Busan Transportation vs Yeoju Sejong• K3 League, South-Korea

#42.0:2.82-1FT10/10 · Busan Gudeok Stadium, Busan1.0:1.2#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.07BTNX3.50BFR23.60B365Margin at best4.7%Books8Markets45Rating55 · 46Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 00:47 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.00	3.55	3.50	6.7%
Betano	2.02	3.40	3.45	7.9%
Pinnacle	1.97	3.33	3.51	9.3%
Betfair	1.91	3.50	3.40	10.3%
1xBet	1.93	3.30	3.47	10.9%
Bet365	1.83	3.40	3.60	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.91	3.30	3.38	12.2%
William Hill	1.95	3.10	3.30	13.8%
Best of all books	2.02	3.55	3.60	5.5%
Average	1.94	3.36	3.45	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Busan TransportationYeoju Sejong

Last 10#4Table position#101.67Points per game1.174Form pts · last 562.0Goals for · last 51.02.8Goals against · last 51.267Attack rating3330Defence rating7040Form rating6062H2H rating3868Goals model3255Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 03:20 UTC

Busan Transportation

5W 2D 3L · goals 21:19 · per match 2.1 for, 1.9 against

4 Oct	A	Mokpo City	1-3	L
13 Sep	A	Dangjin Citizen	3-5	L
6 Sep	A	Gangneung City	1-1	D
30 Aug	A	Ulsan Citizen	1-2	L
22 Aug	H	Changwon City	4-3	W
29 Jul	H	Jinju Citizen	1-1	D
26 Jul	A	Yangpyeong	4-2	W
15 Jul	H	Suwon Bluewings	2-1	W
11 Jul	A	Siheung Citizen	2-0	W
5 Jul	H	Gijang United	2-1	W

Yeoju Sejong

4W 1D 5L · goals 10:10 · per match 1.0 for, 1.0 against

3 Oct	H	Jeonbuk Motors II	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Chuncheon	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	Pocheon	0-1	L
30 Aug	A	Mokpo City	0-1	L
22 Aug	A	Dangjin Citizen	2-1	W
29 Jul	H	Dangjin Citizen	0-1	L
25 Jul	A	Gangneung City	1-1	D
15 Jul	A	Gyeongnam FC	1-0	W
10 Jul	A	Ulsan Citizen	0-1	L
5 Jul	A	Pyeongtaek Citizen	3-1	W

Head to head

2Busan Transportation wins

2draws

1Yeoju Sejong wins

5 meetings · goals 6:4 · last 5: 2W 2D 1L for Busan Transportation

16 May 2026K3 League	K3 League	Yeoju Sejong1-1Busan Transportation
5 Jul 2025K3 League	K3 League	Yeoju Sejong1-3Busan Transportation
1 Mar 2025K3 League	K3 League	Busan Transportation1-1Yeoju Sejong
28 Sep 2024K3 League	K3 League	Yeoju Sejong0-1Busan Transportation
1 Jun 2024K3 League	K3 League	Busan Transportation0-1Yeoju Sejong

K3 League tableK3 Leagueupdated 10 Oct 14:06 UTC

In the K3 League table, Busan Transportation sit 4th with 40 points from 24 games, while Yeoju Sejong are 10th with 28 points from 24.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Siheung Citizen	23	17	4	2	37:20	+17	55
2	Pocheon	24	14	7	3	41:20	+21	49
3	Daejeon Korail	24	12	5	7	33:19	+14	41
4	Busan Transportation	24	11	7	6	42:30	+12	40
5	Gyeongju HNP	23	9	8	6	35:31	+4	35
6	Dangjin Citizen	24	10	4	10	47:39	+8	34
7	Chuncheon	24	9	6	9	42:37	+5	33
8	Changwon City	24	7	8	9	27:31	-4	29
9	Ulsan Citizen	24	8	4	12	25:28	-3	28
10	Yeoju Sejong	24	7	7	10	27:31	-4	28
11	Gangneung City	23	7	6	10	21:32	-11	27
12	Mokpo City	23	5	9	9	22:36	-14	24
13	Yangpyeong	24	4	8	12	30:46	-16	20
14	Jeonbuk Motors II	24	1	7	16	25:54	-29	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.94X27%3.33226%3.48

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.92 → 1.95 +1.6%X3.29 → 3.35 +1.8%23.45 → 3.43 -0.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.87	1.92	5.6%
Betano	1.85	1.90	6.7%
Betfair	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Best of all books	1.87	1.95	4.8%
Average	1.83	1.90	7.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.68	1.99	9.8%
William Hill	1.70	1.95	10.1%
Best of all books	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Average	1.68	2.02	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Busan Transportation 45%Draw 45%Yeoju Sejong 10%

The statistical model rated Busan Transportation at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Yeoju Sejong at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.94 | 3.33 | 3.48, which imply roughly 51.5% for a Busan Transportation win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the K3 League table: Busan Transportation are 4th (40 pts, 42-30 goals), Yeoju Sejong 10th (28 pts, 27-31).

Over their last five matches, Busan Transportation averaged 2 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Yeoju Sejong averaged 1 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Busan Transportation or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.94	3.36	3.45

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.24	1.75	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.45	2.54

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.68	2.02

1st half

1	X	2
2.51	2.15	3.98

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.68	9.40	2.40

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	9.03
1.5	1.25	3.46
2.5	1.84	1.90
3.5	2.95	1.33
4.5	5.63	1.09
5.5	10.0	1.03
6.5	10.8	1.02

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.30
1	1.02	7.80
1.25	1.13	4.55
1.75	1.31	3.04
2	1.40	2.68
2.25	1.61	2.14
2.75	2.03	1.67
3	2.42	1.49
3.25	2.69	1.38
3.75	3.58	1.21
4	4.80	1.12
4.25	5.15	1.10
5	9.30	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.78	1.37
-0.75	2.20	1.57
-0.5	1.98	1.80
-0.25	1.68	2.02
0	1.44	2.55
+0.25	1.33	2.93

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.95	1.04
-2	6.20	1.06
-1.75	4.35	1.14
-1.5	3.42	1.23
-1.25	3.10	1.29
+0.75	1.15	4.20
+1	1.06	6.30
+1.25	1.04	6.75
+1.5	1.04	7.10

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