Vaprus vs 
Paide• Meistriliiga, Estonia
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 31 Oct 04:28 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.35 | 4.37 | 1.83 | 7.4% |
| Dafabet | 3.60 | 3.95 | 1.82 | 8.0% |
| Betfair | 3.50 | 3.80 | 1.80 | 10.4% |
| 1xBet | 3.62 | 3.96 | 1.73 | 10.7% |
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.70 | 1.80 | 11.2% |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 3.75 | 1.75 | 11.6% |
| Marathonbet | 3.55 | 3.96 | 1.71 | 11.9% |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.90 | 1.75 | 12.2% |
| SBO | 3.29 | 3.40 | 1.82 | 14.8% |
| BetVictor | 3.25 | 3.30 | 1.70 | 19.9% |
| Best of all books | 3.62 | 4.37 | 1.83 | 5.2% |
| Average | 3.47 | 3.81 | 1.77 | 11.6% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 28 Oct 19:10 UTC
Vaprus
2W 3D 5L · goals 13:22 · per match 1.3 for, 2.2 against
| 28 Oct | H | Kuressaare | 1-1 | D |
| 23 Oct | A | Nõmme United | 2-4 | L |
| 18 Oct | A | Laagri | 0-2 | L |
| 13 Oct | H | Kalju Nomme | 2-2 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Trans Narva | 2-2 | D |
| 20 Sep | A | Flora Tallinn | 2-3 | L |
| 16 Sep | A | Paide | 0-2 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | FC Levadia Tallinn | 0-4 | L |
| 9 Sep | H | Laagri | 3-2 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Nõmme United | 1-0 | W |
Paide
6W 0D 4L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against
| 28 Oct | H | Kalju Nomme | 0-2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Kuressaare | 1-0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Trans Narva | 2-1 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Tammeka | 2-1 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | FC Levadia Tallinn | 0-1 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | Nõmme United | 3-1 | W |
| 16 Sep | H | Vaprus | 2-0 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Laagri | 1-2 | L |
| 9 Sep | A | Tammeka | 2-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | H | FC Levadia Tallinn | 0-2 | L |
Head to head
24 meetings · goals 20:49 · last 10: 2W 0D 8L for Vaprus
| 16 Sep 2026Meistriliiga | Meistriliiga | Paide2-0Vaprus |
| 4 Jul 2026Meistriliiga | Meistriliiga | Paide3-1Vaprus |
| 6 May 2026Cup | Cup | Paide2-0Vaprus |
| 7 Mar 2026Meistriliiga | Meistriliiga | Vaprus3-2Paide |
| 2 Nov 2025Meistriliiga | Meistriliiga | Paide3-0Vaprus |
| 30 Aug 2025Meistriliiga | Meistriliiga | Vaprus1-0Paide |
| 18 Jun 2025Meistriliiga | Meistriliiga | Vaprus1-2Paide |
| 9 Apr 2025Meistriliiga | Meistriliiga | Paide1-0Vaprus |
| 23 Oct 2024Meistriliiga | Meistriliiga | Vaprus0-1Paide |
| 18 Aug 2024Meistriliiga | Meistriliiga | Paide1-0Vaprus |
Meistriliiga tableMeistriliigaupdated 30 Oct 20:20 UTC
In the Meistriliiga table, Vaprus sit 8th with 37 points from 34 games, while Paide are 2nd with 60 points from 34.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 91:24 | +67 | 87 |
| 2 | Paide | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:41 | +12 | 60 |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn | 34 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 64:49 | +15 | 58 |
| 4 | Kalju Nomme | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 58:34 | +24 | 57 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 34 | 16 | 2 | 16 | 48:54 | -6 | 50 |
| 6 | Laagri | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 49:50 | -1 | 47 |
| 7 | Nõmme United | 34 | 12 | 1 | 21 | 55:76 | -21 | 37 |
| 8 | Vaprus | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46:68 | -22 | 37 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 35:53 | -18 | 36 |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 26:76 | -50 | 20 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.51 | 2.46 | 6.9% |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 2.38 | 7.4% |
| Betfair | 1.45 | 2.55 | 8.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.45 | 2.41 | 10.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.44 | 2.42 | 10.8% |
| BetVictor | 1.42 | 2.03 | 19.7% |
| Best of all books | 1.53 | 2.55 | 4.6% |
| Average | 1.47 | 2.38 | 10.3% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 2.38 | 7.4% |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 2.63 | 7.5% |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 2.45 | 7.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.47 | 2.47 | 8.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.47 | 2.42 | 9.3% |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 2.15 | 20.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.53 | 2.63 | 3.4% |
| Average | 1.46 | 2.42 | 9.8% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Vaprus at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Paide at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.47 | 3.81 | 1.77, which imply roughly 26.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Meistriliiga table: Vaprus are 8th (37 pts, 46-68 goals), Paide 2nd (60 pts, 53-41).
Over their last five matches, Vaprus averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Paide averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Paide.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.47 | 3.81 | 1.77 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.86 | 1.22 | 1.18 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.59 | 1.38 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.46 | 2.42 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.76 | 2.38 | 2.26 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.60 | 2.74 | 2.11 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 5.88 | 14.1 | 18.8 |
| HT X | 8.71 | 6.71 | 5.00 |
| HT 2 | 29.3 | 13.8 | 2.69 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.32 | 19.5 | 1.59 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 16.3 |
| 1.5 | 1.12 | 4.72 |
| 2.5 | 1.47 | 2.37 |
| 3.5 | 2.21 | 1.55 |
| 4.5 | 3.76 | 1.19 |
| 5.5 | 6.80 | 1.05 |
| 6.5 | 10.0 | 1.03 |
| 7.5 | 15.0 | 1.01 |
| 8.5 | 21.0 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 11.0 |
| 1.75 | 1.12 | 4.65 |
| 2 | 1.16 | 4.15 |
| 2.25 | 1.33 | 2.94 |
| 2.75 | 1.57 | 2.11 |
| 3 | 1.76 | 1.87 |
| 3.25 | 1.96 | 1.66 |
| 3.75 | 2.60 | 1.42 |
| 4 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| 4.25 | 3.51 | 1.23 |
| 4.75 | 4.80 | 1.12 |
| 5 | 6.63 | 1.05 |
| 5.25 | 7.00 | 1.04 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.67 | 1.37 |
| +0.25 | 2.18 | 1.55 |
| +0.5 | 1.90 | 1.77 |
| +0.75 | 1.71 | 1.94 |
| +1 | 1.51 | 2.29 |
| +1.25 | 1.40 | 2.57 |
14 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 7.90 | 1.02 |
| -1.25 | 7.27 | 1.05 |
| -1 | 6.83 | 1.06 |
| -0.75 | 4.53 | 1.15 |
| -0.5 | 3.55 | 1.27 |
| -0.25 | 3.12 | 1.31 |
| +1.5 | 1.33 | 2.95 |
| +1.75 | 1.23 | 3.57 |
| +2 | 1.13 | 4.97 |
| +2.25 | 1.10 | 5.47 |
| +2.5 | 1.09 | 5.83 |
| +2.75 | 1.06 | 7.13 |
| +3 | 1.03 | 8.50 |
| +3.5 | 1.02 | 9.40 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 1.11 | 4.64 |
| 8.5 | 1.28 | 3.08 |
| 9.5 | 1.54 | 2.28 |
| 10.5 | 1.86 | 1.84 |
| 11.5 | 2.38 | 1.49 |
| 12.5 | 3.18 | 1.27 |
| 13.5 | 4.50 | 1.12 |
| 14.5 | 6.79 | 1.02 |
7 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | 1.14 | 4.22 |
| 9 | 1.36 | 2.77 |
| 10 | 1.69 | 2.04 |
| 11 | 2.15 | 1.62 |
| 12 | 2.88 | 1.33 |
| 13 | 4.15 | 1.15 |
| 14 | 6.37 | 1.03 |
Next Meistriliiga matches
| 31 Oct | Tammeka – Laagri |
| 31 Oct | Nõmme United – FC Levadia Tallinn |
| 1 Nov | Kalju Nomme – Kuressaare |
| 1 Nov | Flora Tallinn – Trans Narva |
Latest Meistriliiga results
| 28 Oct | Paide 0-2 Kalju Nomme |
| 28 Oct | Vaprus 1-1 Kuressaare |
| 27 Oct | FC Levadia Tallinn 2-1 Tammeka |
| 27 Oct | Trans Narva 0-1 Nõmme United |
| 25 Oct | Kalju Nomme 2-1 Flora Tallinn |
| 24 Oct | FC Levadia Tallinn 2-1 Laagri |