Changwon City vs Pocheon• K3 League, South-Korea

#81.4:2.21-3FT10/101.4:0.6#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.72PINX3.35DAF22.05BTNMargin at best5.5%Books9Markets45Rating32 · 68Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 00:47 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.75	3.20	2.04	6.9%
Betano	3.70	3.15	2.02	8.3%
Pinnacle	3.71	3.12	1.99	9.3%
BetVictor	3.50	3.20	2.00	9.8%
Betfair	3.60	3.25	1.91	10.9%
1xBet	3.64	3.08	1.96	11.0%
Bet365	3.30	3.25	2.00	11.1%
Marathonbet	3.54	3.08	1.94	12.3%
William Hill	3.40	3.00	2.00	12.7%
Best of all books	3.75	3.25	2.04	6.5%
Average	3.57	3.15	1.98	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Changwon CityPocheon

Last 10#8Table position#21.21Points per game2.043Form pts · last 5101.4Goals for · last 51.42.2Goals against · last 50.650Attack rating5021Defence rating7923Form rating7725H2H rating7541Goals model5932Overall rating68

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 05:50 UTC

Changwon City

2W 3D 5L · goals 15:20 · per match 1.5 for, 2.0 against

3 Oct	H	Yangpyeong	2-1	W
20 Sep	A	Gyeongju HNP	1-2	L
13 Sep	A	Siheung Citizen	1-3	L
5 Sep	H	Daejeon Korail	0-1	L
22 Aug	A	Busan Transportation	3-4	L
26 Jul	H	Jeonbuk Motors II	1-1	D
15 Jul	H	Gimhae City	1-5	L
12 Jul	H	Chuncheon	1-1	D
4 Jul	H	Geumsan Insam	3-0	W
27 Jun	H	Yeoju Sejong	2-2	D

Pocheon

5W 3D 2L · goals 15:8 · per match 1.5 for, 0.8 against

3 Oct	H	Chuncheon	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Yangpyeong	2-0	W
6 Sep	H	Yeoju Sejong	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Siheung Citizen	2-3	L
22 Aug	H	Mokpo City	2-0	W
25 Jul	H	Daejeon Korail	1-1	D
15 Jul	A	Seongnam FC	1-2	L
11 Jul	A	Dangjin Citizen	1-1	D
4 Jul	H	Daejeon Korail	2-0	W
28 Jun	A	Gyeongju HNP	3-1	W

Head to head

1Changwon City wins

8draws

2Pocheon wins

11 meetings · goals 4:5 · last 10: 1W 7D 2L for Changwon City

16 May 2026K3 League	K3 League	Pocheon0-0Changwon City
20 Jul 2025K3 League	K3 League	Changwon City1-2Pocheon
29 Mar 2025K3 League	K3 League	Pocheon1-0Changwon City
27 Jul 2024K3 League	K3 League	Changwon City0-0Pocheon
13 Apr 2024K3 League	K3 League	Pocheon1-1Changwon City
11 Nov 2023K3 League	K3 League	Changwon City0-0Pocheon
17 Jun 2023K3 League	K3 League	Pocheon0-0Changwon City
3 Sep 2022K3 League	K3 League	Pocheon0-0Changwon City
7 May 2022K3 League	K3 League	Changwon City2-1Pocheon
6 Mar 2021FA Cup	FA Cup	Pocheon0-0Changwon City

K3 League tableK3 Leagueupdated 10 Oct 14:06 UTC

In the K3 League table, Changwon City sit 8th with 29 points from 24 games, while Pocheon are 2nd with 49 points from 24.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Siheung Citizen	23	17	4	2	37:20	+17	55
2	Pocheon	24	14	7	3	41:20	+21	49
3	Daejeon Korail	24	12	5	7	33:19	+14	41
4	Busan Transportation	24	11	7	6	42:30	+12	40
5	Gyeongju HNP	23	9	8	6	35:31	+4	35
6	Dangjin Citizen	24	10	4	10	47:39	+8	34
7	Chuncheon	24	9	6	9	42:37	+5	33
8	Changwon City	24	7	8	9	27:31	-4	29
9	Ulsan Citizen	24	8	4	12	25:28	-3	28
10	Yeoju Sejong	24	7	7	10	27:31	-4	28
11	Gangneung City	23	7	6	10	21:32	-11	27
12	Mokpo City	23	5	9	9	22:36	-14	24
13	Yangpyeong	24	4	8	12	30:46	-16	20
14	Jeonbuk Motors II	24	1	7	16	25:54	-29	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg125%3.58X29%3.15246%1.99

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.78 → 3.56 -5.8%X3.18 → 3.16 -0.6%21.87 → 1.99 +6.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Pinnacle	2.16	1.66	6.5%
Betano	2.12	1.67	7.1%
Betfair	2.10	1.65	8.2%
BetVictor	2.07	1.65	8.9%
1xBet	2.10	1.63	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.10	1.63	9.0%
Best of all books	2.16	1.67	6.2%
Average	2.11	1.65	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
BetVictor	1.87	1.83	8.1%
1xBet	1.86	1.81	9.0%
William Hill	1.85	1.80	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.78	9.9%
Best of all books	1.87	1.85	7.5%
Average	1.86	1.82	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Changwon City 10%Draw 45%Pocheon 45%

The statistical model rated Changwon City at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Pocheon at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.58 | 3.15 | 1.99, which imply roughly 31.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the K3 League table: Changwon City are 8th (29 pts, 27-31 goals), Pocheon 2nd (49 pts, 41-20).

Over their last five matches, Changwon City averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Pocheon averaged 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Pocheon.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.57	3.15	1.98

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.71	1.24	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
2.53	1.47

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.86	1.82

1st half

1	X	2
4.24	2.01	2.64

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.43	8.05	1.71

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	7.93
1.5	1.34	2.91
2.5	2.11	1.65
3.5	3.86	1.21
4.5	7.50	1.05
5.5	14.5	1.02

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.40
1	1.05	6.60
1.25	1.18	3.84
1.75	1.43	2.53
2	1.59	2.19
2.25	1.85	1.84
2.75	2.42	1.47
3	3.07	1.30
3.25	3.42	1.23
3.75	4.86	1.11
4	7.10	1.04
4.25	7.50	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.10	1.33
0	2.59	1.42
+0.25	2.00	1.71
+0.5	1.79	1.97
+0.75	1.53	2.31
+1	1.33	2.99

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.80	1.01
-1.25	8.30	1.02
-1	7.70	1.03
-0.75	4.65	1.12
-0.25	3.09	1.30
+1.25	1.25	3.38
+1.5	1.18	3.86
+1.75	1.10	5.05
+2	1.02	7.80
+2.25	1.01	8.30
+2.5	1.01	8.80

Latest K3 League results

11 Oct	Gyeongju HNP 1-1 Mokpo City
11 Oct	Gangneung City 2-1 Siheung Citizen
10 Oct	Daejeon Korail 0-1 Dangjin Citizen
10 Oct	Chuncheon 3-2 Jeonbuk Motors II
10 Oct	Busan Transportation 2-1 Yeoju Sejong
9 Oct	Yangpyeong 2-1 Ulsan Citizen