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Daejeon Korail vs Dangjin Citizen• K3 League, South-Korea

#31.0:1.00-1FT10/103.4:2.6#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.69DAFX3.80DAF24.75B365Margin at best6.5%Books9Markets49Rating60 · 40Exp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 08:47 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.693.804.706.8%
Pinnacle1.683.744.627.9%
Betano1.673.754.608.3%
BetVictor1.653.704.509.9%
1xBet1.633.564.6610.9%
Betfair1.623.704.5011.0%
Bet3651.573.754.7511.4%
William Hill1.673.404.4012.0%
Marathonbet1.613.564.5512.2%
Best of all books1.693.804.756.5%
Average1.643.664.5910.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Daejeon KorailDangjin Citizen
Last 10#3Table position#61.71Points per game1.429Form pts · last 541.0Goals for · last 53.41.0Goals against · last 52.623Attack rating7772Defence rating2860Form rating40100H2H rating066Goals model3460Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 11:50 UTC

Daejeon Korail

5W 1D 4L · goals 11:9 · per match 1.1 for, 0.9 against

2 OctHGangneung City2-1W
11 SepHUlsan Citizen0-1L
5 SepAChangwon City1-0W
29 AugHYangpyeong2-1W
23 AugASiheung Citizen0-2L
25 JulAPocheon1-1D
11 JulHGyeongju HNP0-1L
4 JulAPocheon0-2L
28 JunABusan Transportation1-0W
20 JunHJeonbuk Motors II4-0W

Dangjin Citizen

5W 2D 3L · goals 25:16 · per match 2.5 for, 1.6 against

4 OctHGyeongju HNP2-3L
13 SepHBusan Transportation5-3W
29 AugHChuncheon3-4L
22 AugHYeoju Sejong1-2L
19 AugAJeonbuk Motors2-2D
29 JulAYeoju Sejong1-0W
25 JulHMokpo City6-1W
18 JulHJeonbuk Motors II2-0W
15 JulAYongin City2-0W
11 JulHPocheon1-1D

Head to head

4Daejeon Korail wins
0draws
0Dangjin Citizen wins

4 meetings · goals 8:2 · last 4: 4W 0D 0L for Daejeon Korail

16 May 2026K3 LeagueK3 LeagueDangjin Citizen0-1Daejeon Korail
9 Mar 2024FA CupFA CupDaejeon Korail3-1Dangjin Citizen
29 Oct 2022K3 LeagueK3 LeagueDangjin Citizen0-1Daejeon Korail
3 Jun 2022K3 LeagueK3 LeagueDaejeon Korail3-1Dangjin Citizen

K3 League tableK3 Leagueupdated 10 Oct 14:06 UTC

In the K3 League table, Daejeon Korail sit 3rd with 41 points from 24 games, while Dangjin Citizen are 6th with 34 points from 24.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Siheung Citizen23174237:20+1755
2Pocheon24147341:20+2149
3Daejeon Korail24125733:19+1441
4Busan Transportation24117642:30+1240
5Gyeongju HNP2398635:31+435
6Dangjin Citizen241041047:39+834
7Chuncheon2496942:37+533
8Changwon City2478927:31-429
9Ulsan Citizen24841225:28-328
10Yeoju Sejong24771027:31-428
11Gangneung City23761021:32-1127
12Mokpo City2359922:36-1424
13Yangpyeong24481230:46-1620
14Jeonbuk Motors II24171625:54-2910

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.64X25%3.66220%4.59

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 11:0110 Oct 08:501 1.64X 3.662 4.59
11.75 → 1.64 -6.3%X3.49 → 3.66 +4.9%23.90 → 4.59 +17.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.782.035.4%
Bet3651.752.055.9%
Betano1.752.007.1%
Betfair1.732.007.8%
1xBet1.741.949.0%
Marathonbet1.741.949.0%
BetVictor1.721.969.2%
Best of all books1.782.055.0%
Average1.741.997.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.751.987.6%
Betfair1.732.007.8%
BetVictor1.702.008.8%
1xBet1.711.989.0%
William Hill1.731.959.1%
Marathonbet1.711.959.8%
Best of all books1.752.007.1%
Average1.721.988.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Daejeon Korail 45%Draw 45%Dangjin Citizen 10%

The statistical model rated Daejeon Korail at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Dangjin Citizen at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.64 | 3.66 | 4.59, which imply roughly 61% for a Daejeon Korail win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the K3 League table: Daejeon Korail are 3rd (41 pts, 33-19 goals), Dangjin Citizen 6th (34 pts, 47-39).

Over their last five matches, Daejeon Korail averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Dangjin Citizen averaged 3.4 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Daejeon Korail or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.643.664.59

Double chance

1XX212
1.162.061.22

Draw no bet

12
1.273.44

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.721.98

1st half

1X2
2.192.224.82

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5511.32.61

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.63
1.51.213.78
2.51.741.99
3.52.841.36
4.55.261.11
5.59.601.03
6.510.51.02
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.058.85
1.251.105.15
1.751.273.23
21.352.87
2.251.542.28
2.751.931.76
32.251.56
3.252.521.44
3.753.421.23
44.651.12
4.255.001.10
4.756.901.04
59.00–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.781.36
-1.252.481.46
-12.131.65
-0.751.831.87
-0.51.702.09
-0.251.442.51
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.757.301.03
-2.55.551.08
-2.255.151.10
-24.701.12
-1.753.421.23
01.253.45
+0.251.173.96
+0.751.076.18
+11.028.35
+1.51.029.05

Latest K3 League results

11 OctGyeongju HNP 1-1 Mokpo City
11 OctGangneung City 2-1 Siheung Citizen
10 OctChangwon City 1-3 Pocheon
10 OctChuncheon 3-2 Jeonbuk Motors II
10 OctBusan Transportation 2-1 Yeoju Sejong
9 OctYangpyeong 2-1 Ulsan Citizen