D. La Serena vs Palestino• Primera División, Chile

#101.4:1.618:00Today · La Portada, La Serena1.4:1.6#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.57PINX3.50B36522.86PINMargin at best2.4%Books10Markets72Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Nov 12:17 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.55	3.41	2.85	3.6%
Betano	2.52	3.40	2.80	4.8%
Dafabet	2.47	3.45	2.80	5.2%
BetVictor	2.45	3.40	2.75	6.6%
Bet365	2.40	3.50	2.70	7.3%
Marathonbet	2.43	3.28	2.71	8.5%
Betfair	2.40	3.20	2.63	10.9%
1xBet	2.35	3.25	2.65	11.1%
William Hill	2.40	3.10	2.62	12.1%
SBO	2.32	3.09	2.66	13.1%
Best of all books	2.55	3.50	2.85	2.9%
Average	2.43	3.31	2.72	8.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

D. La SerenaPalestino

Last 10#10Table position#61.31Points per game1.467Form pts · last 551.4Goals for · last 51.41.6Goals against · last 51.650Attack rating5050Defence rating5058Form rating427H2H rating9361Goals model3940Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 5 Nov 06:01 UTC

D. La Serena

4W 3D 3L · goals 15:14 · per match 1.5 for, 1.4 against

1 Nov	A	Huachipato	0-0	D
24 Oct	H	Concepción	3-1	W
11 Oct	A	Everton de Vina	2-3	L
13 Sep	H	Universidad de Chile	0-3	L
6 Sep	H	Nublense	2-1	W
31 Aug	A	Union La Calera	1-0	W
23 Aug	H	Cobresal	3-3	D
14 Aug	A	Universidad de Concepcion	2-0	W
8 Aug	A	Coquimbo Unido	1-1	D
2 Aug	H	O'Higgins	1-2	L

Palestino

4W 2D 4L · goals 16:14 · per match 1.6 for, 1.4 against

2 Nov	A	Concepción	0-1	L
25 Oct	H	Colo Colo	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Deportes Limache	2-2	D
1 Oct	A	Alianza Lima	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	U. Catolica	2-3	L
6 Sep	H	Universidad de Concepcion	2-1	W
28 Aug	A	Cobresal	0-2	L
23 Aug	A	O'Higgins	1-0	W
18 Aug	H	Huachipato	5-1	W
10 Aug	A	Universidad de Chile	1-2	L

Head to head

3D. La Serena wins

2draws

4Palestino wins

9 meetings · goals 16:24 · last 9: 3W 2D 4L for D. La Serena

16 May 2026Primera División	Primera División	Palestino5-1D. La Serena
29 Nov 2025Primera División	Primera División	D. La Serena0-3Palestino
14 Jun 2025Primera División	Primera División	Palestino2-1D. La Serena
23 Oct 2022Primera División	Primera División	Palestino5-0D. La Serena
14 May 2022Primera División	Primera División	D. La Serena0-0Palestino
25 Oct 2021Primera División	Primera División	Palestino3-3D. La Serena
20 Jul 2021Primera División	Primera División	D. La Serena4-3Palestino
22 Nov 2020Primera División	Primera División	Palestino1-3D. La Serena
14 Oct 2020Primera División	Primera División	D. La Serena4-2Palestino

Primera División tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 7 Nov 04:10 UTC

In the Primera División table, D. La Serena sit 10th with 34 points from 26 games, while Palestino are 6th with 38 points from 26.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Colo Colo	26	18	4	4	57:29	+28	58
2	Universidad de Chile	26	14	6	6	45:21	+24	48
3	U. Catolica	26	14	4	8	53:37	+16	46
4	Deportes Limache	26	12	4	10	48:37	+11	40
5	Everton de Vina	26	11	7	8	43:33	+10	40
6	Palestino	26	11	5	10	39:37	+2	38
7	Coquimbo Unido	25	10	5	10	38:35	+3	35
8	Concepción	26	10	5	11	28:30	-2	35
9	Nublense	26	9	8	9	30:39	-9	35
10	D. La Serena	26	8	10	8	39:42	-3	34
11	Huachipato	25	9	6	10	34:40	-6	33
12	O'Higgins	26	9	4	13	30:39	-9	31
13	A. Italiano	26	7	9	10	28:35	-7	30
14	Cobresal	26	7	6	13	38:48	-10	27
15	Universidad de Concepcion	26	6	5	15	19:47	-28	23
16	Union La Calera	26	5	6	15	23:43	-20	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.43X28%3.29234%2.71

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.41 → 2.43 +0.8%X3.41 → 3.29 -3.5%22.63 → 2.71 +3.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.94	1.93	3.4%
SBO	1.98	1.86	4.3%
Betano	1.93	1.87	5.3%
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Marathonbet	1.87	1.87	7.0%
1xBet	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
BetVictor	1.86	1.81	9.0%
Best of all books	1.98	1.93	2.3%
Average	1.90	1.86	6.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Betano	1.72	2.05	6.9%
1xBet	1.65	2.13	7.6%
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.05	8.7%
William Hill	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Best of all books	1.72	2.25	2.6%
Average	1.66	2.10	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

D. La Serena 10%Draw 45%Palestino 45%

The statistical model rates D. La Serena at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Palestino at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.43 | 3.29 | 2.71, which imply roughly 30.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: D. La Serena are 10th (34 pts, 39-42 goals), Palestino 6th (38 pts, 39-37).

Over their last five matches, D. La Serena averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Palestino averaged 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Palestino.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.43	3.31	2.72

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.40	1.49	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.77	1.99

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.66	2.10

1st half

1	X	2
3.02	2.15	3.33

2nd half

1	X	2
2.73	2.45	2.96

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.91	13.5	27.0
HT X	5.95	5.23	6.47
HT 2	24.2	13.5	4.47

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.92	11.3	2.01

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.91
1.5	1.28	3.47
2.5	1.90	1.86
3.5	3.24	1.32
4.5	6.31	1.10
5.5	11.7	1.03
6.5	24.7	1.01
7.5	45.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.65
1	1.04	7.60
1.25	1.13	4.50
1.75	1.31	2.99
2	1.44	2.66
2.25	1.65	2.14
2.75	2.10	1.68
3	2.53	1.48
3.25	2.63	1.42
3.75	3.65	1.21
4	4.95	1.12
4.25	5.45	1.08
4.75	6.55	1.05
5	9.25	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.91	1.37
-0.5	2.44	1.54
-0.25	2.08	1.69
0	1.78	1.98
+0.25	1.56	2.31
+0.5	1.45	2.70

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.80	1.01
-2	8.90	1.02
-1.75	6.30	1.08
-1.5	4.78	1.15
-1.25	4.28	1.17
-1	3.95	1.22
+0.75	1.29	3.33
+1	1.17	4.58
+1.25	1.13	4.98
+1.5	1.11	5.47
+1.75	1.05	7.13
+2	1.01	10.0
+2.5	1.01	10.5

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.55	2.35
5.5	2.00	1.75
6.5	2.72	1.42

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	11.3
5.5	1.06	8.00
6.5	1.12	5.30
7.5	1.25	3.47
8.5	1.49	2.45
9.5	1.83	1.90
10.5	2.38	1.52
11.5	3.16	1.30
12.5	4.53	1.17
13.5	5.70	1.12
14.5	7.60	1.07
15.5	9.75	1.03

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8.25	1.41	2.52
8.75	1.57	2.15
9	1.70	2.11
9.25	1.77	1.89
9.75	2.02	1.69
10	2.09	1.71
10.25	2.32	1.51
10.75	2.38	1.46

Next Primera División matches

7 Nov	Everton de Vina – Concepción
8 Nov	A. Italiano – Coquimbo Unido
8 Nov	U. Catolica – Deportes Limache
8 Nov	Nublense – Colo Colo
8 Nov	Universidad de Chile – Cobresal
8 Nov	Union La Calera – Huachipato

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

2 Nov	Concepción 1-0 Palestino
2 Nov	Deportes Limache 2-0 A. Italiano
1 Nov	Cobresal 2-2 Everton de Vina
1 Nov	U. Catolica 1-0 Universidad de Chile
1 Nov	Huachipato 0-0 D. La Serena
31 Oct	O'Higgins 1-0 Nublense