Johvi Phoenix vs Narva U21• Esiliiga B, Estonia

3.0:2.60-1FT11/101.4:0.4#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.75BFRX4.20B36522.10WHMargin at best7.8%Books8Markets36Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 04:42 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.70	4.10	2.06	10.0%
Betfair	2.75	4.20	2.00	10.2%
1xBet	2.71	4.10	2.02	10.8%
Betano	2.67	4.00	2.05	11.2%
Bet365	2.62	4.20	2.00	12.0%
Marathonbet	2.65	4.10	2.00	12.1%
William Hill	2.60	3.80	2.10	12.4%
Pinnacle	2.68	4.19	1.94	12.7%
Best of all books	2.75	4.20	2.10	7.8%
Average	2.67	4.09	2.02	11.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Johvi PhoenixNarva U21

Last 109Form pts · last 5153.0Goals for · last 51.42.6Goals against · last 50.468Attack rating3213Defence rating8744Form rating5650H2H rating5052Goals model4846Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 15 Oct 13:01 UTC

Johvi Phoenix

5W 1D 4L · goals 21:22 · per match 2.1 for, 2.2 against

11 Oct	H	Narva U21	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	JK Tabasalu	3-2	W
14 Sep	H	Tallinna Kalev II	4-3	W
10 Sep	A	Parnu JK Vaprus U21	3-2	W
6 Sep	A	Levadia U19	2-6	L
29 Aug	A	Tartu Kalev	3-0	W
23 Aug	A	Luunja	3-2	W
20 Aug	A	JK Tabasalu	2-2	D
15 Aug	A	Narva U21	0-1	L
9 Aug	A	Tallinna Kalev II	1-3	L

Narva U21

8W 1D 1L · goals 16:6 · per match 1.6 for, 0.6 against

11 Oct	A	Johvi Phoenix	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Legion	2-1	W
19 Sep	A	Tallinna Kalev II	2-1	W
15 Sep	H	Luunja	1-0	W
11 Sep	H	Levadia U19	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Tartu Kalev	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	JK Tabasalu	4-0	W
23 Aug	A	Tulevik	3-3	D
19 Aug	A	Levadia U19	0-1	L
15 Aug	H	Johvi Phoenix	1-0	W

Head to head

4Johvi Phoenix wins

4draws

3Narva U21 wins

11 meetings · goals 22:19 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Johvi Phoenix

15 Aug 2026Esiliiga B	Esiliiga B	Narva U211-0Johvi Phoenix
28 May 2026Esiliiga B	Esiliiga B	Narva U211-1Johvi Phoenix
28 Mar 2026Esiliiga B	Esiliiga B	Johvi Phoenix4-2Narva U21
8 Oct 2025Esiliiga B	Esiliiga B	Johvi Phoenix1-0Narva U21
10 Aug 2025Esiliiga B	Esiliiga B	Narva U214-2Johvi Phoenix
6 Jul 2025Esiliiga B	Esiliiga B	Narva U213-4Johvi Phoenix
12 Mar 2025Esiliiga B	Esiliiga B	Johvi Phoenix3-3Narva U21
6 Oct 2024Esiliiga B	Esiliiga B	Narva U212-0Johvi Phoenix
18 Aug 2024Esiliiga B	Esiliiga B	Johvi Phoenix1-1Narva U21
19 May 2024Esiliiga B	Esiliiga B	Johvi Phoenix5-1Narva U21

Esiliiga B tableEsiliiga Bupdated 16 Oct 18:32 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Narva U21	32	22	3	7	74:36	+38	69
2	Levadia U19	32	20	2	10	80:52	+28	62
3	Phoenix	32	17	3	12	72:72	0	54
4	Luunja	32	16	5	11	79:65	+14	53
5	Parnu JK Vaprus U21	32	15	5	12	98:64	+34	50
6	Tulevik	32	15	5	12	83:65	+18	50
7	Tartu Kalev	32	15	2	15	72:62	+10	47
8	JK Tabasalu	32	10	3	19	46:85	-39	33
9	Tallinna Kalev II	32	8	6	18	64:79	-15	30
10	Legion	32	3	4	25	30:118	-88	13

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg132%2.84X21%4.26247%1.91

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.44 → 2.67 +9.4%X4.12 → 4.09 -0.7%22.21 → 2.02 -8.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.25	3.75	6.7%
1xBet	1.19	3.76	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.19	3.76	10.6%
Best of all books	1.25	3.76	6.6%
Average	1.21	3.76	9.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.22	3.70	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.22	3.58	9.9%
Best of all books	1.22	3.70	9.0%
Average	1.22	3.64	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Johvi Phoenix 35%Draw 35%Narva U21 30%

The statistical model rated Johvi Phoenix at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Narva U21 at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.84 | 4.26 | 1.91, which imply roughly 35.2% for a Johvi Phoenix win versus the model's 35%.

Over their last five matches, Johvi Phoenix averaged 3 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Narva U21 averaged 1.4 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Johvi Phoenix or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.67	4.09	2.02

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.63	1.38	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
2.09	1.65

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.22	3.64

1st half

1	X	2
2.95	2.72	2.44

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.94	37.5	1.75

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.06	8.50
2.5	1.21	3.76
3.5	1.59	2.16
4.5	2.26	1.52
5.5	3.75	1.22
6.5	5.85	1.10

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.03	7.40
2.75	1.23	3.42
3	1.29	3.04
3.25	1.44	2.47
3.75	1.72	1.95
4	1.87	1.78
4.25	2.10	1.61
4.75	2.63	1.39
5	3.14	1.27

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.64	1.40
-0.25	2.38	1.47
0	2.14	1.60
+0.25	1.89	1.80
+0.5	1.70	1.96
+0.75	1.54	2.23

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	8.60	1.01
-1.5	4.80	1.12
-1	4.10	1.16
-0.75	3.08	1.28
+1	1.38	2.64
+1.25	1.29	3.04
+1.5	1.25	3.28
+2	1.08	5.45

Latest Esiliiga B results

17 Oct	Parnu JK Vaprus U21 2-3 Tulevik
15 Oct	Narva U21 2-0 Tartu Kalev
15 Oct	Johvi Phoenix 1-3 Luunja
14 Oct	Parnu JK Vaprus U21 2-1 JK Tabasalu
11 Oct	JK Tabasalu 1-2 Luunja
11 Oct	Tallinna Kalev II 1-1 Parnu JK Vaprus U21