Bate Borisov vs Neman• Premier League, Belarus

#130.8:1.60-2FTToday · Borisov Arena, Borisov1.8:0.6#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.15MARX3.40DAF21.93SBOMargin at best5.3%Books5Markets48Rating31 · 69Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Oct 12:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.92	3.26	1.97	6.9%
Marathonbet	3.92	3.26	1.95	7.5%
Dafabet	3.80	3.25	1.96	8.1%
Pinnacle	3.93	3.33	1.86	9.2%
SBO	3.41	2.99	1.92	14.9%
Best of all books	3.93	3.33	1.97	6.2%
Average	3.80	3.22	1.93	9.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Bate BorisovNeman

Last 10#13Table position#40.88Points per game1.794Form pts · last 5120.8Goals for · last 51.81.6Goals against · last 50.631Attack rating6927Defence rating7324Form rating7638H2H rating6238Goals model6231Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 18:31 UTC

Bate Borisov

3W 2D 5L · goals 7:12 · per match 0.7 for, 1.2 against

14 Oct	H	Neman	0-2	L
10 Oct	H	Slavia Mozyr	2-1	W
4 Oct	A	Zenit	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Dinamo Minsk	0-2	L
13 Sep	H	Naftan	2-2	D
7 Sep	A	Dinamo Brest	0-1	L
3 Sep	A	FC Isloch Minsk R.	0-2	L
30 Aug	H	FC Minsk	2-1	W
23 Aug	A	ML Vitebsk	0-0	D
15 Aug	H	FC Vitebsk	1-0	W

Neman

7W 1D 2L · goals 16:7 · per match 1.6 for, 0.7 against

14 Oct	A	Bate Borisov	2-0	W
10 Oct	H	Baranovichi	3-0	W
2 Oct	H	Dinamo Brest	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	FC Isloch Minsk R.	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Torpedo Zhodino	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Belshina	2-2	D
29 Aug	H	Slavia Mozyr	1-0	W
22 Aug	A	Naftan	2-0	W
15 Aug	H	FC Minsk	2-1	W
8 Aug	A	FC Vitebsk	0-1	L

Head to head

26Bate Borisov wins

6draws

6Neman wins

38 meetings · goals 63:26 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Bate Borisov

21 Mar 2026Premier League	Premier League	Neman0-0Bate Borisov
6 Feb 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Neman0-0Bate Borisov
2 Nov 2025Premier League	Premier League	Neman0-2Bate Borisov
14 Jun 2025Premier League	Premier League	Bate Borisov1-5Neman
2 Nov 2024Premier League	Premier League	Bate Borisov0-3Neman
15 Jun 2024Premier League	Premier League	Neman1-0Bate Borisov
15 Feb 2024Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Neman0-2Bate Borisov
26 Nov 2023Premier League	Premier League	Bate Borisov3-2Neman
1 Jul 2023Premier League	Premier League	Neman0-1Bate Borisov
10 May 2023Coppa	Coppa	Bate Borisov0-0Neman

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 14 Oct 20:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Bate Borisov sit 13th with 21 points from 24 games, while Neman are 4th with 43 points from 24.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	ML Vitebsk	22	13	8	1	47:18	+29	47
2	FC Isloch Minsk R.	23	13	7	3	37:18	+19	46
3	Dinamo Minsk	22	14	4	4	40:18	+22	46
4	Neman	24	13	4	7	31:20	+11	43
5	Dinamo Brest	24	13	4	7	39:23	+16	43
6	FC Gomel	24	11	6	7	34:23	+11	39
7	FC Vitebsk	24	10	7	7	28:21	+7	37
8	FC Minsk	24	10	4	10	30:29	+1	34
9	Torpedo Zhodino	23	8	6	9	29:29	0	30
10	Slavia Mozyr	23	6	7	10	24:28	-4	25
11	Baranovichi	24	6	7	11	24:41	-17	25
12	Arsenal	24	5	8	11	24:42	-18	23
13	Bate Borisov	24	4	9	11	18:30	-12	21
14	Belshina	23	5	6	12	23:40	-17	21
15	Naftan	24	4	5	15	24:55	-31	17
16	FC Dnepr Mogilev	24	2	10	12	22:39	-17	16

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg124%3.80X28%3.22247%1.93

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.11	1.69	6.6%
SBO	2.07	1.71	6.8%
1xBet	2.05	1.72	6.9%
Marathonbet	2.05	1.72	6.9%
Best of all books	2.11	1.72	5.5%
Average	2.07	1.71	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.84	1.86	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.84	1.84	8.7%
Best of all books	1.84	1.86	8.1%
Average	1.84	1.85	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bate Borisov 0%Draw 50%Neman 50%

The statistical model rated Bate Borisov at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Neman at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.80 | 3.22 | 1.93, which imply roughly 31.1% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Bate Borisov are 13th (21 pts, 18-30 goals), Neman 4th (43 pts, 31-20).

Over their last five matches, Bate Borisov averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Neman averaged 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Neman.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Bate Borisov

4-4-1-1

Coach: V. Rogozhkin

Goalkeeper

35A. Skopets

Defence

23N. Bochko
6H. Moussakhanian
88P. Dubovskiy
25N. Neskoromny

Midfield

17Y. Kovalev
52E. Kress
28I. Mikhnyuk
7V. Angban
26V. Varaksa

Attack

37E. Puerto

Neman

4-2-3-1

Coach: I. Kovalevich

Goalkeeper

16N. Matysyuk

Defence

20I. Sadovnichiy
14S. Jimoh
8Y. Pantea

Midfield

55D. Girs
47M. Kozlov
10D. Lisakovich
9S. Pushnyakov
33D. Spătaru
88P. Savitskiy

Match Statistics

Bate BorisovNeman

3Corner Kicks1

5Shots on Goal7

12Free Kicks14

0Yellow Cards2

1Shots off Goal3

46%Ball Possession54%

0Red Cards0

0Blocked Shots0

6Total Shots10

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.80	3.22	1.93

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.80	1.20	1.28

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.84	1.85

1st half

1	X	2
4.40	2.00	2.59

2nd half

1	X	2
4.05	2.39	2.30

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.53	15.0	27.1
HT X	8.30	4.71	4.67
HT 2	44.8	15.1	3.04

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.53	8.50	1.69

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	8.50
1.5	1.31	3.01
2.5	2.07	1.71
3.5	3.50	1.22
4.5	7.20	1.03

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.80
1	1.04	7.10
1.25	1.16	4.10
1.75	1.40	2.65
2	1.53	2.30
2.25	1.82	1.93
2.75	2.38	1.52
3	2.93	1.33
3.25	3.13	1.29
3.75	4.45	1.14
4	6.35	1.06
4.25	6.75	1.04
5	9.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.83	1.39
+0.25	2.14	1.63
+0.5	1.89	1.91
+0.75	1.59	2.17
+1	1.37	2.72
+1.25	1.29	3.13

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	8.65	1.01
-1	8.10	1.02
-0.75	4.95	1.11
-0.25	3.30	1.28
+1.5	1.26	3.39
+1.75	1.12	4.64
+2	1.04	6.95
+2.25	1.03	7.40
+2.5	1.02	7.90
+2.75	1.01	8.30