chance

1XX212
1.013.201.15

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.511.46

1st half

1X2
1.792.288.79

2nd half

1X2
1.542.929.15

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 11.8223.169.8
HT X3.666.4220.6
HT 227.123.320.0

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.258.405.40

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.018.40
1.51.283.12
2.51.901.85
3.53.041.29
4.55.551.08
5.510.51.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.027.80
11.037.30
1.251.144.33
1.751.322.93
21.412.59
2.251.672.09
2.752.091.66
32.441.45
3.252.701.37
3.753.681.20
44.901.11
4.255.251.09
58.651.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-22.491.43
-1.752.091.66
-1.51.881.86
-1.251.652.12
-11.472.49
-0.51.392.69
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.757.201.03
-3.55.701.08
-3.255.401.09
-35.051.10
-2.753.721.20
-2.53.041.29
-2.252.811.34
-0.751.312.97
-0.251.134.60
01.028.10
+0.251.046.95

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.037.20
7.51.114.82
8.51.263.21
9.51.502.36
10.51.841.86
11.52.311.52
12.53.041.29
13.54.231.15
14.56.101.05
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
81.124.46
8.751.293.06
91.332.89
9.251.422.60
9.751.562.25
101.642.11
10.251.741.98
10.751.951.76
112.081.67
11.252.201.58
11.752.511.43
122.761.36
12.252.881.32
133.921.17
145.951.05

Next Premier League matches

19 OctBelshina – Slavia Mozyr
19 OctTorpedo Zhodino – Naftan
19 OctDinamo Minsk – Arsenal

All Premier League fixtures and the table

Latest Premier League results

18 OctFC Dnepr Mogilev 2-1 Bate Borisov
17 OctDinamo Brest 2-2 FC Gomel
17 OctFC Isloch Minsk R. 4-2 FC Minsk
15 OctDinamo Minsk 3-1 Slavia Mozyr
14 OctBate Borisov 0-2 Neman
11 OctFC Dnepr Mogilev 2-3 Dinamo Minsk