Flora II vs Tartu Welco• Esiliiga A, Estonia

#31.6:1.81-2FTToday · Sportland Arena, Tallinn4.0:1.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.50BFRX4.57PIN21.81DAFMargin at best5.7%Books7Markets41Rating30 · 70Exp. goals L54.2

Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 16:33 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.30	4.10	1.81	9.9%
Betfair	3.50	4.20	1.73	10.2%
Pinnacle	3.19	4.57	1.75	10.4%
1xBet	3.24	4.30	1.76	10.9%
Betano	3.25	4.30	1.75	11.2%
Marathonbet	3.18	4.30	1.74	12.2%
William Hill	3.00	4.00	1.80	13.9%
Best of all books	3.50	4.57	1.81	5.7%
Average	3.24	4.25	1.76	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Flora IITartu Welco

Last 10#3Table position#11.53Points per game2.206Form pts · last 5151.6Goals for · last 54.01.8Goals against · last 51.029Attack rating7136Defence rating6425Form rating7525H2H rating7530Goals model7030Overall rating70

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 18:01 UTC

Flora II

3W 4D 3L · goals 20:16 · per match 2.0 for, 1.6 against

26 Oct	A	Viimsi	1-1	D
22 Oct	H	Nõmme United II	3-2	W
19 Oct	A	Maardu	0-0	D
10 Oct	H	FC Tallinn	1-2	L
18 Sep	A	Tallinna Kalev	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Elva	1-2	L
10 Sep	A	Nõmme Kalju II	5-1	W
4 Sep	A	FCI Levadia II	2-6	L
29 Aug	H	Tallinna Kalev	5-0	W
24 Aug	A	Elva	0-0	D

Tartu Welco

7W 2D 1L · goals 29:11 · per match 2.9 for, 1.1 against

23 Oct	H	Tallinna Kalev	3-2	W
18 Oct	H	Nõmme United II	4-3	W
15 Oct	A	FC Tallinn	7-0	W
9 Oct	H	Elva	4-0	W
17 Sep	A	Viimsi	2-0	W
14 Sep	H	Nõmme Kalju II	3-0	W
10 Sep	A	FCI Levadia II	0-0	D
5 Sep	A	Tallinna Kalev	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Viimsi	1-3	L
23 Aug	A	Nõmme Kalju II	4-2	W

Head to head

13Flora II wins

9draws

5Tartu Welco wins

27 meetings · goals 75:36 · last 10: 2W 4D 4L for Flora II

15 Aug 2026Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Tartu Welco2-1Flora II
17 May 2026Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Tartu Welco3-3Flora II
14 Mar 2026Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Flora II1-6Tartu Welco
9 Nov 2025Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Flora II1-1Tartu Welco
14 Sep 2025Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Tartu Welco0-0Flora II
25 May 2025Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Tartu Welco4-2Flora II
13 Apr 2025Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Flora II3-3Tartu Welco
10 Nov 2024Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Flora II0-1Tartu Welco
5 Aug 2024Esiliiga A	Esiliiga A	Tartu Welco3-5Flora II
31 Jul 2024Cup	Cup	Tartu Welco2-3Flora II

Esiliiga A tableEsiliiga Aupdated 31 Oct 20:20 UTC

In the Esiliiga A table, Flora II sit 3rd with 52 points from 34 games, while Tartu Welco are 1st with 77 points from 35.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Tartu Welco	35	24	5	6	101:45	+56	77
2	Viimsi	34	17	7	10	62:33	+29	58
3	Flora II	34	15	7	12	78:60	+18	52
4	FCI Levadia II	33	16	3	14	67:59	+8	51
5	Elva	34	14	9	11	50:51	-1	51
6	Maardu	32	12	9	11	47:59	-12	45
7	Tallinna Kalev	33	11	7	15	59:63	-4	40
8	FC Tallinn	34	10	8	16	43:77	-34	38
9	Nõmme United II	34	10	7	17	55:70	-15	37
10	Nõmme Kalju II	35	6	6	23	40:85	-45	24

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.24X21%4.25251%1.76

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.55 → 3.24 +27.1%X4.00 → 4.25 +6.3%22.17 → 1.76 -18.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	1.20	4.00	8.3%
Pinnacle	1.38	2.70	9.5%
1xBet	1.22	3.50	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.22	3.50	10.5%
Best of all books	1.38	4.00	-2.5%
Average	1.25	3.42	8.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.25	3.60	7.8%
William Hill	1.29	3.30	7.8%
1xBet	1.26	3.38	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.26	3.28	9.9%
Best of all books	1.29	3.60	5.3%
Average	1.26	3.39	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Flora II 0%Draw 50%Tartu Welco 50%

The statistical model rated Flora II at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Tartu Welco at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.24 | 4.25 | 1.76, which imply roughly 23.5% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Esiliiga A table: Flora II are 3rd (52 pts, 78-60 goals), Tartu Welco 1st (77 pts, 101-45).

Over their last five matches, Flora II averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Tartu Welco averaged 4 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Tartu Welco and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.24	4.25	1.76

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.87	1.26	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
2.55	1.42

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.26	3.39

1st half

1	X	2
3.43	2.74	2.16

2nd half

1	X	2
3.28	3.05	2.05

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	5.27	13.8	14.2
HT X	8.77	8.00	5.53
HT 2	22.0	13.5	2.70

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.15	41.0	1.58

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	36.0
1.5	1.05	8.50
2.5	1.25	3.43
3.5	1.64	2.09
4.5	2.41	1.46
5.5	3.80	1.21

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.04	6.95
2.25	1.21	3.58
2.75	1.33	2.95
3	1.32	2.91
3.25	1.48	2.37
3.75	1.79	1.88
4	1.98	1.70
4.25	2.21	1.56
4.75	2.81	1.33
5	3.42	1.23

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.30	1.52
+0.25	2.16	1.58
+0.5	1.96	1.72
+0.75	1.74	1.94
+1	1.54	2.24
+1.25	1.43	2.49

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.05	1.06
-1	5.30	1.09
-0.75	3.45	1.25
-0.25	2.77	1.35
0	2.57	1.42
+1.5	1.36	2.74
+2	1.14	4.40
+2.5	1.10	5.05

Next Esiliiga A matches

1 Nov	Elva – Tallinna Kalev
1 Nov	Viimsi – FCI Levadia II
1 Nov	Nõmme United II – FC Tallinn

All Esiliiga A fixtures and the table

Latest Esiliiga A results

26 Oct	Viimsi 1-1 Flora II
25 Oct	Elva 3-3 FCI Levadia II
24 Oct	Nõmme Kalju II 1-2 FC Tallinn
23 Oct	Tartu Welco 3-2 Tallinna Kalev
22 Oct	Flora II 3-2 Nõmme United II
19 Oct	FC Tallinn 0-3 Viimsi