Concepción vs Palestino• Primera División, Chile

#110.8:1.223:30Today · Estadio Ester Roa, Concepcion1.4:1.8#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.67BTNX3.51PIN22.65DAFMargin at best3.7%Books10Markets71Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Nov 08:12 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.58	3.56	2.68	4.2%
Dafabet	2.60	3.40	2.70	4.9%
Betano	2.65	3.20	2.75	5.3%
Bet365	2.55	3.20	2.70	7.5%
Marathonbet	2.62	3.24	2.53	8.6%
BetVictor	2.55	3.25	2.55	9.2%
1xBet	2.45	3.30	2.50	11.1%
Betfair	2.45	3.30	2.50	11.1%
William Hill	2.50	3.20	2.50	11.3%
SBO	2.37	3.02	2.52	15.0%
Best of all books	2.65	3.56	2.75	2.2%
Average	2.53	3.27	2.59	8.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ConcepciónPalestino

Last 10#11Table position#51.28Points per game1.524Form pts · last 580.8Goals for · last 51.41.2Goals against · last 51.836Attack rating6460Defence rating4050Form rating5050H2H rating5061Goals model3949Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 2 Nov 00:10 UTC

Concepción

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:10 · per match 1.1 for, 1.0 against

24 Oct	A	D. La Serena	1-3	L
11 Oct	H	Union La Calera	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	O'Higgins	0-2	L
30 Sep	H	O'Higgins	0-1	L
27 Sep	H	Curico Unido	2-0	W
23 Sep	A	Curico Unido	4-0	W
13 Sep	A	Colo Colo	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	A. Italiano	0-1	L
30 Aug	A	Nublense	1-0	W
23 Aug	H	Coquimbo Unido	1-1	D

Palestino

5W 2D 3L · goals 18:14 · per match 1.8 for, 1.4 against

25 Oct	H	Colo Colo	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Deportes Limache	2-2	D
1 Oct	A	Alianza Lima	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	U. Catolica	2-3	L
6 Sep	H	Universidad de Concepcion	2-1	W
28 Aug	A	Cobresal	0-2	L
23 Aug	A	O'Higgins	1-0	W
18 Aug	H	Huachipato	5-1	W
10 Aug	A	Universidad de Chile	1-2	L
1 Aug	H	Coquimbo Unido	2-1	W

Head to head

2Concepción wins

1draws

2Palestino wins

5 meetings · goals 8:14 · last 5: 2W 1D 2L for Concepción

24 Apr 2026Primera División	Primera División	Palestino0-1Concepción
30 Apr 2025Copa Chile	Copa Chile	Palestino4-4Concepción
23 Mar 2025Copa Chile	Copa Chile	Concepción3-2Palestino
3 Jul 2021Copa Chile	Copa Chile	Concepción0-4Palestino
30 Jun 2021Copa Chile	Copa Chile	Palestino4-0Concepción

Primera División tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 1 Nov 21:30 UTC

In the Primera División table, Concepción sit 11th with 32 points from 25 games, while Palestino are 5th with 38 points from 25.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Colo Colo	26	18	4	4	57:29	+28	58
2	Universidad de Chile	26	14	6	6	45:21	+24	48
3	U. Catolica	26	14	4	8	53:37	+16	46
4	Everton de Vina	26	11	7	8	43:33	+10	40
5	Palestino	25	11	5	9	39:36	+3	38
6	Deportes Limache	25	11	4	10	46:37	+9	37
7	Coquimbo Unido	25	10	5	10	38:35	+3	35
8	Nublense	26	9	8	9	30:39	-9	35
9	D. La Serena	26	8	10	8	39:42	-3	34
10	Huachipato	25	9	6	10	34:40	-6	33
11	Concepción	25	9	5	11	27:30	-3	32
12	O'Higgins	26	9	4	13	30:39	-9	31
13	A. Italiano	25	7	9	9	28:33	-5	30
14	Cobresal	26	7	6	13	38:48	-10	27
15	Universidad de Concepcion	26	6	5	15	19:47	-28	23
16	Union La Calera	26	5	6	15	23:43	-20	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.54X28%3.28236%2.56

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.7% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.91	1.94	3.9%
Betano	1.95	1.90	3.9%
SBO	1.92	1.90	4.7%
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.87	7.2%
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
1xBet	1.83	1.87	8.1%
BetVictor	1.84	1.83	9.0%
Best of all books	1.95	1.94	2.8%
Average	1.88	1.88	6.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Betano	1.67	2.12	7.1%
1xBet	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.06	8.8%
William Hill	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.70	2.15	5.3%
Average	1.67	2.08	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Concepción 35%Draw 35%Palestino 30%

The statistical model rates Concepción at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Palestino at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.54 | 3.28 | 2.56, which imply roughly 39.4% for a Concepción win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Concepción are 11th (32 pts, 27-30 goals), Palestino 5th (38 pts, 39-36).

Over their last five matches, Concepción averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Palestino averaged 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Concepción or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.53	3.27	2.59

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.44	1.45	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.85	1.88

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	2.08

1st half

1	X	2
3.14	2.13	3.20

2nd half

1	X	2
2.88	2.42	2.86

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.16	13.6	25.7
HT X	6.07	5.08	6.32
HT 2	25.9	13.7	4.27

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.00	9.30	2.00

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.89
1.5	1.27	3.55
2.5	1.88	1.88
3.5	3.16	1.33
4.5	6.20	1.10
5.5	12.0	1.03
6.5	22.5	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.10
1	1.04	7.40
1.25	1.13	4.51
1.75	1.31	2.97
2	1.43	2.69
2.25	1.63	2.15
2.75	2.08	1.67
3	2.49	1.49
3.25	2.66	1.38
3.75	3.55	1.21
4	4.72	1.13
4.25	5.20	1.10
5	9.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.07	1.33
-0.5	2.55	1.50
-0.25	2.17	1.63
0	1.88	1.87
+0.25	1.62	2.20
+0.5	1.48	2.62

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.50	1.01
-2	10.0	1.01
-1.75	6.60	1.07
-1.5	5.13	1.13
-1.25	4.64	1.14
-1	4.24	1.19
+0.75	1.32	3.13
+1	1.20	4.16
+1.25	1.16	4.48
+1.5	1.14	4.93
+1.75	1.07	6.43
+2	1.03	8.85
+2.5	1.01	9.70

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.40	2.80
5.5	1.75	2.00
6.5	2.30	1.57

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.03	10.5
5.5	1.07	7.50
6.5	1.15	4.85
7.5	1.31	3.11
8.5	1.58	2.25
9.5	1.98	1.78
10.5	2.54	1.46
11.5	3.53	1.24
12.5	5.00	1.13
13.5	6.30	1.10
14.5	8.25	1.05
15.5	10.5	1.03

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8	1.43	2.75
8.25	1.48	2.33
8.75	1.66	2.03
9	1.81	1.98
9.25	1.89	1.81
9.75	2.16	1.60
10	2.35	1.56
10.25	2.51	1.44

Next Primera División matches

2 Nov

Deportes Limache – A. Italiano

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

1 Nov	Cobresal 2-2 Everton de Vina
1 Nov	U. Catolica 1-0 Universidad de Chile
1 Nov	Huachipato 0-0 D. La Serena
31 Oct	O'Higgins 1-0 Nublense
30 Oct	Colo Colo 6-1 Universidad de Concepcion
30 Oct	Coquimbo Unido 1-0 Union La Calera