Sport Recife vs Goias• Serie B, Brazil

#101.2:1.63-0FT14/11 · Ilha do Retiro, Recife1.4:0.2#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.80BFRX3.67PIN22.41PINMargin at best4.5%Books10Markets84Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.80	3.67	2.41	4.5%
Dafabet	2.80	3.60	2.41	5.0%
Bet365	2.70	3.60	2.40	6.5%
Betano	2.72	3.50	2.40	7.0%
Betfair	2.80	3.50	2.30	7.8%
1xBet	2.78	3.50	2.30	8.0%
Marathonbet	2.76	3.50	2.28	8.7%
William Hill	2.62	3.40	2.38	9.6%
BetVictor	2.70	3.30	2.30	10.8%
SBO	2.60	3.13	2.24	15.1%
Best of all books	2.80	3.67	2.41	4.5%
Average	2.73	3.47	2.34	8.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sport RecifeGoias

Last 10#10Table position#71.49Points per game1.575Form pts · last 5131.2Goals for · last 51.41.6Goals against · last 50.246Attack rating5411Defence rating8928Form rating7238H2H rating6258Goals model4236Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 00:10 UTC

Sport Recife

4W 2D 4L · goals 14:16 · per match 1.4 for, 1.6 against

6 Nov	A	Operario-PR	2-3	L
31 Oct	A	Botafogo SP	1-1	D
24 Oct	H	Criciuma	2-1	W
16 Oct	H	Fortaleza EC	0-2	L
11 Oct	A	Atletico Goianiense	1-1	D
6 Oct	H	São Bernardo	2-1	W
1 Oct	A	Athletic Club	2-1	W
26 Sep	A	Nautico Recife	1-3	L
19 Sep	H	Juventude	2-1	W
16 Sep	A	CRB	1-2	L

Goias

7W 1D 2L · goals 14:8 · per match 1.4 for, 0.8 against

8 Nov	H	Ponte Preta	1-0	W
2 Nov	H	CRB	2-1	W
27 Oct	A	Ceara	2-0	W
19 Oct	H	Nautico Recife	0-0	D
11 Oct	A	Operario-PR	2-0	W
6 Oct	H	Athletic Club	2-1	W
2 Oct	A	Novorizontino	0-3	L
26 Sep	H	Atletico Goianiense	0-1	L
20 Sep	H	Avai	2-1	W
14 Sep	A	Botafogo SP	3-1	W

Head to head

2Sport Recife wins

3draws

4Goias wins

9 meetings · goals 5:9 · last 9: 2W 3D 4L for Sport Recife

22 Jul 2026Serie B	Serie B	Goias1-1Sport Recife
19 Sep 2024Serie B	Serie B	Sport Recife1-1Goias
1 Jun 2024Serie B	Serie B	Goias3-0Sport Recife
26 Dec 2020Serie A	Serie A	Goias1-0Sport Recife
6 Sep 2020Serie A	Serie A	Sport Recife2-1Goias
10 Sep 2015Serie A	Serie A	Goias1-0Sport Recife
5 Jun 2015Serie A	Serie A	Sport Recife1-0Goias
23 Oct 2014Serie A	Serie A	Sport Recife0-1Goias
20 Jul 2014Serie A	Serie A	Goias0-0Sport Recife

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 14 Nov 02:10 UTC

In the Serie B table, Sport Recife sit 10th with 55 points from 37 games, while Goias are 7th with 58 points from 37.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Novorizontino	37	20	10	7	66:32	+34	70
2	Juventude	37	19	11	7	49:26	+23	68
3	Vila Nova	37	19	9	9	53:38	+15	66
4	Criciuma	37	18	8	11	38:31	+7	62
5	Fortaleza EC	37	16	14	7	44:33	+11	62
6	CRB	37	17	7	13	57:51	+6	58
7	Goias	37	17	7	13	39:41	-2	58
8	Atletico Goianiense	37	15	13	9	45:35	+10	58
9	Operario-PR	38	16	9	13	51:50	+1	57
10	Sport Recife	37	14	13	10	50:42	+8	55
11	São Bernardo	38	14	11	13	54:44	+10	53
12	Botafogo SP	37	14	9	14	45:39	+6	51
13	Athletic Club	38	11	15	12	46:46	0	48
14	Cuiaba	37	11	14	12	34:32	+2	47
15	Nautico Recife	38	12	10	16	41:51	-10	46
16	Ceara	37	11	10	16	38:47	-9	43
17	Avai	37	11	7	19	35:47	-12	40
18	Londrina	38	9	8	21	47:59	-12	35
19	America Mineiro	37	8	5	24	27:55	-28	29
20	Ponte Preta	38	3	6	29	21:81	-60	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.73X27%3.47240%2.34

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.01 → 2.73 -9.3%X3.57 → 3.47 -2.8%22.15 → 2.34 +8.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.81	2.03	4.5%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
1xBet	1.76	1.98	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.98	7.3%
Betano	1.75	1.98	7.6%
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
BetVictor	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Best of all books	1.81	2.03	4.5%
Average	1.76	1.99	7.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
William Hill	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
BetVictor	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.61	2.18	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.15	8.6%
Betano	1.62	2.12	8.9%
Best of all books	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Average	1.61	2.18	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sport Recife 10%Draw 45%Goias 45%

The statistical model rated Sport Recife at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Goias at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.73 | 3.47 | 2.34, which imply roughly 28.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Sport Recife are 10th (55 pts, 50-42 goals), Goias 7th (58 pts, 39-41).

Over their last five matches, Sport Recife averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Goias averaged 1.4 scored and 0.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Goias.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Sport Recife

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Soso

Goalkeeper

26Thiago Couto

Defence

68Augusto
28Habraão
3Marcelo Ajul
96Edson

Midfield

6Biel
7Patrick de Paula
30Chrystian Barletta
20D. Hernández
10C. de Pena

Attack

9Perotti

Substitutes (12)

63Patrick Jorge De Oliveira Ferraz
88Fernando Sobral
25Clayson
23Zé Gabriel
80K. Andrade
8Juan Alano
27Claudinho
19Neto Pessoa
76Raí
75A. Maron
21Brenno
60Felipinho

Goias

4-2-3-1

Coach: Mozart

Goalkeeper

23Tadeu

Defence

54Djalma Silva
3Luiz Felipe
14Lucas Ribeiro
6Nicolas

Midfield

97Lourenço
5Filipe Machado
11Felipe Clemente
28Gegê
40Kadu

Attack

18Cadu

Substitutes (12)

2Rodrigo Soares
10Lucas Lima
55Guilherme Baldória
25Luis Fellipe
66Danilo Cunha
17Pedro Junqueira
1Thiago Rodrigues
27Wellington Rato
8Juninho
77Halerrandrio
9Anselmo Ramon
21Jean Carlos Alves Ferreira

Match Statistics

Sport RecifeGoias

2.02Expected Goals1.92

278Passes accurate361

7Shots insidebox16

5Shots outsidebox5

1Blocked Shots5

15Free Kicks11

7Shots on Goal3

3Goalkeeper Saves4

4Shots off Goal13

336Total passes416

1Red Cards0

12Total Shots21

3Yellow Cards3

4Corner Kicks9

14Fouls15

43%Ball Possession57%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.73	3.47	2.34

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.54	1.39	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.99	1.73

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.61	2.18

1st half

1	X	2
3.28	2.22	2.87

2nd half

1	X	2
2.98	2.49	2.64

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.50	13.2	23.9
HT X	6.63	5.60	5.78
HT 2	25.9	13.3	3.61

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.05	12.8	1.83

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.3
1.5	1.22	3.81
2.5	1.76	1.99
3.5	2.84	1.36
4.5	5.34	1.12
5.5	10.0	1.04
6.5	23.0	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.00
1.25	1.10	5.10
1.75	1.25	3.29
2	1.32	2.89
2.25	1.56	2.29
2.75	1.95	1.79
3	2.27	1.55
3.25	2.56	1.45
3.75	3.44	1.23
4	4.60	1.13
4.25	4.96	1.11
4.75	6.70	1.05
5	9.00	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.70	1.44
-0.25	2.34	1.54
0	2.03	1.74
+0.25	1.73	2.03
+0.5	1.60	2.27
+0.75	1.40	2.74

15 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.5	1.03
-2	9.60	1.01
-1.75	7.40	1.03
-1.5	5.53	1.11
-1.25	5.07	1.12
-1	4.62	1.16
-0.75	3.29	1.29
+1	1.26	3.51
+1.25	1.20	4.09
+1.5	1.18	4.30
+1.75	1.09	5.85
+2	1.05	7.75
+2.25	1.07	6.50
+2.5	1.05	9.78
+3.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
5.5	2.10	1.67

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.07	5.30
8.5	1.23	3.44
9.5	1.45	2.50
10.5	1.77	1.95
11.5	2.12	1.66
12.5	2.82	1.35
13.5	3.87	1.18
14.5	5.77	1.05
15.5	7.08	1.01

22 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.08	5.08
8	1.10	4.85
8.25	1.16	3.98
8.75	1.25	3.26
9	1.28	3.10
9.25	1.37	2.73
9.75	1.51	2.35
10	1.59	2.23
10.25	1.68	2.06
10.75	1.86	1.84
11	1.95	1.82
11.25	2.09	1.66
11.75	2.36	1.50
12	2.54	1.45
12.25	2.72	1.37
12.75	3.16	1.27
13	3.61	1.20
13.25	3.77	1.18
13.75	4.51	1.12
14	5.38	1.07
14.25	5.57	1.06
15	6.68	1.02

Latest Serie B results

14 Nov	Atletico Goianiense 1-0 Cuiaba
14 Nov	Juventude 2-0 Botafogo SP
14 Nov	Fortaleza EC 1-0 Vila Nova
14 Nov	CRB 1-1 Ceara
14 Nov	Criciuma 0-1 Novorizontino
14 Nov	America Mineiro 0-2 Avai