Dangjin Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP• K3 League, South-Korea

#63.4:2.02-3FT04/101.8:1.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.041XBX3.961XB22.20B365Margin at best3.6%Books7Markets45Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L54.1

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Oct 12:08 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.04	3.96	2.13	5.1%
Betano	3.15	3.40	2.15	7.7%
Pinnacle	3.10	3.45	2.09	9.1%
Betfair	2.88	3.50	2.10	10.9%
Bet365	2.70	3.40	2.20	11.9%
Marathonbet	2.97	3.36	2.05	12.2%
William Hill	2.90	3.40	2.00	13.9%
Best of all books	3.15	3.96	2.20	2.5%
Average	2.96	3.50	2.10	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Dangjin CitizenGyeongju HNP

Last 10#6Table position#51.42Points per game1.524Form pts · last 5133.4Goals for · last 51.82.0Goals against · last 51.065Attack rating3533Defence rating6741Form rating5913H2H rating8857Goals model4340Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 11:50 UTC

Dangjin Citizen

5W 2D 3L · goals 25:16 · per match 2.5 for, 1.6 against

4 Oct	H	Gyeongju HNP	2-3	L
13 Sep	H	Busan Transportation	5-3	W
29 Aug	H	Chuncheon	3-4	L
22 Aug	H	Yeoju Sejong	1-2	L
19 Aug	A	Jeonbuk Motors	2-2	D
29 Jul	A	Yeoju Sejong	1-0	W
25 Jul	H	Mokpo City	6-1	W
18 Jul	H	Jeonbuk Motors II	2-0	W
15 Jul	A	Yongin City	2-0	W
11 Jul	H	Pocheon	1-1	D

Gyeongju HNP

7W 1D 2L · goals 17:14 · per match 1.7 for, 1.4 against

4 Oct	A	Dangjin Citizen	3-2	W
20 Sep	H	Changwon City	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Gangneung City	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	Ulsan Citizen	2-1	W
22 Aug	A	Yangpyeong	3-3	D
25 Jul	H	Siheung Citizen	1-0	W
15 Jul	A	Cheongju	0-4	L
11 Jul	A	Daejeon Korail	1-0	W
5 Jul	H	Seosan Pioneer	3-0	W
28 Jun	H	Pocheon	1-3	L

Head to head

0Dangjin Citizen wins

1draws

2Gyeongju HNP wins

3 meetings · goals 3:7 · last 3: 0W 1D 2L for Dangjin Citizen

10 May 2026K3 League	K3 League	Gyeongju HNP2-2Dangjin Citizen
23 Oct 2022K3 League	K3 League	Gyeongju HNP1-0Dangjin Citizen
9 Apr 2022K3 League	K3 League	Dangjin Citizen1-4Gyeongju HNP

K3 League tableK3 Leagueupdated 10 Oct 14:06 UTC

In the K3 League table, Dangjin Citizen sit 6th with 34 points from 24 games, while Gyeongju HNP are 5th with 35 points from 23.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Siheung Citizen	23	17	4	2	37:20	+17	55
2	Pocheon	24	14	7	3	41:20	+21	49
3	Daejeon Korail	24	12	5	7	33:19	+14	41
4	Busan Transportation	24	11	7	6	42:30	+12	40
5	Gyeongju HNP	23	9	8	6	35:31	+4	35
6	Dangjin Citizen	24	10	4	10	47:39	+8	34
7	Chuncheon	24	9	6	9	42:37	+5	33
8	Changwon City	24	7	8	9	27:31	-4	29
9	Ulsan Citizen	24	8	4	12	25:28	-3	28
10	Yeoju Sejong	24	7	7	10	27:31	-4	28
11	Gangneung City	23	7	6	10	21:32	-11	27
12	Mokpo City	23	5	9	9	22:36	-14	24
13	Yangpyeong	24	4	8	12	30:46	-16	20
14	Jeonbuk Motors II	24	1	7	16	25:54	-29	10

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.90X26%3.53243%2.13

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.96 → 2.90 -2.0%X3.50 → 3.53 +0.9%22.10 → 2.13 +1.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.68	2.18	5.4%
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Pinnacle	1.62	2.22	6.8%
Betano	1.70	2.07	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.62	2.11	9.1%
Best of all books	1.70	2.22	3.9%
Average	1.66	2.14	6.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.57	2.25	8.1%
William Hill	1.53	2.30	8.8%
1xBet	1.53	2.29	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.24	10.0%
Best of all books	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Average	1.54	2.27	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Dangjin Citizen 10%Draw 45%Gyeongju HNP 45%

The statistical model rated Dangjin Citizen at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Gyeongju HNP at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.90 | 3.53 | 2.13, which imply roughly 28.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the K3 League table: Dangjin Citizen are 6th (34 pts, 47-39 goals), Gyeongju HNP 5th (35 pts, 35-31).

Over their last five matches, Dangjin Citizen averaged 3.4 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Gyeongju HNP averaged 1.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Gyeongju HNP and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.96	3.50	2.10

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.63	1.33	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
2.22	1.59

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.54	2.27

1st half

1	X	2
3.45	2.26	2.68

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.09	13.0	1.78

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.00
1.5	1.19	3.98
2.5	1.66	2.14
3.5	2.54	1.46
4.5	4.46	1.16
5.5	7.55	1.04
6.5	10.0	1.02

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.90
1.25	1.09	5.72
1.75	1.21	3.58
2	1.26	3.37
2.25	1.47	2.52
2.75	1.80	1.90
3	2.05	1.69
3.25	2.32	1.56
3.75	2.92	1.31
4	3.76	1.19
4.25	4.17	1.17
4.75	5.45	1.08
5	7.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.62	1.42
0	2.27	1.55
+0.25	1.87	1.85
+0.5	1.71	2.08
+0.75	1.50	2.38
+1	1.32	2.97

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	7.60	1.03
-1.5	5.90	1.07
-1.25	5.50	1.08
-1	5.10	1.10
-0.75	3.58	1.21
-0.5	3.03	1.34
+1.25	1.25	3.28
+1.5	1.20	3.68
+1.75	1.12	4.64
+2	1.05	6.55
+2.5	1.03	7.20

Latest K3 League results

11 Oct	Gangneung City 2-1 Siheung Citizen
11 Oct	Gyeongju HNP 1-1 Mokpo City
10 Oct	Daejeon Korail 0-1 Dangjin Citizen
10 Oct	Changwon City 1-3 Pocheon
10 Oct	Busan Transportation 2-1 Yeoju Sejong
10 Oct	Chuncheon 3-2 Jeonbuk Motors II