Tallinna Kalev II vs 
Parnu JK Vaprus U21• Esiliiga B, Estonia
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 06:01 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 2.38 | 4.40 | 2.20 | 10.2% |
| Dafabet | 2.38 | 4.30 | 2.22 | 10.3% |
| Betano | 2.35 | 4.35 | 2.20 | 11.0% |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 4.50 | 2.20 | 11.2% |
| 1xBet | 2.38 | 4.30 | 2.14 | 12.0% |
| Marathonbet | 2.38 | 4.30 | 2.14 | 12.0% |
| Pinnacle | 2.38 | 4.19 | 2.14 | 12.6% |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 4.00 | 2.20 | 13.9% |
| Best of all books | 2.38 | 4.50 | 2.22 | 9.3% |
| Average | 2.36 | 4.29 | 2.18 | 11.6% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 08:50 UTC
Tallinna Kalev II
4W 3D 3L · goals 21:22 · per match 2.1 for, 2.2 against
| 3 Oct | A | Tulevik | 3-1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Narva U21 | 1-2 | L |
| 14 Sep | A | Johvi Phoenix | 3-4 | L |
| 11 Sep | H | JK Tabasalu | 4-1 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | 0-7 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Tulevik | 2-1 | W |
| 25 Aug | A | Tartu Kalev | 1-1 | D |
| 21 Aug | H | Legion | 3-3 | D |
| 16 Aug | A | JK Tabasalu | 1-1 | D |
| 9 Aug | H | Johvi Phoenix | 3-1 | W |
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
5W 2D 3L · goals 37:13 · per match 3.7 for, 1.3 against
| 14 Oct | H | JK Tabasalu | 2-1 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Tallinna Kalev II | 1-1 | D |
| 18 Sep | H | Legion | 12-0 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Tartu Kalev | 0-4 | L |
| 10 Sep | H | Johvi Phoenix | 2-3 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | Tallinna Kalev II | 7-0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Legion | 5-1 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | JK Tabasalu | 6-0 | W |
| 20 Aug | H | Tulevik | 2-2 | D |
| 15 Aug | A | Tartu Kalev | 0-1 | L |
Head to head
3 meetings · goals 4:12 · last 3: 0W 1D 2L for Tallinna Kalev II
| 6 Sep 2026Esiliiga B | Esiliiga B | Parnu JK Vaprus U217-0Tallinna Kalev II |
| 19 Jun 2026Esiliiga B | Esiliiga B | Parnu JK Vaprus U212-2Tallinna Kalev II |
| 28 Apr 2026Esiliiga B | Esiliiga B | Tallinna Kalev II2-3Parnu JK Vaprus U21 |
Esiliiga B tableEsiliiga Bupdated 16 Oct 18:32 UTC
In the Esiliiga B table, Tallinna Kalev II sit 9th with 30 points from 32 games, while Parnu JK Vaprus U21 are 5th with 50 points from 32.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Narva U21 | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 74:36 | +38 | 69 |
| 2 | Levadia U19 | 32 | 20 | 2 | 10 | 80:52 | +28 | 62 |
| 3 | Phoenix | 32 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 72:72 | 0 | 54 |
| 4 | Luunja | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 79:65 | +14 | 53 |
| 5 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 98:64 | +34 | 50 |
| 6 | Tulevik | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 83:65 | +18 | 50 |
| 7 | Tartu Kalev | 32 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 72:62 | +10 | 47 |
| 8 | JK Tabasalu | 32 | 10 | 3 | 19 | 46:85 | -39 | 33 |
| 9 | Tallinna Kalev II | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 64:79 | -15 | 30 |
| 10 | Legion | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 30:118 | -88 | 13 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.14 | 5.00 | 7.7% |
| 1xBet | 1.12 | 5.00 | 9.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.14 | 5.00 | 7.7% |
| Average | 1.13 | 5.00 | 8.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.12 | 5.06 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.12 | 4.85 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.12 | 5.06 | 9.0% |
| Average | 1.12 | 4.96 | 9.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Tallinna Kalev II at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Parnu JK Vaprus U21 at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.32 | 4.33 | 2.22, which imply roughly 23.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Esiliiga B table: Tallinna Kalev II are 9th (30 pts, 64-79 goals), Parnu JK Vaprus U21 5th (50 pts, 98-64).
Over their last five matches, Tallinna Kalev II averaged 2.2 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; Parnu JK Vaprus U21 averaged 5.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Parnu JK Vaprus U21 and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.36 | 4.29 | 2.18 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.56 | 1.47 | 1.14 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.90 | 1.78 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.12 | 4.96 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | 2.92 | 2.50 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.83 | 34.0 | 1.83 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 1.02 | 13.0 |
| 2.5 | 1.13 | 5.00 |
| 3.5 | 1.32 | 2.88 |
| 4.5 | 1.77 | 1.90 |
| 5.5 | 2.59 | 1.40 |
| 6.5 | 3.90 | 1.20 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1.12 | 4.75 |
| 3.75 | 1.39 | 2.62 |
| 4 | 1.45 | 2.42 |
| 4.25 | 1.61 | 2.10 |
| 4.75 | 1.92 | 1.74 |
| 5 | 2.17 | 1.57 |
| 5.25 | 2.37 | 1.47 |
| 5.75 | 2.92 | 1.31 |
| 6 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.10 | 1.63 |
| -0.25 | 2.14 | 1.58 |
| 0 | 1.94 | 1.76 |
| +0.25 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
| +0.5 | 1.62 | 2.13 |
| +0.75 | 1.46 | 2.40 |
8 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 6.55 | 1.05 |
| -1.5 | 3.96 | 1.17 |
| -1 | 3.34 | 1.24 |
| -0.75 | 2.71 | 1.36 |
| +1 | 1.33 | 2.84 |
| +1.25 | 1.27 | 3.14 |
| +1.5 | 1.23 | 3.42 |
| +2 | 1.08 | 5.50 |