D. La Serena vs Concepción• Primera División, Chile

#111.6:2.015:3024/10 · La Portada, La Serena0.8:0.8#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.35PINX3.45BTN23.10BTNMargin at best3.8%Books10Markets57Rating51 · 50 levelExp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 22 Oct 12:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.30	3.45	3.05	5.3%
Betano	2.27	3.45	3.10	5.3%
Pinnacle	2.35	3.32	3.04	5.6%
Marathonbet	2.22	3.44	2.90	8.6%
Bet365	2.25	3.30	2.90	9.2%
BetVictor	2.25	3.30	2.90	9.2%
1xBet	2.22	3.20	2.96	10.1%
Betfair	2.20	3.30	2.88	10.5%
William Hill	2.25	3.10	2.88	11.4%
SBO	2.14	3.07	2.78	15.3%
Best of all books	2.35	3.45	3.10	3.8%
Average	2.25	3.29	2.94	8.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

D. La SerenaConcepción

Last 10#11Table position#81.25Points per game1.337Form pts · last 571.6Goals for · last 50.82.0Goals against · last 50.867Attack rating3329Defence rating7154Form rating4650H2H rating5053Goals model4751Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 21 Oct 00:02 UTC

D. La Serena

3W 3D 4L · goals 15:17 · per match 1.5 for, 1.7 against

11 Oct	A	Everton de Vina	2-3	L
13 Sep	H	Universidad de Chile	0-3	L
6 Sep	H	Nublense	2-1	W
31 Aug	A	Union La Calera	1-0	W
23 Aug	H	Cobresal	3-3	D
14 Aug	A	Universidad de Concepcion	2-0	W
8 Aug	A	Coquimbo Unido	1-1	D
2 Aug	H	O'Higgins	1-2	L
26 Jul	A	U. Catolica	3-3	D
12 Jul	A	Cobreloa	0-1	L

Concepción

4W 3D 3L · goals 12:7 · per match 1.2 for, 0.7 against

11 Oct	H	Union La Calera	1-1	D
4 Oct	A	O'Higgins	0-2	L
30 Sep	H	O'Higgins	0-1	L
27 Sep	H	Curico Unido	2-0	W
23 Sep	A	Curico Unido	4-0	W
13 Sep	A	Colo Colo	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	A. Italiano	0-1	L
30 Aug	A	Nublense	1-0	W
23 Aug	H	Coquimbo Unido	1-1	D
16 Aug	A	Cobresal	2-0	W

Head to head

0D. La Serena wins

1draws

0Concepción wins

1 meeting · goals 3:3 · last 1: 0W 1D 0L for D. La Serena

19 Apr 2026Primera División

Primera División

Concepción3-3D. La Serena

Primera División tablePrimera Divisiónupdated 22 Oct 00:10 UTC

In the Primera División table, D. La Serena sit 11th with 30 points from 24 games, while Concepción are 8th with 32 points from 24.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Colo Colo	24	17	3	4	50:27	+23	54
2	Universidad de Chile	24	13	6	5	41:19	+22	45
3	U. Catolica	23	13	3	7	50:33	+17	42
4	Everton de Vina	24	11	6	7	40:27	+13	39
5	Palestino	24	11	4	9	38:35	+3	37
6	Deportes Limache	24	10	4	10	45:37	+8	34
7	Coquimbo Unido	23	9	5	9	36:33	+3	32
8	Concepción	24	9	5	10	26:27	-1	32
9	Nublense	24	8	8	8	28:37	-9	32
10	Huachipato	23	9	4	10	33:39	-6	31
11	D. La Serena	24	7	9	8	36:41	-5	30
12	A. Italiano	23	7	7	9	26:31	-5	28
13	O'Higgins	24	8	3	13	28:38	-10	27
14	Cobresal	24	7	4	13	35:45	-10	25
15	Universidad de Concepcion	24	6	5	13	18:40	-22	23
16	Union La Calera	24	4	6	14	20:41	-21	18

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.25X28%3.29231%2.94

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.23 → 2.25 +0.9%X3.36 → 3.29 -2.1%22.93 → 2.94 +0.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.98	1.87	4.0%
Pinnacle	1.90	1.92	4.7%
SBO	1.89	1.93	4.7%
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Betfair	1.90	1.87	6.1%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.93	7.4%
1xBet	1.87	1.83	8.1%
BetVictor	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Best of all books	1.98	1.95	1.8%
Average	1.88	1.89	6.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.75	2.02	6.6%
1xBet	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.10	8.6%
William Hill	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.75	2.10	4.8%
Average	1.68	2.07	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

D. La Serena 35%Draw 35%Concepción 30%

The statistical model rates D. La Serena at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Concepción at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.25 | 3.29 | 2.94, which imply roughly 44.4% for a D. La Serena win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Primera División table: D. La Serena are 11th (30 pts, 36-41 goals), Concepción 8th (32 pts, 26-27).

Over their last five matches, D. La Serena averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Concepción averaged 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : D. La Serena or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.25	3.29	2.94

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.35	1.57	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.65	2.16

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.68	2.07

1st half

1	X	2
2.84	2.15	3.52

2nd half

1	X	2
2.64	2.44	3.12

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.58	13.8	29.4
HT X	5.67	5.30	6.97
HT 2	25.0	14.4	4.89

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.82	11.9	2.10

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.86
1.5	1.26	3.56
2.5	1.88	1.89
3.5	3.18	1.32
4.5	6.16	1.10
5.5	12.0	1.04
6.5	22.7	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	9.65
1	1.03	8.05
1.25	1.14	4.70
1.75	1.30	3.07
2	1.43	2.69
2.25	1.63	2.15
2.75	2.06	1.68
3	2.50	1.49
3.25	2.72	1.37
3.75	3.61	1.21
4	4.85	1.13
4.25	5.16	1.10
4.75	7.00	1.04
5	9.50	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.66	1.42
-0.5	2.27	1.62
-0.25	1.96	1.78
0	1.65	2.15
+0.25	1.47	2.50
+0.5	1.39	3.02

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.95	1.02
-2	8.00	1.03
-1.75	5.55	1.10
-1.5	4.22	1.18
-1.25	3.91	1.21
-1	3.50	1.28
+0.75	1.25	3.56
+1	1.13	5.02
+1.25	1.11	5.48
+1.5	1.09	5.97
+1.75	1.02	7.90

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.67	2.12

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.10	5.30
7.5	1.27	3.43
8.5	1.50	2.41
9.5	1.85	1.85
10.5	2.42	1.51
11.5	3.28	1.29
12.5	4.60	1.13

Next Primera División matches

23 Oct	A. Italiano – Huachipato
24 Oct	O'Higgins – Cobresal
25 Oct	Nublense – Coquimbo Unido
25 Oct	Union La Calera – U. Catolica
25 Oct	Palestino – Colo Colo
25 Oct	Universidad de Concepcion – Deportes Limache

All Primera División fixtures and the table

Latest Primera División results

12 Oct	Universidad de Chile 6-0 Nublense
11 Oct	Deportes Limache 2-2 Palestino
11 Oct	Concepción 1-1 Union La Calera
11 Oct	Coquimbo Unido 5-2 Colo Colo
11 Oct	Everton de Vina 3-2 D. La Serena
10 Oct	Huachipato 2-0 O'Higgins