Union La Calera vs U. Catolica• Primera División, Chile

#160.6:0.818:0025/10 · Municipal Nicolas Chahuan, La Calera2.0:1.4#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.68PINX3.56PIN21.98PINMargin at best5.8%Books5Markets54Rating45 · 55Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 02:29 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.68	3.56	1.98	5.8%
Marathonbet	3.66	3.48	1.90	8.7%
Bet365	3.50	3.40	1.95	9.3%
1xBet	3.62	3.40	1.89	9.9%
William Hill	3.50	3.25	1.95	10.6%
Best of all books	3.68	3.56	1.98	5.8%
Average	3.59	3.42	1.93	8.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Union La CaleraU. Catolica

Last 10#16Table position#30.75Points per game1.836Form pts · last 5110.6Goals for · last 52.00.8Goals against · last 51.423Attack rating7764Defence rating3629Form rating7162H2H rating3837Goals model6345Overall rating55

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 22 Oct 01:10 UTC

Union La Calera

2W 4D 4L · goals 10:9 · per match 1.0 for, 0.9 against

11 Oct	A	Concepción	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	U. Catolica	0-0	D
23 Sep	H	U. Catolica	1-1	D
14 Sep	H	Deportes Limache	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	O'Higgins	1-2	L
31 Aug	H	D. La Serena	0-1	L
22 Aug	A	A. Italiano	0-0	D
16 Aug	A	Nublense	1-2	L
9 Aug	H	Colo Colo	1-2	L
5 Aug	A	Santiago Wanderers	4-0	W

U. Catolica

5W 3D 2L · goals 14:12 · per match 1.4 for, 1.2 against

26 Sep	H	Union La Calera	0-0	D
23 Sep	A	Union La Calera	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Palestino	3-2	W
5 Sep	A	Everton de Vina	1-0	W
1 Sep	H	O'Higgins	3-2	W
26 Aug	A	Coquimbo Unido	2-1	W
23 Aug	H	Nublense	1-2	L
19 Aug	H	Estudiantes L.P.	0-3	L
12 Aug	A	Estudiantes L.P.	1-1	D
8 Aug	H	Cobresal	2-0	W

Head to head

5Union La Calera wins

9draws

9U. Catolica wins

23 meetings · goals 19:29 · last 10: 2W 5D 3L for Union La Calera

26 Sep 2026Copa Chile	Copa Chile	U. Catolica0-0Union La Calera
23 Sep 2026Copa Chile	Copa Chile	Union La Calera1-1U. Catolica
21 Apr 2026Primera División	Primera División	U. Catolica1-2Union La Calera
6 Dec 2025Primera División	Primera División	U. Catolica2-1Union La Calera
20 Jun 2025Primera División	Primera División	Union La Calera1-1U. Catolica
21 Mar 2025Copa Chile	Copa Chile	U. Catolica0-1Union La Calera
10 Feb 2025Copa Chile	Copa Chile	Union La Calera2-2U. Catolica
20 Jul 2024Primera División	Primera División	U. Catolica2-0Union La Calera
22 Mar 2024Primera División	Primera División	Union La Calera0-0U. Catolica
9 Dec 2023Primera División	Primera División	Union La Calera0-3U. Catolica

Primera División tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 22 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the Primera División table, Union La Calera sit 16th with 18 points from 24 games, while U. Catolica are 3rd with 42 points from 23.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Colo Colo	24	17	3	4	50:27	+23	54
2	Universidad de Chile	24	13	6	5	41:19	+22	45
3	U. Catolica	23	13	3	7	50:33	+17	42
4	Everton de Vina	24	11	6	7	40:27	+13	39
5	Palestino	24	11	4	9	38:35	+3	37
6	Deportes Limache	24	10	4	10	45:37	+8	34
7	Coquimbo Unido	23	9	5	9	36:33	+3	32
8	Concepción	24	9	5	10	26:27	-1	32
9	Nublense	24	8	8	8	28:37	-9	32
10	Huachipato	23	9	4	10	33:39	-6	31
11	D. La Serena	24	7	9	8	36:41	-5	30
12	A. Italiano	23	7	7	9	26:31	-5	28
13	O'Higgins	24	8	3	13	28:38	-10	27
14	Cobresal	24	7	4	13	35:45	-10	25
15	Universidad de Concepcion	24	6	5	13	18:40	-22	23
16	Union La Calera	24	4	6	14	20:41	-21	18

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.59X27%3.42248%1.93

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.53 → 3.59 +1.7%X3.42 → 3.42 0.0%21.96 → 1.93 -1.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.85	1.97	4.8%
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.93	7.4%
1xBet	1.77	1.93	8.3%
Best of all books	1.85	1.97	4.8%
Average	1.82	1.94	6.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Marathonbet	1.68	2.03	8.8%
Best of all books	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Average	1.68	2.07	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Union La Calera 10%Draw 45%U. Catolica 45%

The statistical model rates Union La Calera at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and U. Catolica at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.59 | 3.42 | 1.93, which imply roughly 29.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Union La Calera are 16th (18 pts, 20-41 goals), U. Catolica 3rd (42 pts, 50-33).

Over their last five matches, Union La Calera averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; U. Catolica averaged 2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or U. Catolica.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.59	3.42	1.93

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.79	1.24	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
2.66	1.42

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.68	2.07

1st half

1	X	2
4.10	2.22	2.51

2nd half

1	X	2
3.67	2.50	2.29

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	6.15	15.4	22.3
HT X	8.40	5.37	4.98
HT 2	32.3	14.7	3.00

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.38	10.6	1.70

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	10.2
1.5	1.24	3.66
2.5	1.82	1.94
3.5	2.93	1.35
4.5	5.63	1.11
5.5	11.8	1.04
6.5	26.0	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	9.13
1	1.03	7.90
1.25	1.13	4.72
1.75	1.29	3.12
2	1.37	2.83
2.25	1.59	2.24
2.75	2.00	1.73
3	2.34	1.53
3.25	2.57	1.41
3.75	3.40	1.25
4	4.50	1.15
4.25	4.96	1.12
5	8.75	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.70	1.42
+0.25	2.11	1.67
+0.5	1.84	1.99
+0.75	1.62	2.19
+1	1.43	2.72
+1.25	1.34	3.05

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.40	1.04
-1.25	7.43	1.04
-1	6.63	1.07
-0.75	4.50	1.16
-0.5	3.60	1.27
-0.25	3.13	1.32
+1.5	1.27	3.42
+1.75	1.18	4.15
+2	1.09	5.95
+2.25	1.08	6.58
+2.5	1.06	6.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.42	2.65
9.5	1.80	1.90
10.5	2.30	1.55
11.5	3.05	1.33

Next Primera División matches

23 Oct	A. Italiano – Huachipato
24 Oct	D. La Serena – Concepción
24 Oct	O'Higgins – Cobresal
25 Oct	Nublense – Coquimbo Unido
25 Oct	Palestino – Colo Colo
25 Oct	Universidad de Concepcion – Deportes Limache

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

12 Oct	Universidad de Chile 6-0 Nublense
11 Oct	Deportes Limache 2-2 Palestino
11 Oct	Concepción 1-1 Union La Calera
11 Oct	Coquimbo Unido 5-2 Colo Colo
11 Oct	Everton de Vina 3-2 D. La Serena
10 Oct	Huachipato 2-0 O'Higgins