Narva U21 vs 
Tartu Kalev• Esiliiga B, Estonia
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 15 Oct 12:12 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.33 | 5.40 | 6.20 | 9.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.29 | 5.50 | 6.59 | 10.9% |
| Betano | 1.35 | 5.00 | 5.90 | 11.0% |
| Betfair | 1.29 | 5.50 | 6.50 | 11.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.28 | 5.50 | 6.30 | 12.2% |
| Pinnacle | 1.30 | 5.74 | 5.45 | 12.7% |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 13.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.35 | 5.74 | 6.59 | 6.7% |
| Average | 1.31 | 5.38 | 6.13 | 11.5% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 15 Oct 15:01 UTC
Narva U21
8W 1D 1L · goals 16:6 · per match 1.6 for, 0.6 against
| 11 Oct | A | Johvi Phoenix | 1-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Legion | 2-1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Tallinna Kalev II | 2-1 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Luunja | 1-0 | W |
| 11 Sep | H | Levadia U19 | 1-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Tartu Kalev | 1-0 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | JK Tabasalu | 4-0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | Tulevik | 3-3 | D |
| 19 Aug | A | Levadia U19 | 0-1 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | Johvi Phoenix | 1-0 | W |
Tartu Kalev
4W 1D 5L · goals 11:23 · per match 1.1 for, 2.3 against
| 10 Oct | H | Levadia U19 | 0-2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Tulevik | 1-6 | L |
| 13 Sep | A | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | 4-0 | W |
| 10 Sep | A | Legion | 2-1 | W |
| 6 Sep | H | Narva U21 | 0-1 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | Johvi Phoenix | 0-3 | L |
| 25 Aug | H | Tallinna Kalev II | 1-1 | D |
| 20 Aug | H | Luunja | 2-1 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | 1-0 | W |
| 11 Aug | A | Tallinna Kalev | 0-8 | L |
Head to head
11 meetings · goals 18:14 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Narva U21
| 6 Sep 2026Esiliiga B | Esiliiga B | Tartu Kalev0-1Narva U21 |
| 18 Jun 2026Esiliiga B | Esiliiga B | Narva U213-2Tartu Kalev |
| 14 Mar 2026Esiliiga B | Esiliiga B | Tartu Kalev3-0Narva U21 |
| 9 Nov 2025Esiliiga B | Esiliiga B | Narva U216-1Tartu Kalev |
| 13 Sep 2025Esiliiga B | Esiliiga B | Tartu Kalev1-1Narva U21 |
| 29 May 2025Esiliiga B | Esiliiga B | Tartu Kalev2-3Narva U21 |
| 6 Apr 2025Esiliiga B | Esiliiga B | Narva U210-1Tartu Kalev |
| 19 Oct 2024Esiliiga B | Esiliiga B | Tartu Kalev1-1Narva U21 |
| 21 Aug 2024Esiliiga B | Esiliiga B | Narva U212-1Tartu Kalev |
| 26 May 2024Esiliiga B | Esiliiga B | Narva U210-0Tartu Kalev |
Esiliiga B tableEsiliiga Bupdated 16 Oct 18:32 UTC
In the Esiliiga B table, Narva U21 sit 1st with 69 points from 32 games, while Tartu Kalev are 7th with 47 points from 32.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Narva U21 | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 74:36 | +38 | 69 |
| 2 | Levadia U19 | 32 | 20 | 2 | 10 | 80:52 | +28 | 62 |
| 3 | Phoenix | 32 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 72:72 | 0 | 54 |
| 4 | Luunja | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 79:65 | +14 | 53 |
| 5 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 98:64 | +34 | 50 |
| 6 | Tulevik | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 83:65 | +18 | 50 |
| 7 | Tartu Kalev | 32 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 72:62 | +10 | 47 |
| 8 | JK Tabasalu | 32 | 10 | 3 | 19 | 46:85 | -39 | 33 |
| 9 | Tallinna Kalev II | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 64:79 | -15 | 30 |
| 10 | Legion | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 30:118 | -88 | 13 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.21 | 3.58 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.21 | 3.58 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.21 | 3.58 | 10.6% |
| Average | 1.21 | 3.58 | 10.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.41 | 2.62 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.41 | 2.56 | 10.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.41 | 2.62 | 9.1% |
| Average | 1.41 | 2.59 | 9.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Narva U21 at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Tartu Kalev at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.31 | 5.38 | 6.13, which imply roughly 76.3% for a Narva U21 win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Esiliiga B table: Narva U21 are 1st (69 pts, 74-36 goals), Tartu Kalev 7th (47 pts, 72-62).
Over their last five matches, Narva U21 averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Tartu Kalev averaged 1.4 scored and 2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Narva U21 or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.31 | 5.38 | 6.13 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.07 | 2.98 | 1.10 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.15 | 4.40 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.41 | 2.59 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.68 | 2.94 | 5.40 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.56 | 3.46 | 5.28 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 1.87 | 15.0 | 40.5 |
| HT X | 4.43 | 9.63 | 14.0 |
| HT 2 | 13.8 | 15.8 | 10.6 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.31 | 43.0 | 2.97 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 29.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.06 | 8.00 |
| 2.5 | 1.21 | 3.58 |
| 3.5 | 1.63 | 2.10 |
| 4.5 | 2.34 | 1.49 |
| 5.5 | 4.00 | 1.20 |
| 6.5 | 5.85 | 1.10 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1.04 | 7.10 |
| 2.75 | 1.25 | 3.28 |
| 3 | 1.31 | 2.93 |
| 3.25 | 1.47 | 2.39 |
| 3.75 | 1.78 | 1.88 |
| 4 | 1.95 | 1.71 |
| 4.25 | 2.19 | 1.55 |
| 4.75 | 2.71 | 1.36 |
| 5 | 3.34 | 1.24 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.25 | 2.57 | 1.40 |
| -2 | 2.30 | 1.50 |
| -1.75 | 2.00 | 1.68 |
| -1.5 | 1.81 | 1.85 |
| -1.25 | 1.62 | 2.08 |
| -1 | 1.44 | 2.46 |
6 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 5.00 | 1.10 |
| -3 | 4.40 | 1.14 |
| -2.5 | 2.74 | 1.36 |
| -0.75 | 1.35 | 2.77 |
| -0.25 | 1.19 | 3.78 |
| 0 | 1.10 | 5.20 |