Juventude vs Botafogo SP• Serie B, Brazil

#22.4:1.42-0FTToday · Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias Sul1.8:0.2#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.47BTNX4.67PIN29.65PINMargin7.6%Books10Markets93Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.47	4.45	8.50	2.3%
Dafabet	1.42	4.50	8.20	4.8%
Pinnacle	1.36	4.67	9.65	5.3%
Bet365	1.44	4.10	8.00	6.3%
William Hill	1.40	4.33	7.50	7.9%
1xBet	1.39	4.40	7.55	7.9%
Marathonbet	1.38	4.40	7.50	8.5%
Betfair	1.33	4.50	8.50	9.2%
BetVictor	1.36	4.10	7.50	11.3%
SBO	1.36	3.89	6.47	14.7%
Best of all books	1.47	4.67	9.65	-0.2%
Average	1.39	4.33	7.94	7.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

JuventudeBotafogo SP

Last 10#2Table position#121.84Points per game1.389Form pts · last 5132.4Goals for · last 51.81.4Goals against · last 50.257Attack rating4313Defence rating8841Form rating5938H2H rating6275Goals model2545Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 00:10 UTC

Juventude

5W 3D 2L · goals 19:11 · per match 1.9 for, 1.1 against

7 Nov	A	Cuiaba	2-1	W
31 Oct	A	Vila Nova	2-2	D
26 Oct	H	Nautico Recife	4-0	W
17 Oct	A	Ceara	2-2	D
11 Oct	H	São Bernardo	2-2	D
7 Oct	A	Ponte Preta	2-0	W
2 Oct	H	Operario-PR	3-0	W
28 Sep	A	America Mineiro	1-0	W
19 Sep	A	Sport Recife	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Athletic Club	0-2	L

Botafogo SP

6W 2D 2L · goals 15:7 · per match 1.5 for, 0.7 against

5 Nov	H	Londrina	4-0	W
31 Oct	H	Sport Recife	1-1	D
24 Oct	A	Avai	2-0	W
18 Oct	A	CRB	1-0	W
13 Oct	H	Ceara	1-0	W
7 Oct	A	Operario-PR	2-1	W
3 Oct	H	Vila Nova	0-1	L
29 Sep	H	Ponte Preta	2-0	W
19 Sep	A	Athletic Club	1-1	D
14 Sep	H	Goias	1-3	L

Head to head

1Juventude wins

4draws

2Botafogo SP wins

7 meetings · goals 7:8 · last 7: 1W 4D 2L for Juventude

24 Jul 2026Serie B	Serie B	Botafogo SP4-2Juventude
29 Jul 2023Serie B	Serie B	Botafogo SP0-2Juventude
15 Apr 2023Serie B	Serie B	Juventude1-2Botafogo SP
2 Dec 2020Serie B	Serie B	Botafogo SP1-1Juventude
29 Aug 2020Serie B	Serie B	Juventude0-0Botafogo SP
28 Aug 2016Serie C	Serie C	Juventude0-0Botafogo SP
26 Jun 2016Serie C	Serie C	Botafogo SP1-1Juventude

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 14 Nov 02:10 UTC

In the Serie B table, Juventude sit 2nd with 68 points from 37 games, while Botafogo SP are 12th with 51 points from 37.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Novorizontino	37	20	10	7	66:32	+34	70
2	Juventude	37	19	11	7	49:26	+23	68
3	Vila Nova	37	19	9	9	53:38	+15	66
4	Criciuma	37	18	8	11	38:31	+7	62
5	Fortaleza EC	37	16	14	7	44:33	+11	62
6	CRB	37	17	7	13	57:51	+6	58
7	Goias	37	17	7	13	39:41	-2	58
8	Atletico Goianiense	37	15	13	9	45:35	+10	58
9	Operario-PR	38	16	9	13	51:50	+1	57
10	Sport Recife	37	14	13	10	50:42	+8	55
11	São Bernardo	38	14	11	13	54:44	+10	53
12	Botafogo SP	37	14	9	14	45:39	+6	51
13	Athletic Club	38	11	15	12	46:46	0	48
14	Cuiaba	37	11	14	12	34:32	+2	47
15	Nautico Recife	38	12	10	16	41:51	-10	46
16	Ceara	37	11	10	16	38:47	-9	43
17	Avai	37	11	7	19	35:47	-12	40
18	Londrina	38	9	8	21	47:59	-12	35
19	America Mineiro	37	8	5	24	27:55	-28	29
20	Ponte Preta	38	3	6	29	21:81	-60	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg167%1.39X21%4.33212%7.94

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.44 → 1.39 -3.5%X4.03 → 4.33 +7.4%27.31 → 7.94 +8.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.93	1.90	4.4%
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Betano	1.93	1.85	5.9%
1xBet	1.87	1.86	7.2%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.86	7.2%
Betfair	1.91	1.80	7.9%
BetVictor	1.86	1.81	9.0%
Best of all books	1.95	1.90	3.9%
Average	1.90	1.85	6.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.10	1.67	7.5%
William Hill	2.10	1.67	7.5%
1xBet	2.11	1.65	8.0%
Betfair	2.25	1.57	8.1%
Betano	2.07	1.67	8.2%
BetVictor	2.10	1.65	8.2%
Marathonbet	2.11	1.63	8.7%
Best of all books	2.25	1.67	4.3%
Average	2.12	1.64	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Juventude 10%Draw 45%Botafogo SP 45%

The statistical model rated Juventude at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Botafogo SP at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.39 | 4.33 | 7.94, which imply roughly 23.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Juventude are 2nd (68 pts, 49-26 goals), Botafogo SP 12th (51 pts, 45-39).

Over their last five matches, Juventude averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Botafogo SP averaged 1.8 scored and 0.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Botafogo SP.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Juventude

3-4-3

Coach: Maurício Barbieri

Goalkeeper

93Jandrei

Defence

34Rodrigo Sam
4Messias
47Marcos Paulo

Midfield

13Aderlan
75Raí
29Gabriel Pires
16Diogo Barbosa

Attack

11Fábio Lima
25Alisson Safira
10Marcos Paulo

Substitutes (12)

30Patryck
72Lucas Alves
18L. Amarilla
97Gabriel Pinheiro
3Titi
5Luan Gonçalves
70Juan Christian
12Pedro Rocha
28Alan Ruschel
8Lucas Mineiro
9Alan Kardec
44Mandaca

Botafogo SP

5-4-1

Coach: Cláudio Tencati

Goalkeeper

12Jordan

Defence

22Gabriel Inocêncio
27Darlan
4Vilar
13Wallace
31Pedro Henrique

Midfield

28Marco Antônio
5L. Maciel
10Rafael Gava
29Thiago Henrique

Attack

30Zé Hugo

Substitutes (8)

21Jadson Alves de Lima
34Badaró
1Victor Souza
25Brenno
23Wesley Pinheiro Santos
19Erik Rebello
20Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceição
18Arthur Caíke

Match Statistics

JuventudeBotafogo SP

0.82Expected Goals0.49

363Passes accurate367

9Shots insidebox2

11Shots outsidebox7

6Blocked Shots4

14Free Kicks15

4Shots on Goal2

2Goalkeeper Saves2

10Shots off Goal3

429Total passes429

20Total Shots9

2Yellow Cards3

7Corner Kicks1

17Fouls15

0Red Cards0

51%Ball Possession49%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.39	4.33	7.94

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.07	2.77	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.11	5.97

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.12	1.64

1st half

1	X	2
1.90	2.29	7.14

2nd half

1	X	2
1.74	2.64	6.54

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.01	17.5	61.1
HT X	3.96	6.06	14.7
HT 2	24.5	19.1	13.2

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.36	11.1	3.54

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.35
1.5	1.28	3.36
2.5	1.90	1.85
3.5	3.24	1.30
4.5	6.37	1.09
5.5	12.5	1.03
6.5	23.3	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.90
1	1.01	8.50
1.25	1.13	4.61
1.75	1.36	2.86
2	1.44	2.58
2.25	1.67	2.10
2.75	2.12	1.65
3	2.55	1.45
3.25	2.84	1.35
3.75	3.87	1.19
4	5.25	1.09
4.25	5.65	1.08
5	6.50	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.62	1.44
-1.5	2.24	1.61
-1.25	1.95	1.80
-1	1.65	2.14
-0.75	1.47	2.50
-0.5	1.40	2.84

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4	14.5	1.08
-3.5	8.30	1.04
-3.25	7.80	1.02
-3	7.27	1.05
-2.75	5.24	1.12
-2.5	4.03	1.19
-2.25	3.78	1.23
-2	3.39	1.27
-0.25	1.23	3.73
0	1.10	5.81
+0.25	1.07	6.37
+0.5	1.08	8.50
+0.75	1.01	8.98
+1.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.67	2.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.01	7.09
7.5	1.14	4.24
8.5	1.32	2.98
9.5	1.60	2.20
10.5	1.97	1.76
11.5	2.53	1.45
12.5	3.41	1.25
13.5	5.00	1.09
14.5	6.92	1.02

23 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.02	6.81
7	1.03	6.54
7.25	1.08	5.08
7.75	1.16	4.03
8	1.18	3.83
8.25	1.26	3.24
8.75	1.37	2.72
9	1.44	2.58
9.25	1.52	2.32
9.75	1.69	2.04
10	1.81	1.93
10.25	1.89	1.81
10.75	2.12	1.63
11	2.30	1.55
11.25	2.42	1.48
11.75	2.80	1.35
12	3.14	1.27
12.25	3.30	1.25
12.75	3.92	1.17
13	4.63	1.11
13.25	4.82	1.10
13.75	5.88	1.05
14	7.26	1.01

Latest Serie B results

14 Nov	Atletico Goianiense 1-0 Cuiaba
14 Nov	Sport Recife 3-0 Goias
14 Nov	Fortaleza EC 1-0 Vila Nova
14 Nov	CRB 1-1 Ceara
14 Nov	Criciuma 0-1 Novorizontino
14 Nov	America Mineiro 0-2 Avai