Yangpyeong vs
Ulsan Citizen• K3 League, South-Korea
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 02:53 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.55 | 7.1% |
| Betano | 2.57 | 3.30 | 2.57 | 8.1% |
| Pinnacle | 2.51 | 3.35 | 2.53 | 9.2% |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.55 | 9.7% |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.20 | 2.55 | 11.3% |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.40 | 12.1% |
| 1xBet | 2.53 | 3.15 | 2.44 | 12.3% |
| Marathonbet | 2.53 | 3.15 | 2.44 | 12.3% |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.45 | 13.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.57 | 6.8% |
| Average | 2.53 | 3.23 | 2.50 | 10.5% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 04:21 UTC
Yangpyeong
2W 2D 6L · goals 24:26 · per match 2.4 for, 2.6 against
| 3 Oct | A | Changwon City | 1-2 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Pocheon | 0-2 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | Siheung Citizen | 1-3 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Daejeon Korail | 1-2 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | Gyeongju HNP | 3-3 | D |
| 26 Jul | H | Busan Transportation | 2-4 | L |
| 15 Jul | A | Hwaseong | 3-4 | L |
| 12 Jul | H | Jeonbuk Motors II | 5-2 | W |
| 4 Jul | A | Ulsan FC | 5-1 | W |
| 27 Jun | A | Chuncheon | 3-3 | D |
Ulsan Citizen
6W 0D 4L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against
| 3 Oct | H | Siheung Citizen | 1-2 | L |
| 11 Sep | A | Daejeon Korail | 1-0 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Gyeongju HNP | 1-2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Busan Transportation | 2-1 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | Jeonbuk Motors II | 1-0 | W |
| 19 Aug | H | Gwangju FC | 0-1 | L |
| 29 Jul | H | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 1-0 | W |
| 26 Jul | A | Chuncheon | 1-2 | L |
| 15 Jul | H | Seoul E-Land FC | 4-2 | W |
| 10 Jul | H | Yeoju Sejong | 1-0 | W |
Head to head
7 meetings · goals 6:6 · last 7: 2W 3D 2L for Yangpyeong
| 16 May 2026K3 League | K3 League | Ulsan Citizen0-0Yangpyeong |
| 25 Oct 2025K3 League | K3 League | Ulsan Citizen0-1Yangpyeong |
| 15 Jun 2025K3 League | K3 League | Yangpyeong2-0Ulsan Citizen |
| 28 Jun 2024K3 League | K3 League | Ulsan Citizen3-2Yangpyeong |
| 3 Mar 2024K3 League | K3 League | Yangpyeong0-2Ulsan Citizen |
| 11 Nov 2023K3 League | K3 League | Ulsan Citizen0-0Yangpyeong |
| 17 Jun 2023K3 League | K3 League | Yangpyeong1-1Ulsan Citizen |
K3 League tableK3 Leagueupdated 10 Oct 14:06 UTC
In the K3 League table, Yangpyeong sit 13th with 20 points from 24 games, while Ulsan Citizen are 9th with 28 points from 24.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siheung Citizen | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 37:20 | +17 | 55 |
| 2 | Pocheon | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 41:20 | +21 | 49 |
| 3 | Daejeon Korail | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 33:19 | +14 | 41 |
| 4 | Busan Transportation | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 42:30 | +12 | 40 |
| 5 | Gyeongju HNP | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 35:31 | +4 | 35 |
| 6 | Dangjin Citizen | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 47:39 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 | Chuncheon | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 42:37 | +5 | 33 |
| 8 | Changwon City | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27:31 | -4 | 29 |
| 9 | Ulsan Citizen | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Yeoju Sejong | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 27:31 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 | Gangneung City | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21:32 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Mokpo City | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 22:36 | -14 | 24 |
| 13 | Yangpyeong | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 30:46 | -16 | 20 |
| 14 | Jeonbuk Motors II | 24 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 25:54 | -29 | 10 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.5% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.02 | 1.78 | 5.7% |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 1.75 | 5.9% |
| Betano | 2.00 | 1.75 | 7.1% |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 1.75 | 8.4% |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 1.73 | 9.1% |
| 1xBet | 1.96 | 1.72 | 9.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.96 | 1.72 | 9.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.05 | 1.78 | 5.0% |
| Average | 1.98 | 1.74 | 7.8% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.78 | 1.93 | 8.0% |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 1.95 | 8.4% |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 1.95 | 8.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.74 | 1.94 | 9.0% |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 1.91 | 9.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.74 | 1.91 | 9.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.78 | 1.95 | 7.5% |
| Average | 1.75 | 1.93 | 8.9% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Yangpyeong at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Ulsan Citizen at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.53 | 3.23 | 2.50, which imply roughly 31% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the K3 League table: Yangpyeong are 13th (20 pts, 30-46 goals), Ulsan Citizen 9th (28 pts, 25-28).
Over their last five matches, Yangpyeong averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Ulsan Citizen averaged 1.2 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Ulsan Citizen.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.53 | 3.23 | 2.50 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.45 | 1.43 | 1.28 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.85 | 1.83 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.75 | 1.93 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.20 | 2.06 | 3.16 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.99 | 9.25 | 1.99 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 8.41 |
| 1.5 | 1.30 | 3.14 |
| 2.5 | 1.98 | 1.74 |
| 3.5 | 3.50 | 1.24 |
| 4.5 | 6.78 | 1.06 |
| 5.5 | 12.3 | 1.02 |
12 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.01 | 8.68 |
| 1 | 1.02 | 7.90 |
| 1.25 | 1.15 | 4.30 |
| 1.75 | 1.38 | 2.73 |
| 2 | 1.50 | 2.37 |
| 2.25 | 1.74 | 1.95 |
| 2.75 | 2.26 | 1.55 |
| 3 | 2.76 | 1.37 |
| 3.25 | 3.12 | 1.29 |
| 3.75 | 4.39 | 1.14 |
| 4 | 6.25 | 1.06 |
| 4.25 | 6.65 | 1.05 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.50 | 1.48 |
| -0.25 | 2.18 | 1.59 |
| 0 | 1.87 | 1.85 |
| +0.25 | 1.60 | 2.15 |
| +0.5 | 1.48 | 2.49 |
| +0.75 | 1.31 | 2.99 |
12 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9.65 | 1.01 |
| -2 | 8.65 | 1.02 |
| -1.75 | 7.60 | 1.03 |
| -1.5 | 5.60 | 1.08 |
| -1.25 | 5.10 | 1.10 |
| -1 | 4.55 | 1.13 |
| -0.75 | 3.05 | 1.30 |
| +1 | 1.18 | 4.09 |
| +1.25 | 1.12 | 4.80 |
| +1.5 | 1.09 | 5.30 |
| +1.75 | 1.04 | 7.55 |
| +2 | 1.02 | 9.40 |