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Elva vs Tallinna Kalev• Esiliiga A, Estonia

#51.2:1.811:00Today · Nike Arena, Elva1.8:2.0#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.07DAFX4.00BFR22.90BTNMargin at best7.8%Books7Markets40Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 08:36 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.073.852.8010.0%
Betfair2.004.002.8010.7%
1xBet2.043.722.8610.9%
Betano2.023.702.9011.0%
Pinnacle1.993.722.8712.0%
Marathonbet2.023.722.7912.2%
William Hill2.053.502.8013.1%
Best of all books2.074.002.907.8%
Average2.033.742.8311.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ElvaTallinna Kalev
Last 10#5Table position#71.50Points per game1.216Form pts · last 511.2Goals for · last 51.81.8Goals against · last 52.040Attack rating6053Defence rating4760Form rating4040H2H rating6058Goals model4250Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 18:01 UTC

Elva

4W 4D 2L · goals 11:16 · per match 1.1 for, 1.6 against

29 OctAMaardu0-0D
25 OctHFCI Levadia II3-3D
18 OctANõmme Kalju II0-0D
9 OctATartu Welco0-4L
24 SepHTallinna Kalev3-2W
19 SepHFC Tallinn1-1D
13 SepAFlora II2-1W
10 SepAViimsi0-5L
6 SepHNõmme Kalju II1-0W
3 SepANõmme United II1-0W

Tallinna Kalev

0W 3D 7L · goals 11:23 · per match 1.1 for, 2.3 against

23 OctATartu Welco2-3L
19 OctHFCI Levadia II1-2L
10 OctHViimsi1-2L
24 SepAElva2-3L
18 SepHFlora II2-2D
13 SepAMaardu0-0D
10 SepANõmme United II1-2L
5 SepHTartu Welco1-1D
29 AugAFlora II0-5L
24 AugHMaardu1-3L

Head to head

2Elva wins
1draws
10Tallinna Kalev wins

13 meetings · goals 9:31 · last 10: 2W 1D 7L for Elva

24 Sep 2026CupCupElva3-2Tallinna Kalev
15 Aug 2026Esiliiga AEsiliiga ATallinna Kalev1-0Elva
24 May 2026Esiliiga AEsiliiga AElva3-1Tallinna Kalev
9 Apr 2026Esiliiga AEsiliiga ATallinna Kalev2-1Elva
30 Oct 2025CupCupElva1-2Tallinna Kalev
29 Jan 2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsElva0-0Tallinna Kalev
29 Sep 2021Esiliiga AEsiliiga AElva1-2Tallinna Kalev
14 Jul 2021Esiliiga AEsiliiga ATallinna Kalev1-0Elva
30 May 2021Esiliiga AEsiliiga AElva0-4Tallinna Kalev
30 Sep 2017Esiliiga AEsiliiga AElva0-5Tallinna Kalev

Esiliiga A tableEsiliiga Aupdated 31 Oct 20:20 UTC

In the Esiliiga A table, Elva sit 5th with 51 points from 34 games, while Tallinna Kalev are 7th with 40 points from 33.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Tartu Welco352456101:45+5677
2Viimsi341771062:33+2958
3Flora II341571278:60+1852
4FCI Levadia II331631467:59+851
5Elva341491150:51-151
6Maardu321291147:59-1245
7Tallinna Kalev331171559:63-440
8FC Tallinn341081643:77-3438
9Nõmme United II341071755:70-1537
10Nõmme Kalju II35662340:85-4524

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.03X24%3.74232%2.83

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

29 Oct 18:011 Nov 09:501 2.03X 3.742 2.83
12.18 → 2.03 -6.9%X3.83 → 3.74 -2.3%22.64 → 2.83 +7.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betfair1.293.307.8%
1xBet1.302.9710.6%
Marathonbet1.302.9710.6%
Best of all books1.303.307.2%
Average1.303.089.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.293.307.8%
William Hill1.402.708.5%
1xBet1.303.129.0%
Marathonbet1.303.049.8%
Best of all books1.403.301.7%
Average1.323.048.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Elva 10%Draw 45%Tallinna Kalev 45%

The statistical model rates Elva at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Tallinna Kalev at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.03 | 3.74 | 2.83, which imply roughly 26.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Esiliiga A table: Elva are 5th (51 pts, 50-51 goals), Tallinna Kalev 7th (40 pts, 59-63).

Over their last five matches, Elva averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Tallinna Kalev averaged 1.8 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Tallinna Kalev.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.033.742.83

Double chance

1XX212
1.351.621.20

Draw no bet

12
1.552.20

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.323.04

1st half

1X2
2.462.493.23

2nd half

1X2
2.282.892.96

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.1512.820.7
HT X5.807.137.67
HT 216.213.54.67

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.7026.02.02

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0123.0
1.51.077.00
2.51.303.08
3.51.801.87
4.52.791.35
5.54.851.14
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
21.095.40
2.751.372.70
31.452.42
3.251.632.07
3.752.001.69
42.151.59
4.252.501.43
4.753.201.26
54.051.16

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-12.711.36
-0.752.251.53
-0.51.961.71
-0.251.791.87
01.572.20
+0.251.442.46
10 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.55.801.09
-25.551.08
-1.53.341.24
-1.253.051.28
+0.51.352.80
+0.751.283.13
+11.144.40
+1.51.105.05
+21.019.00
+2.51.047.90

Next Esiliiga A matches

1 NovViimsi – FCI Levadia II
1 NovNõmme United II – FC Tallinn

All Esiliiga A fixtures and the table

Latest Esiliiga A results

31 OctFlora II 1-2 Tartu Welco
26 OctViimsi 1-1 Flora II
25 OctElva 3-3 FCI Levadia II
24 OctNõmme Kalju II 1-2 FC Tallinn
23 OctTartu Welco 3-2 Tallinna Kalev
22 OctFlora II 3-2 Nõmme United II